{"id":227529,"date":"2025-07-21T12:23:19","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T16:23:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=227529"},"modified":"2025-07-21T13:49:45","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T17:49:45","slug":"trade-of-the-day-thursdays-initial-claims-between-211k-and-250k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/trade-of-the-day-thursdays-initial-claims-between-211k-and-250k\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade of The Day: Thursday\u2019s Initial Claims Between 211K and 250K: July 21, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A combination trade I like heading into this Thursday\u2019s initial unemployment claims is buying the \u201cYes\u201d answer at the 210K threshold for $0.89 and the \u201cNo\u201d at 250k for $0.96. The combo has worked in almost every week in the past 52, excluding one in October and three near New Year\u2019s Day. I also like the \u201cYes\u201d at 200k, priced at $0.96. Furthermore, this Thursday\u2019s median estimate stands at 228k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Historical<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for Images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of July 21, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A combination trade I like heading into this Thursday\u2019s initial unemployment claims is buying the \u201cYes\u201d answer at the 210K threshold for $0.89 and the \u201cNo\u201d at 250k for $0.96. 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