{"id":227678,"date":"2025-07-22T12:20:51","date_gmt":"2025-07-22T16:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=227678"},"modified":"2025-07-22T13:32:55","modified_gmt":"2025-07-22T17:32:55","slug":"trades-that-expire-tomorrow-singapore-cpi-canada-home-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/trades-that-expire-tomorrow-singapore-cpi-canada-home-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Trades That Expire Tomorrow: Singapore CPI, Canada Home Prices: July 22, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The last time Singapore\u2019s Consumer Price Index failed to exceed 0.5% year over year (y\/y) was in January 2021. With that in mind, I like the risk-reward profile of the <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/?loginType=1&amp;forwardTo=100&amp;clt=0&amp;ip2loc=OFF&amp;locale=en_US#\/market-details?id=725452887%7C20250723%7C0.5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cYes\u201d<\/a> forecast contract at that level, which costs $0.91. Tomorrow\u2019s median estimate is at 0.9% and of the 16 forecasters surveyed by Reuters, the range of expectations lies from 0.8% to 1.1%. Furthermore, when considering recent cost trends, it\u2019s quite a stretch for this Wednesday\u2019s figure to hit 0.5% or less.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"763\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/first-charts-July-22-FT.png\" alt=\"Singapore's CPI hasn't exceed 0.5% y\/y since January 2021\" class=\"wp-image-227680 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/first-charts-July-22-FT.png 1050w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/first-charts-July-22-FT-700x509.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/first-charts-July-22-FT-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/first-charts-July-22-FT-768x558.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1050px) 100vw, 1050px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1050px; aspect-ratio: 1050\/763;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"92\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/pix-1-contract-1100x92.png\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader Contract asking if Singapore Consumer Price Index will exceed 0.5% in June 2025\" class=\"wp-image-227681 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/pix-1-contract-1100x92.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/pix-1-contract-700x58.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/pix-1-contract-300x25.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/pix-1-contract-768x64.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/pix-1-contract.png 1297w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/92;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-team-no-at-0-2\"><strong>\u201cTeam No\u201d at 0.2%<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Canada\u2019s New Housing Price Index has not exceeded a 0.2% month-over-month increase since May 2022, over three years ago. I like the risk-reward profile of the <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/?loginType=1&amp;forwardTo=100&amp;clt=0&amp;ip2loc=OFF&amp;locale=en_US#\/market-details?id=787272475%7C20250724%7C0.2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cNo\u201d<\/a> at this level, priced at $0.90. For \u201cTeam No\u201d to lose, the headline would need to post a sizable upside beat of 0.3% to land it above 0.2%, since the median estimate is at 0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"763\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/third-image-july-22-FT.png\" alt=\"Canada's housing price index hasn't recorded a more than 0.2% gain since May 2022.\" class=\"wp-image-227683 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/third-image-july-22-FT.png 1050w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/third-image-july-22-FT-700x509.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/third-image-july-22-FT-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/third-image-july-22-FT-768x558.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1050px) 100vw, 1050px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1050px; aspect-ratio: 1050\/763;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"93\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/fourth-image-contract-July-22-1100x93.png\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader Contract asking if Canada's new housing price index will climb more than 0.2% in June 2025\" class=\"wp-image-227684 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/fourth-image-contract-July-22-1100x93.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/fourth-image-contract-July-22-700x59.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/fourth-image-contract-July-22-300x25.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/fourth-image-contract-July-22-768x65.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/fourth-image-contract-July-22.png 1288w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/93;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>S<em>ource for Images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of July 22, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last time Singapore\u2019s Consumer Price Index failed to exceed 0.5% year over year (y\/y) was in January 2021.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":221875,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18929,18,6,9,26,3],"tags":[19883,18755,20365],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-227678","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-prediction-market","8":"category-macro","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-canada-new-housing-price-index","14":"tag-ibkr-forecasttrader-contracts","15":"tag-singapore-consumer-price-index","16":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - 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