{"id":228279,"date":"2025-08-04T10:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T14:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=228279"},"modified":"2025-08-05T04:04:47","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T08:04:47","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-august-4-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-august-4-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: Week of August 4, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>GDP grew by 3.0% in 2Q<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Job openings ticked down by 250k<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nonfarm payrolls rose by a worse than expected 73k<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>PMIs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>International trade<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>America runs on consumerism. The post-COVID spending boom drove above average GDP growth in 2023 and 2024, but now, the consumer is slowing down. Consumer companies have been highlighting a deceleration in sales growth since the end of last year. Customers are still willing to spend, but they\u2019ve become increasingly choosey and value conscious. Cruise ship companies, for example, have continued to report strong demand, but as this week\u2019s chart shows, airlines and hotels have struggled. Large retailers are seeing a similar trend, with tradedowns in the lower income brackets and bulk buying in the higher. Tariffs are the outstanding question. Companies will need to pass on some of their increased costs by raising prices, but many are concerned about demand destruction. Confidence is low, and tolerance for additional price hikes may be especially limited after the inflation in 2022. Nevertheless, balance sheets remain in good shape. Household net worth has grown by $50 trillion since before the pandemic, and consumers have $9 in assets for every $1 in liabilities. Delinquencies are rising for student, auto and credit card loans, but these categories combined only account for 25% of consumer liabilities. During second quarter earnings calls, banks reported their customers remain in good health, citing a slight improvement in credit quality from last quarter and bank account balances still above pre-pandemic levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moving ahead, investors should keep a particularly close eye on the labor market. Friday\u2019s downward revisions to hiring data increase the risk of a more pronounced slowdown in consumer spending, but if layoffs remain tame, consumer credit should remain solid, supporting continued slow growth in consumer spending and the economy overall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1017\" height=\"405\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-04-094357.png\" alt=\"Chase credit card spending\" class=\"wp-image-228282 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-04-094357.png 1017w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-04-094357-700x279.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-04-094357-300x119.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-04-094357-768x306.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1017px) 100vw, 1017px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1017px; aspect-ratio: 1017\/405;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Chase, J.P. Morgan Equity Research, J.P. Morgan<br>Asset Management. Richard Shane, Melissa Wedel, A.J. Denham.<br>\u201cChase Spending Data.\u201d Series are 7-day averages of spending levels<br>indexed to January 2019. Data are as of July 25, 2025.<br>Thought of the week: J.P. Morgan Asset Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted August 4, 2025 \u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2025 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., August 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of August 4, 2025 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights strong cruise demand versus struggling airlines and hotels, reflecting shifting consumer spending trends.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":228282,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-228279","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: Week of August 4, 2025<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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