{"id":230709,"date":"2025-09-18T08:59:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-18T12:59:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=230709"},"modified":"2025-09-18T09:14:53","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T13:14:53","slug":"chart-advisor-fed-day-daily-chart-setup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-fed-day-daily-chart-setup\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: Fed Day: Daily Chart Setup"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

By\u00a0Todd Stankiewicz CMT, CFP, ChFC<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/ Fed Day: Daily Chart Setup<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\/ Weekly Chart: Momentum Holds<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/\u00a0Monthly Chart: Late Stage Rally<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein do not represent the views of CMT Association or Investopedia. Please consult a financial advisor for investment recommendations and services.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Fed Day: Daily Chart Setup<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

All eyes are on the Fed today, but the daily chart is already showing its hand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The S&P 500 has been stair stepping higher for two weeks straight with 8 green days out of the last 11 and nearly 150 points added since September began. Daily candles are narrowing. Traders are positioning ahead of the decision but not pressing too hard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Resistance:<\/strong>\u00a06650 (psychological ceiling), then 6700 if Powell leans dovish<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Support:<\/strong>\u00a06580 to 6600 (recent consolidation) with deeper backup at 6450 to 6480<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    With a 95 percent chance of a 25 basis point cut already priced in, the real story is whether Powell signals more cuts ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The daily chart is vulnerable to a classic sell the news move. Watch how price behaves around 6580 to 6650. Today\u2019s candle could dictate how September unfolds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    2\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Weekly Chart: Momentum Holds<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Zooming out, the weekly chart shows this is not just a September rally. It is a five month surge with serious momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Since April\u2019s lows near 5000, the S&P has climbed 32 percent. Each of the last three weekly closes has been stronger than the last, breaking cleanly out of the summer\u2019s sideways range. This is textbook momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Key levels for the intermediate view:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Support:<\/strong>\u00a06350 to 6450 (critical weekly floor and the same zone the daily chart highlights)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Upside:<\/strong>\u00a06700 to 6800 if Powell is dovish on future cuts<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Momentum can cut both ways. Either this trend extends higher or the Fed sparks the first topping pattern in months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Even if we see a dip today, the weekly structure stays bullish until 6400 breaks. Short term pullbacks do not mean the trend is broken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      3\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      Monthly Chart: Late Stage Rally<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      The monthly chart puts everything in perspective and shows why the next move matters more than today\u2019s cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      From the March and April lows at 5000, the S&P has staged a textbook V shaped recovery. September\u2019s candle is already up 3.5 percent and the trajectory is now steeper than the early post COVID bull market. That kind of vertical move rarely lasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Key long-term levels:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • Support:<\/strong>\u00a06000 to 6100, a natural zone for any deeper correction<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Upside:<\/strong>\u00a0Trend still points higher in the near term but stretched conditions suggest a 7 to 10 percent correction is possible before year end<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        The monthly chart confirms the uptrend, but we are in late stage territory. Today\u2019s Fed decision could either accelerate into a blow off top or mark the first step toward the correction that has been building.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        —<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Originally posted 17th September 2025<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        By\u00a0Todd Stankiewicz CMT, CFP, ChFC 1\/ Fed Day: Daily Chart Setup 2\/ Weekly Chart: Momentum Holds 3\/\u00a0Monthly Chart: Late Stage Rally Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":230710,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[14,16727,18,6,8,9,22,23,26,3],"tags":[77,910,207],"contributors-categories":[13686],"class_list":["post-230709","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-etfs","category-etps","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-stocks","category-technical-analysis","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-fed","tag-sp-500","tag-spx","contributors-categories-investopedia"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nChart Advisor: Fed Day: Daily Chart Setup | Traders' Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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