{"id":225375,"date":"2025-06-09T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-09T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=225375"},"modified":"2025-06-20T14:31:13","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T18:31:13","slug":"tsla-overpriced-credit-put-spread-has-49-yield-potential","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/options\/tsla-overpriced-credit-put-spread-has-49-yield-potential\/","title":{"rendered":"TSLA Overpriced Credit Put Spread has 49% Yield Potential"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bullish play with a target stock price of $337.50 or above<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Strategy has +49% upside potential and 4% overvalued<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Expiration<\/td><td>20-Jun-25<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Buy<\/td><td>332.5 Put<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sell<\/td><td>337.5 Put<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Credit:<\/td><td>$1.65<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Tesla has seen its price gain +2.9% today to $352.66. Based on moving averages, TSLA has been in a uptrend since May 29, so this spread would be a great way to leverage a bullish outlook. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for TSLA has a theoretical 73% success rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-option-profit-calculator-for-tsla-put-spread-at-20-jun-25-expiration\">Option Profit Calculator for TSLA Put Spread at 20-Jun-25 Expiration<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"645\" height=\"305\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-09-104239.png\" alt=\"If TSLA stock price at expiration is at or above $337.50, this spread has a 49% upside potential\" class=\"wp-image-225379 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-09-104239.png 645w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-09-104239-300x142.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 645px) 100vw, 645px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 645px; aspect-ratio: 645\/305;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketchameleon.com\/Overview\/TSLA\/OptionChain\/?e=1218854&amp;openopts=53793207sBr1tPx1218854_53793209sSr1tPx1218854&amp;utm_medium=local&amp;utm_source=articles&amp;utm_campaign=bullish_put_spreads\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&gt; &gt; Click to View this Strategy in TSLA Option Chain Profit Calculator<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or above $337.50 on the expiration date, June 20, 2025. In that scenario, both puts would expire worthless, allowing you to keep the entire $1.65 you received when selling the spread. That corresponds to a potential +49% return on the amount at risk with 12 days left until expiration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<strong>maximum gain<\/strong>&nbsp;will be realized if the stock price is at or above 337.50. The maximum gain is&nbsp;<strong>$1.65<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<strong>breakeven point<\/strong>&nbsp;is at&nbsp;<strong>335.85<\/strong>, which is 4.8% below the current spot price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<strong>maximum loss<\/strong>&nbsp;will occur when the stock price is at or below 332.5. The max loss is&nbsp;<strong>$3.35<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tsla-spread-current-market-price-vs-historical-average\">TSLA Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"647\" height=\"280\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-09-104114.png\" alt=\"TSLA Put Spread is trading at a 4% premium to historical average.\n\n\" class=\"wp-image-225377 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-09-104114.png 647w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-09-104114-300x130.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 647px) 100vw, 647px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 647px; aspect-ratio: 647\/280;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in TSLA was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 1.59, with a high mark of 1.86 and a low of 0.92.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, this vertical put spread is bid at 1.65 and offered at 1.85. The midpoint of the spread is 1.75.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If we use 1.59 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 4% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 10% premium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"3\">Current Price<\/td><td colspan=\"3\">Historical Values of Similar Spreads<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bid<\/td><td>Ask<\/td><td>Midpoint<\/td><td>Average<\/td><td>High<\/td><td>Low<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1.65<\/td><td>1.85<\/td><td>1.75<\/td><td>1.59<\/td><td>1.86<\/td><td>0.92<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-takeaway\">Takeaway<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The TSLA put spread we&#8217;ve identified here can be a good way to play a bullish outlook because the option strategy has a +49% upside potential, is 4% overpriced relative to historical measures, and will benefit from a stock price at or above $337.50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted June 3, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/marketchameleon.com\/articles\/i\/2025\/6\/3\/25965-tsla-overpriced-credit-put-spread-has-49pct-yield-po\">TSLA Overpriced Credit Put Spread has 49% Yield Potential<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOTE:&nbsp;<\/strong>Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theocc.com\/company-information\/documents-and-archives\/options-disclosure-document\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">option risks and characteristics<\/a>&nbsp;at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theocc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">theocc.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. All stock price information is provided and transmitted as received from independent third-party data sources. The Information should only be used as a starting point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding investments and trading strategies. The Company does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the Information.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesla has seen its price gain +2.9% today to $352.66. Based on moving averages, TSLA has been in a uptrend since May 29, so this spread would be a great way to leverage a bullish outlook.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":225379,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,19,8,9,26,3],"tags":[19940,19986,19225,19985,19984],"contributors-categories":[13788],"class_list":{"0":"post-225375","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-options","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-credit-put-spread","14":"tag-options-income","15":"tag-tsla-options","16":"tag-volatility-premium","17":"tag-yield-strategy","18":"contributors-categories-market-chameleon"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>TSLA Overpriced Credit Put Spread has 49% Yield Potential<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tesla has seen its price gain +2.9% today to $352.66. 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Based on moving averages, TSLA has been in a uptrend since May 29, so this spread would be a great...","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225375\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"TSLA Overpriced Credit Put Spread has 49% Yield Potential | IBKR Campus US","og_description":"Tesla has seen its price gain +2.9% today to $352.66. 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