{"id":230402,"date":"2025-09-11T13:47:54","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T17:47:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=230402"},"modified":"2025-09-11T14:23:29","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T18:23:29","slug":"cuomos-momentum-has-dropped-and-mamdanis-odds-are-nearing-80-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/cuomos-momentum-has-dropped-and-mamdanis-odds-are-nearing-80-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Cuomo\u2019s Momentum Has Dropped and Mamdani\u2019s Odds Are Nearing 80% Again: Sep. 11, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Former New York State Governor Andrew Cuomo has been unable to sustain the momentum he built last week on anecdotal evidence signaling that incumbent mayor Eric Adams may ditch his reelection bid to accept a job in the Trump administration. Cuomo leaped above 20% but is now back below that level and hovering at 17% while Mamdani\u2019s chances are nearing 80% again, he\u2019s at 79%. Adams is at 3%, meanwhile. This contest has been especially popular in our prediction market, with approximately 3.4 million open contracts tied to the candidates. Residents of the Big Apple are scheduled to submit their selections on November 4.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"800\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-1FT-Sept-11-1100x800.png\" alt=\"Cuomo loses momentum in NY city mayor race\" class=\"wp-image-230404 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-1FT-Sept-11-1100x800.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-1FT-Sept-11-700x509.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-1FT-Sept-11-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-1FT-Sept-11-768x558.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-1FT-Sept-11-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-1FT-Sept-11.png 1785w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/800;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"522\" height=\"447\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-2-FT-Sept-11.png\" alt=\"Pricing of IBKR Contracts regarding NY city mayor race\" class=\"wp-image-230405 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-2-FT-Sept-11.png 522w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Picture-2-FT-Sept-11-300x257.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 522px) 100vw, 522px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 522px; aspect-ratio: 522\/447;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>S<em>ource for Images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of September 11, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former New York State Governor Andrew Cuomo has been unable to sustain the momentum he built last week on anecdotal evidence signaling that incumbent mayor Eric Adams may ditch his reelection bid to accept a job in the Trump administration.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":226876,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-230402","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forecast-trader","8":"category-macro","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Cuomo\u2019s Momentum Has Dropped and 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