{"id":227827,"date":"2025-07-24T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-24T14:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=227827"},"modified":"2025-07-25T03:44:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T07:44:40","slug":"record-watch-sp-breaks-out-will-nq-follow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/futures\/record-watch-sp-breaks-out-will-nq-follow\/","title":{"rendered":"Record Watch: S&amp;P Breaks Out\u2014Will NQ Follow?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>E-mini S&amp;P (September) \/ E-mini NQ (September)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 6396.25, up 49.50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NQ, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 23,310.75, up 84.50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">E-mini S&amp;P futures advanced to another fresh record high, driven by tailwinds from a U.S. trade deal with Japan and reports that one is nearing completion with the EU. After the bell, GOOG beat earnings and raised forecasts, helping to also lift the E-mini NQ to the doorstep of its fresh record. Alphabet\u2019s report has also underpinned strength in chips; AVGO, NVDA, and AMD. However, TSLA is -6% after another disappointing quarter and one highlighted by headwinds without EV incentives in the new \u2018Big Beautiful Bill\u2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is notable that Japan\u2019s Trade Negotiator, when asked overnight, said, \u201cI am not thinking about signing a legally binding agreement,\u201d and added that this is more of a mutual understanding to avoid a tariff increase on August 1st. His comments continue to raise questions about the strength of these trade deals. For instance, the biggest beneficiary here is Toyota, while leaving U.S. automakers disgruntled. On the other hand, Toyota has a tremendous U.S. production base, whereas many U.S. automakers have relied on importing materials and foreign assembly. However, my point is more that the market is celebrating the less uncertainty during this honeymoon phase of deal-making,&nbsp;but might be getting a bit ahead of itself in the near term.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is an ECB policy decision due at 7:15 am CT, followed by a press conference at 7:45 am CT. In the U.S., weekly Initial Jobless Claims, along with Building Permits, are due at 7:30 am CT. Next up is the Flash PMIs for July at 8:45 am CT, followed by New Home Sales at 9:00 am CT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">E-mini S&amp;P and E-mini NQ futures have traded out above settlement for much of the overnight session, and these levels will align to create our Pivot and point of balance, and first key support, respectively (detailed below). The initial spike yesterday on positive news between the U.S and EU through the 10:00 am CT hour will serve as first key support at&#8230;&#8230;&nbsp;&nbsp;Want to read the Full Article?&nbsp;Unlock full technical breakdowns and our daily take on crude, metals, livestock, grains, and equities\u2014sign up through the portal today and don\u2019t miss a move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcx1nh.share.hsforms.com%2F2539O20AeRC6JvI5Tu7V-5g&amp;data=05%7C02%7Ckmelagrano%40interactivebrokers.com%7C2169e6953320491190c708ddcac71063%7C7abd04ef837d48e69ba869d84f65a110%7C0%7C0%7C638889678568616051%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=YRD1LIrZZ1EZHcsQF%2BenTQ2BAIHpOL5cg1ZRm3YKwVM%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SIGN UP<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Originally Posted on July 24, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/bluelinefutures.com\/2025\/07\/24\/record-watch-sp-breaks-out-will-nq-follow\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Record Watch: S&amp;P Breaks Out\u2014Will NQ Follow?<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>E-mini S&amp;P futures advanced to another fresh record high, driven by tailwinds from a U.S. trade deal with Japan and reports that one is nearing completion with the EU.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[17,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13588],"class_list":["post-227827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-futures","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","contributors-categories-blue-line-futures"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Record Watch: S&amp;P Breaks Out\u2014Will NQ Follow?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"E-mini S&amp;P futures advanced to another fresh record high, driven by tailwinds from a U.S. trade deal with Japan and reports that one is nearing...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227827\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Record Watch: S&amp;P Breaks Out\u2014Will NQ Follow? 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