{"id":233127,"date":"2025-10-21T12:44:33","date_gmt":"2025-10-21T16:44:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=233127"},"modified":"2025-11-06T05:13:52","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T10:13:52","slug":"mamdani-traded-at-a-new-record-of-93-yesterday-as-sliwa-refuses-to-drop-out","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/mamdani-traded-at-a-new-record-of-93-yesterday-as-sliwa-refuses-to-drop-out\/","title":{"rendered":"Mamdani Traded at A New Record Of 93% Yesterday, As Sliwa Refuses to Drop Out: Oct. 21, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Zohran Mamdani’s likelihood of winning the New York City mayoral election hit a fresh record of 93% yesterday, a level that was repeated today. His probabilities are benefiting from Republican Party candidate Curtis Sliwa refusing to drop out of the race. If Sliwa leaves the contest, his supporters would almost certainly support former State Governor Andrew Cuomo, whose political leanings hover in the middle of the pack, a stark contrast from Mamdani, who identifies as a democratic socialist. The developments have weighed on Cuomo\u2019s chances, with his odds now dropping below 10%. Approximately 5.31 million open contracts exist tied to this event as voters of the five boroughs gear up to hit the booths in a little over two weeks on Nov. 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Historical<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Chances<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Oct. 21, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zohran Mamdani’s likelihood of winning the New York City mayoral election hit a fresh record of 93% yesterday, a level that was repeated today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":226876,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-233127","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forecast-trader","8":"category-macro","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMamdani Traded at A New Record Of 93% Yesterday, As Sliwa Refuses to Drop 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