{"id":225151,"date":"2025-06-04T09:42:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-04T13:42:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=225151"},"modified":"2025-07-08T16:16:18","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T20:16:18","slug":"ecb-likely-to-cut-rate-tomorrow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/ecb-likely-to-cut-rate-tomorrow\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecast Trade of the Day: ECB To Cut Tomorrow: June 4, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In light of yesterday\u2019s inflation figure of 1.9%, which is below the European Central Bank\u2019s 2% objective, tomorrow\u2019s interest rate decision is likely to be a cut. The current deposit rate of 2.25% is expected to be reduced to 2% as the institution increases its focus on employment and growth now that it has achieved significant price pressure accomplishments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding IBKR ForecastTrader Contracts, I like the <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/?loginType=1&amp;forwardTo=100&amp;clt=0&amp;ip2loc=OFF&amp;locale=en_US#\/market-details?id=783245080%7C20250605%7C2.15\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cNo\u201d<\/a> answer to the question, \u201cWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.15% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending June 5, 2025.\u201d \u00a0The \u201cNo\u201d costs $0.90. In conclusion, of the 81 forecasters in a Reuters poll, all expect a quarter-point reduction.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"780\" height=\"150\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/jUNE-4-ft-IMAGE-1.png\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader Contract asking if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate will be set above 2.15% tomorrow. \" class=\"wp-image-225155 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/jUNE-4-ft-IMAGE-1.png 780w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/jUNE-4-ft-IMAGE-1-700x135.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/jUNE-4-ft-IMAGE-1-300x58.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/jUNE-4-ft-IMAGE-1-768x148.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 780px; aspect-ratio: 780\/150;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"780\" height=\"132\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/June-4-FT-Img-2.png\" alt=\"Among 81 economists surveyed by Reuters, all expect the ECB to lower its key interest rate tomorrow\" class=\"wp-image-225156 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/June-4-FT-Img-2.png 780w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/June-4-FT-Img-2-700x118.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/June-4-FT-Img-2-300x51.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/June-4-FT-Img-2-768x130.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 780px; aspect-ratio: 780\/132;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Source for Images: ForecastEx, Reuters\/Refinitiv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: ForecastEx prices are highest bids as of the morning of June 4, 2025. Reuters\/Refinitiv image includes a red circle inserted by J. Torres to highlight the 81 forecasters that all expect a quarter-point reduction to a 2% deposit rate. &nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In light of yesterday\u2019s inflation figure of 1.9%, which is below the European Central Bank\u2019s 2% objective, tomorrow\u2019s interest rate decision is likely to be a cut. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":209044,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[12711,18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[2425,17937],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-225151","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ibkr-economic-landscape","8":"category-prediction-market","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-securities","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"tag-european-central-bank","16":"tag-ibkr-forecasttrader","17":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium 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His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/07\/business-up-down-featured-img.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225151","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=225151"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225151\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/209044"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=225151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=225151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=225151"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=225151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}