{"id":225500,"date":"2025-06-10T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-10T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=225500"},"modified":"2025-06-11T03:38:03","modified_gmt":"2025-06-11T07:38:03","slug":"if-lly-price-stays-between-760-to-800-level-this-iron-condor-will-yield-132-percent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/options\/if-lly-price-stays-between-760-to-800-level-this-iron-condor-will-yield-132-percent\/","title":{"rendered":"If LLY Price Stays Between $760 to $800 Level This Iron Condor Could Yield 132%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-this-lly-iron-condor-could-pay-1-3-to-1-in-17-days\"><strong>This LLY Iron Condor Could Pay\u00a01.3 to 1\u00a0in 17 Days<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Outlook is neutral, with stock confined to a span of \u00b13%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Strategy has +132% ROI potential and 10% overvalued<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Expiration<\/td><td>03-Jul-25<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Buy<\/td><td>720 Put<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sell<\/td><td>760 Put<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sell<\/td><td>800 Call<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Buy<\/td><td>840 Call<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Credit:<\/td><td>$22.75<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Eli Lilly And Company has increased by +0.8% today to $775.70. Over the last two weeks, the stock has traded between $714.33 and $772.62. Implied volatility for LLY is down -3.8% today, indicating the market is potentially forecasting lower volatility in the weeks ahead. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for LLY has a theoretical 71% success rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-option-profit-calculator-for-lly-iron-condor-at-03-jul-25-expiration\">Option Profit Calculator for LLY Iron Condor at 03-Jul-25 Expiration<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"534\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.03\u202fAM-1100x534.png\" alt=\"If LLY stock price at expiration is between $760.00 and $800.00, this spread has a 132% upside potential\" class=\"wp-image-225501 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.03\u202fAM-1100x534.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.03\u202fAM-700x340.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.03\u202fAM-300x146.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.03\u202fAM-768x373.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.03\u202fAM.png 1318w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/534;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketchameleon.com\/Overview\/LLY\/OptionChain\/?e=1271275&amp;openopts=53859551sBr1tPx1271275_53859525sSr1tPx1271275_53859557sSr1tCx1271275_53898656sBr1tCx1271275&amp;utm_medium=local&amp;utm_source=articles&amp;utm_campaign=iron_condor_ideas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&gt; &gt; Click to View this Strategy in LLY Option Chain Profit Calculator<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As you can see in the chart above, the most profitable outcome is for LLY stock price to close between $760.00 and $800.00 at the July 3, 2025 expiration. Within that price range, all of the options will expire worthless, and you&#8217;d keep the original $22.75 credit you received at the time of the trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<strong>maximum gain<\/strong>&nbsp;will be realized if the stock price is between $760.00 and $800.00. The maximum gain is&nbsp;<strong>$22.75<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<strong>maximum loss<\/strong>&nbsp;would occur if the stock price at expiration is below $720.00 or above $840.00. The maximum loss is&nbsp;<strong>$17.25<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-lly-spread-current-market-price-vs-historical-average\">LLY Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"488\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.59\u202fAM-1100x488.png\" alt=\"LLY Iron Condor is trading at a 10% premium to historical average.\" class=\"wp-image-225502 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.59\u202fAM-1100x488.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.59\u202fAM-700x310.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.59\u202fAM-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.59\u202fAM-768x341.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-10-at-9.40.59\u202fAM.png 1326w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/488;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in LLY was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 20.73, with a high mark of 25.99 and a low of 15.52.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, this iron condor is bid at 22.75 and offered at 25.50. The midpoint of the spread is 24.13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If we use 20.73 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 10% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 16% premium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"3\">Current Price<\/td><td colspan=\"3\">Historical Values of Similar Iron Condors<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bid<\/td><td>Ask<\/td><td>Midpoint<\/td><td>Average<\/td><td>High<\/td><td>Low<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>22.75<\/td><td>25.50<\/td><td>24.13<\/td><td>20.73<\/td><td>25.99<\/td><td>15.52<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted on June 9, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/marketchameleon.com\/articles\/i\/2025\/6\/9\/26016-if-lly-price-stays-between-760-to-800-level-this\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">If LLY Price Stays Between $760 to $800 Level This Iron Condor Will Yield 132%<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Contact Information:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have feedback or concerns about the content, please feel free to reach out to us via email at support@marketchameleon.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>About the Publisher &#8211; Marketchameleon.com:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marketchameleon is a comprehensive financial research and analysis website specializing in stock and options markets. We leverage extensive data, models, and analytics to provide valuable insights into these markets. Our primary goal is to assist traders in identifying potential market developments and assessing potential risks and rewards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOTE:&nbsp;<\/strong>Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theocc.com\/company-information\/documents-and-archives\/options-disclosure-document\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">option risks and characteristics<\/a>&nbsp;at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theocc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">theocc.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. All stock price information is provided and transmitted as received from independent third-party data sources. The Information should only be used as a starting point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding investments and trading strategies. The Company does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the Information.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Eli Lilly And Company has increased by +0.8% today to $775.70. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1090,"featured_media":225501,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,19,8,9,26,3],"tags":[19825,16458,19826],"contributors-categories":[13788],"class_list":{"0":"post-225500","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-options","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-eli-lilly-and-company","14":"tag-iron-condor","15":"tag-option-profit","16":"contributors-categories-market-chameleon"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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