{"id":229759,"date":"2025-08-27T12:49:30","date_gmt":"2025-08-27T16:49:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=229759"},"modified":"2025-08-28T05:21:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T09:21:13","slug":"singapore-to-ease-policy-again-in-october-on-light-inflation-even-as-growth-thrives","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/ibkr-economic-landscape\/singapore-to-ease-policy-again-in-october-on-light-inflation-even-as-growth-thrives\/","title":{"rendered":"Singapore to Ease Policy Again in October on Light Inflation, Even as Growth Thrives: Aug. 27, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Recent economic results point to the increased likelihood of Singapore loosening financial conditions as annualized inflation figures fall precipitously. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) maintains a target for core cost pressures of marginally under 2%, but the corresponding Consumer Price Index expanded just 0.5% year over year (y\/y) in July, while the overall CPI climbed only 0.6%. Both arrived below estimates by a tenth of a percent and compare to rates of 0.6% and 0.8% in June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"763\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Picture1-August-27.jpg\" alt=\"Singapore's annualized CPI is at only 0.6%\" class=\"wp-image-229760 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Picture1-August-27.jpg 1050w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Picture1-August-27-700x509.jpg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Picture1-August-27-300x218.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Picture1-August-27-768x558.jpg 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1050px) 100vw, 1050px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1050px; aspect-ratio: 1050\/763;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-second-half-of-year-off-to-a-strong-start\"><strong>Second Half of Year Off to a Strong Start<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The pace of GDP advancement could accelerate meaningfully and produce significant outperformance for the island-nation relative to its neighbors in Southeast Asia with the help of monetary policy accommodation. One thing that\u2019s working well for the city-state is that its exports to the US only face a 10% tariff, which is well below the 15% average. And despite global trade uncertainty persisting, July\u2019s manufacturing numbers were terrific. The country\u2019s industrial production jumped 8.2% m\/m and 7.1% y\/y, easily surpassing the economist consensus expectation for a 1.1% m\/m gain. The monthly climb was the sharpest in 12 months, illustrating reaccelerating economic conditions following a weak first quarter GDP print of -0.4% quarter over quarter, although the second quarter was much better at 1.4% and I perceive that the third will be the strongest so far in 2025 at around 1.7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-mas-poised-to-ease-and-economy-set-to-take-off\"><strong>MAS Poised to Ease and Economy Set to Take Off<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The MAS adjusts its monetary position by changing the Dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (S$NEER), which is an allowed range for its currency to trade against a basket of tenders issued by its major cross-border commerce partners. Having eased for the second time this year in April, further accommodation at the organization\u2019s October macroeconomic review is likely due to the recent CPI results. The economy is already growing strongly in the short-term and a looser stance by its central bank via a reduced slope to its policy band will provide a boost to performance, enabling the territory to soar past the Ministry of Trade &amp; Industry\u2019s 2025 GDP growth forecast of 1.5%-2.5%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recent economic results point to the increased likelihood of Singapore loosening financial conditions as annualized inflation figures fall precipitously. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":221875,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,12711,18,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-229759","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-asia","8":"category-ibkr-economic-landscape","9":"category-macro","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Singapore to Ease Policy Again in October on Light 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Torres\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"NewsArticle\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/ibkr-economic-landscape\\\/singapore-to-ease-policy-again-in-october-on-light-inflation-even-as-growth-thrives\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/ibkr-economic-landscape\\\/singapore-to-ease-policy-again-in-october-on-light-inflation-even-as-growth-thrives\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"Jose Torres\",\n\t                \"@id\": 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In this capacity, he is responsible for economic analysis, economic commentary and educational content focused on the economy. Prior to joining Interactive Brokers, Jos\u00e9 spent 6 years working as an economist in the United States government within the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). During his time with the U.S. government, Jos\u00e9 frequently led presentations covering economic conditions and forecasts for elected officials, political appointees and senior management. He also built economic models, consulted with private sector executives, contributed to the modernization of economic processes and gained recognition for predicting the inflationary episode of the 2020s. Jos\u00e9 has also been a professor of economics at the City University of New York and holds a master\u2019s degree in financial economics from West Texas A&amp;M University. 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