{"id":235330,"date":"2025-12-01T10:01:56","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T15:01:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=235330"},"modified":"2025-12-03T02:56:37","modified_gmt":"2025-12-03T07:56:37","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-december-1-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-december-1-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: Week of December 1, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Retail sales rose 0.2% m\/m and 4.3% y\/y<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consumer confidence fell to 88.7 from 95.5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>PMIs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consumer spending<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PCE price index<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Last Friday, U.S. consumers, hungry for deals instead of Thanksgiving food, kicked off what is expected to be a solid holiday shopping season. A recent National Retail Federation survey suggests this Thanksgiving shopping weekend could have seen a record 187mn shoppers, with holiday retail sales expected to surpass $1tn for the first time. This season also raises an important question for investors: Who benefits most from U.S. holiday spending, domestic retailers or foreign producers?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. domestically produces most of the goods and services it consumes. Last year, imports represented just 14% of U.S. GDP. However, the U.S. may be more reliant on imports than this figure suggests, especially for goods often gifted during the holiday season. This week\u2019s chart shows the import content of different consumer goods categories, or the share of consumer spending attributable to value added abroad, as calculated by the San Francisco Fed. When U.S. households gift electronics or apparel, over 25% of that spending goes to imports, while the remaining 75% is retained domestically. The import content of recreational nondurables, which include toys, at just 17% may surprise some. However, this is because the bulk of their costs to consumers are driven by domestic expenses and markups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both domestic retailers and foreign producers have reason to cheer during the U.S. holiday season. That said, with a large share of our holiday dollars spent going toward imports, investors should remember two things. First, widespread tariffs could increase the cost of spreading holiday cheer this year. Second, those looking for exposure to U.S. consumerism can likely find opportunities across international markets trading at attractive discounts relative to their U.S. peers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted December 1, 2025 \u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2025 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., November 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of December 1, 2025 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights that while holiday sales may surpass $1tn, over 25% of spending on key gifts flows to imports.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":229573,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-235330","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: Week of December 1, 2025<\/title>\n<meta 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