{"id":236783,"date":"2026-01-05T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=236783"},"modified":"2026-01-06T04:29:34","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T09:29:34","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-january-5-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-january-5-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: Week of January 5, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets had a year of low lows and high highs, as two competing dynamics drove asset returns: tariffs and AI. In April, tariffs knocked down expectations for global growth, triggering a bond rally overseas and a stock selloff worldwide. Abroad, the disinflationary shock opened the door for central bank easing in Europe, the UK and Canada. Governments also responded with fiscal stimulus to alleviate short-term pain and strengthen long-term self-sufficiency. Looser monetary and fiscal policy, along with trade deals, drove international equity markets and bond yields higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, tariffs raised inflation expectations in the U.S., putting Fed easing on pause, while the administration pushed fiscal stimulus to 2026. Treasuries rallied, and for the first time since before the GFC, U.S. equities underperformed almost every other major region. However, S&amp;P 500 returns only look weak in comparison. With a total return of 18%, the good of AI more than offset the ugly of tariffs. Tech sectors drove 60% of the S&amp;P 500\u2019s return and earnings growth, but the rally did broaden out somewhat. AI capex is supporting industrials and energy companies, and banks benefited from increased capital markets activity. The Russell 1000 Value underperformed growth by less than 3%, down from 19% in 2024 and 31% in 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This year, investors need to ensure their allocations to U.S. AI stocks are a bet on the future, not a reflection of past performance. As this enormous opportunity continues to coexist with extreme uncertainty, investors also need to diversify. International equity markets finally offer diversification without sacrificing returns, and uncorrelated alternative asset classes, like infrastructure and real estate, can bolster portfolios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Pending home sales rose 3.3% m\/m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>JOBs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>JOLTs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PMIs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1011\" height=\"403\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-05-095111.png\" alt=\"2025 asset class returns\" class=\"wp-image-236784 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-05-095111.png 1011w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-05-095111-700x279.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-05-095111-300x120.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-05-095111-768x306.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1011px) 100vw, 1011px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1011px; aspect-ratio: 1011\/403;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, FTSE Russell, MSCI,<br>Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.<br>Thought of the week: Source: FTSE Russell, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s, J.P.<br>Morgan Asset Management. Tech sectors are defined as information<br>technology and communication services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted January 5, 2026\u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2025 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., January 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of January 5, 2026 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights that despite tariffs, AI drove the S&amp;P 500 to an 18% return, while U.S. stocks lagged most global markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":236784,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-236783","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-traders-insight","8":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: Week of January 5, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This week&#039;s chart highlights that despite tariffs, AI drove the S&amp;P 500 to an 18% return, while U.S. stocks lagged most 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