{"id":234922,"date":"2025-11-20T14:12:57","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T19:12:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=234922"},"modified":"2025-11-20T14:51:58","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T19:51:58","slug":"forecast-september-jobs-report-marginally-raises-odds-of-a-december-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/forecast-september-jobs-report-marginally-raises-odds-of-a-december-cut\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecast: September Jobs Report Marginally Raises Odds of a December Cut: Nov. 20, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Odds of a December rate cut increased only marginally after this morning\u2019s September Jobs Report included the highest unemployment figure in 47 months. Recently, hawkish voices at the Fed have outnumbered the dovish ones, as the central bank appears increasingly unlikely to ease next month in light of 3% inflation and a level of joblessness that is still subdued, although it is rising. Indeed, the 25-basis point reduction \u201cYes\u201d trade was priced as low as $0.25 today before increasing to $0.37; it’s now at $0.33. Trading has been active, as approximately 95k contracts are open as it relates to the last monetary policy decision of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for image: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Nov. 20, 2025.<\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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