{"id":228090,"date":"2025-07-30T09:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-30T13:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=228090"},"modified":"2025-07-31T03:59:55","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T07:59:55","slug":"auto-draft","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/","title":{"rendered":"An all-inclusive news day"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Briefing.com Summary:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Markets face &#8220;analysis paralysis&#8221; from a packed day of events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*FOMC expected to hold rates; focus is on potential dissents and Powell\u2019s comments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Q2 GDP and July ADP Employment Change reports print upside surprises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding announcement, and even a tsunami warning for Hawaii and the California coast following an 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market participants will be forgiven if they don&#8217;t rush to act on any of it, mainly because there is so much to which they can react. It is a day where &#8220;analysis paralysis&#8221; could set in, given the permutations of what it could mean for the market outlook. For good measure, the earnings reports from&nbsp;<strong>Microsoft (MSFT)<\/strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<strong>Meta Platforms (META)<\/strong>&nbsp;await after the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, the S&amp;P 500 futures are up six points and are trading 0.1% above fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are up 52 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 12 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There isn&#8217;t a lot of pep in that step, but to be fair, the market hasn&#8217;t really been tripped up by any of the news items either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most companies reporting earnings have exceeded expectations (see Briefing.com&#8217;s Earnings Results Calendar for the full rundown), President Trump has confirmed that there won&#8217;t be an extension of the August 1 tariff deadline, there still hasn&#8217;t been a formal extension of the August 12 tariff deadline for China, and the&nbsp;Treasury Department has announced that it is offering $125 billion of Treasury securities to refund approximately $89.8 billion of privately-held Treasury notes and bonds maturing on August 15, 2025.&nbsp;Treasury anticipates maintaining nominal coupon and FRN auction sizes for at least the next several quarters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The securities are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A 3-year note in the amount of $58 billion, maturing August 15, 2028;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A 10-year note in the amount of $42 billion, maturing August 15, 2035; and<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A 30-year bond in the amount of $25 billion, maturing August 15, 2055.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In terms of today&#8217;s economic data, it carried relatively good news.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The ADP Employment Change Report for July showed private sector employment increasing by 104,000 (Briefing.com consensus: 78,000) following an upwardly revised decline of 23,000 (from -33,000) in June.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The key takeaway is that, while the overall employment growth was modest, it was broad-based with gains for small, medium, and large establishments. In brief, it was not a report that signals any material weakness in the labor market.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Advance Q2 GDP report showed real GDP increasing at an annual rate of 3.0% (Briefing.com consensus: 2.5%) following a 0.5% decline for the first quarter. The GDP Deflator increased 2.0% (Briefing.com consensus: 2.6%) following a 3.8% increase in the first quarter.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The key takeaway from the report is the recognition that the stronger growth was fueled by the decrease in imports (-30.3%), which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP. The net exports component contributed 4.99 percentage points to Q2 GDP growth.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The FOMC decision will be released at 2:00 p.m. ET, but it is effectively already known. The fed funds futures market is assigning a 97.9% probability to the FOMC leaving the target range for the fed funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50%. The intrigue revolves around how many members will cast a dissenting vote, preferring a lower rate, and what Fed Chair Powell communicates at his press conference, which begins at 2:30 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2-yr note yield is up three basis points to 3.90%, and the 10-yr note yield is up four basis points to 4.36%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted July 30, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/page-one\">An all-inclusive news day<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding announcement, and even a tsunami warning for Hawaii and the California coast following an 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13589],"class_list":{"0":"post-228090","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"contributors-categories-briefing-com"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>An all-inclusive news day | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228090\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"An all-inclusive news day | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding announcement, and even a tsunami warning for Hawaii and the California coast following an 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-30T13:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-07-31T07:59:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"NewsArticle\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/auto-draft\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/auto-draft\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/471100aa2d58a5f0ab685bbd889b3ebb\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"An all-inclusive news day\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2025-07-30T13:30:00+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2025-07-31T07:59:55+00:00\",\n\t            \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/auto-draft\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"wordCount\": 611,\n\t            \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"articleSection\": [\n\t                \"Macro\",\n\t                \"North America\",\n\t                \"Region\",\n\t                \"Securities\",\n\t                \"Text Articles\",\n\t                \"Traders' Insight\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t                    \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/auto-draft\\\/#respond\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/auto-draft\\\/\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/auto-draft\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"An all-inclusive news day | IBKR Campus US\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2025-07-30T13:30:00+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2025-07-31T07:59:55+00:00\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding announcement, and even a tsunami warning for Hawaii and the California coast following an 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia.\",\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"ReadAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/auto-draft\\\/\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebSite\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"IBKR Campus US\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers\",\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"SearchAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"EntryPoint\",\n\t                        \"urlTemplate\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"\n\t                    },\n\t                    \"query-input\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"PropertyValueSpecification\",\n\t                        \"valueRequired\": true,\n\t                        \"valueName\": \"search_term_string\"\n\t                    }\n\t                }\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Organization\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Interactive Brokers\",\n\t            \"alternateName\": \"IBKR\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"logo\": {\n\t                \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\n\t                \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\n\t                \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t                \"contentUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t                \"width\": 669,\n\t                \"height\": 669,\n\t                \"caption\": \"Interactive Brokers\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"publishingPrinciples\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/about-ibkr-campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"ethicsPolicy\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/cyber-security-notice\\\/\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Person\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/471100aa2d58a5f0ab685bbd889b3ebb\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Patrick has been with Briefing.com since 1997 and authors the Page One, The Big Picture, Fed Brief, and Market View columns. He also provides commentary on Live In Play.\",\n\t            \"sameAs\": [\n\t                \"https:\\\/\\\/www.briefing.com\\\/\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/author\\\/patrick-j-o-hare\\\/\"\n\t        }\n\t    ]\n\t}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"An all-inclusive news day | Traders' Insight","description":"Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding...","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228090\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"An all-inclusive news day | IBKR Campus US","og_description":"Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding announcement, and even a tsunami warning for Hawaii and the California coast following an 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/","og_site_name":"IBKR Campus US","article_published_time":"2025-07-30T13:30:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-07-31T07:59:55+00:00","author":"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/"},"author":{"name":"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/471100aa2d58a5f0ab685bbd889b3ebb"},"headline":"An all-inclusive news day","datePublished":"2025-07-30T13:30:00+00:00","dateModified":"2025-07-31T07:59:55+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/"},"wordCount":611,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"articleSection":["Macro","North America","Region","Securities","Text Articles","Traders' Insight"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/","name":"An all-inclusive news day | IBKR Campus US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-07-30T13:30:00+00:00","dateModified":"2025-07-31T07:59:55+00:00","description":"Today is one of those all-inclusive days. There is earnings news, economic data, an FOMC policy decision, trade talk, a quarterly refunding announcement, and even a tsunami warning for Hawaii and the California coast following an 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/auto-draft\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","name":"IBKR Campus US","description":"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization","name":"Interactive Brokers","alternateName":"IBKR","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","width":669,"height":669,"caption":"Interactive Brokers"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/about-ibkr-campus\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/cyber-security-notice\/"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/471100aa2d58a5f0ab685bbd889b3ebb","name":"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare","description":"Patrick has been with Briefing.com since 1997 and authors the Page One, The Big Picture, Fed Brief, and Market View columns. He also provides commentary on Live In Play.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/"],"url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/patrick-j-o-hare\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/60"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=228090"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228090\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=228090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=228090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=228090"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=228090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}