{"id":227905,"date":"2025-07-25T12:55:43","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T16:55:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=227905"},"modified":"2025-07-28T03:45:33","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T07:45:33","slug":"wall-street-record-run-goes-uninterrupted-by-trump-powell-in-helmets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/ibkr-economic-landscape\/wall-street-record-run-goes-uninterrupted-by-trump-powell-in-helmets\/","title":{"rendered":"Wall Street Record Run Goes Uninterrupted by Trump &amp; Powell in Helmets: July 25, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wall Street\u2019s record run is continuing in the aftermath of President Trump visiting the Fed\u2019s headquarters during which he delivered a friendly, sports-like bump in the back of Chair Powell while telling the press that he would love lower interest rates. The two leaders and GOP members toured the central bank\u2019s construction site and wore hard helmets on their heads, somewhat reminiscent of the Commander in Chief\u2019s past ventures in commercial real estate. But the monetary authority\u2019s rate decision is next week and&nbsp;investors are taking their cue from robust earnings reports, which are coinciding with hopes that another major trade deal or two will be announced by next Friday\u2019s August 1 deadline. Rumors have it that the EU is nearing a Tokyo-like agreement with Washington, characterized by 15% tariffs on exports to the US. Participants are responding by picking up stocks in the majority of sectors while also reaching for greenback exposure and forecast contracts. Conversely, the commodity complex is facing selling pressure across the board, and so is bitcoin. But Treasuries are pretty flat along the curve and traders are generally unwinding hedges as prices of volatility protection instruments slide.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-boeing-orders-drag-durable-goods-report\"><strong>Boeing Orders Drag Durable Goods Report<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On a relatively quiet day for the economic calendar, durable goods was the only domestic data point delivered. The June headline sported a huge negative of 9.3% month over month (m\/m) due to a heavy plunge in Boeing orders. Still, the result exceeded the -10.8% median estimate but gave back much of the 16.5% gain from May. Highly volatile passenger aircraft purchases were down 51.8% m\/m and the other category also weighed on performance, but not by much, decreasing a modest 0.2%. All other major components reported gains as follows:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Defense airplanes, 9.1%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Automobiles, 0.9%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Computers\/electronic products, 0.6%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Primary metals, 0.6%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Machinery, 0.4%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fabricated metal products, 0.2%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Electrical equipment, 0.1%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The capital goods ex airplane segment, meanwhile, a critical indicator of business investment, descended 0.7% after a sharp 2% climb in the previous interval.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"763\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/Picture8-3.png\" alt=\"Durable goods orders decline\" class=\"wp-image-227907 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/Picture8-3.png 1050w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/Picture8-3-700x509.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/Picture8-3-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/Picture8-3-768x558.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1050px) 100vw, 1050px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1050px; aspect-ratio: 1050\/763;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-trump-will-likely-get-upset-at-powell-again\"><strong>Trump Will Likely Get Upset at Powell, Again<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The incoming week is another pivotal one from an earnings standpoint in light of a large number of S&amp;P 500 members and 4 magnificent 7 constituents on deck to report numbers. And while the last 5 days have been quiet from an economic data perspective, the next 7 will be quite eventful. Indeed, the domestic calendar features a Fed decision, a 2nd quarter GDP recovery as well as tons of labor statistics including nonfarm payrolls, job openings, ADP hiring, and unemployment claims. Additionally, we\u2019ll see updated PCE figures, construction spending, pending home sales and ISM-manufacturing. Also, a critical date falling on Jobs Friday is the trade deadline and closed deals with EU and India would add further fuel to the tank of this stock market rally. I&#8217;m projecting that investors will be pleased by profit performances from corporate America, but the economic data is a bigger question mark, considering that the US central bank is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged which will probably spark a fiery response from President Trump. But if the committee stands back because the economy is doing so great, is that really a terrible thing?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-international-roundup\"><strong>International Roundup<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-heatwave-sparks-increase-in-uk-retail-sales\"><strong>Heatwave Sparks Increase in UK Retail Sales<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Warm weather in the UK heated up retail sales last month after volumes sank in May, but the results missed expectations. Volumes grew 0.9% m\/m, a recovery from the 2.8% May decline but less than the economist consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Core retail sales, which exclude certain items with volatile prices, such as automobiles, gasoline, and building materials, also followed the trend. Within this metric, stores and other outlets sold 0.6% more m\/m in June following a 2.9% drop in the fifth month of the year, missing the 1.2% economist forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Regarding the broader headline gauge, supermarkets generated strong results, especially for beverages, with weather in June\u2014the hottest month on record\u2014causing consumers to stock up on drinks. Food sales also increased as UK residents dusted off their barbecues. At the same time, the weather triggered an increase in travel, pumping up gasoline sales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-consumers-remain-pessimistic\"><strong>As Consumers Remain Pessimistic<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Great Britain shoppers\u2019 pessimism strengthened last month with the Gfk Consumer Confidence gauge falling from -18 to -19, matching the economist forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In another sign of pessimism, household\u2019s put more money aside for the future with the Gfk savings gauge hitting 34, the loftiest result since November 2007. Gfk attributes the low sentiment to current inflation and the outlook for additional price pressures. UK residents are also concerned about potential tax increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-singapore-industrial-product-better-than-expected\"><strong>Singapore Industrial Product Better than Expected<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Industrial production in Singapore was flat m\/m in June, much worse than the 1% gain in May but better than the economist consensus call for a 1.5% descent. When compared to June 2024, output was up 8%, surpassing the 7.1% forecast and May\u2019s 3.6% print.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The m\/m figure, while weaker than May, would have sank 0.8% ex biomedical manufacturing, which is a volatile sector, according the city-nation\u2019s Economic Development Board. Singapore maintains a commanding role in electronics manufacturing, a sector of its economy that jumped 6.6% in June.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street\u2019s record run is continuing in the aftermath of President Trump visiting the Fed\u2019s headquarters during which he delivered a friendly, sports-like bump in the back of Chair Powell while telling the press that he would love lower interest rates. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":186448,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[12711,18,6,8,9,3],"tags":[4816],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-227905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ibkr-economic-landscape","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-traders-insight","tag-durable-goods-orders","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Wall Street Record Run Goes Uninterrupted by Trump &amp; Powell in 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His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/author\\\/jose-torres\\\/\"\n\t        }\n\t    ]\n\t}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Wall Street Record Run Goes Uninterrupted by Trump &amp; Powell in Helmets: July 25, 2025","description":"Wall Street\u2019s record run is continuing in the aftermath of President Trump visiting the Fed\u2019s headquarters during which he delivered a friendly,...","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227905\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Wall Street Record Run Goes Uninterrupted by Trump &amp; 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