{"id":222547,"date":"2025-04-23T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-23T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=222547"},"modified":"2025-04-24T03:59:31","modified_gmt":"2025-04-24T07:59:31","slug":"us-stocks-likely-to-open-higher-after-trump-administration-hints-at-a-deal-with-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/us-stocks-likely-to-open-higher-after-trump-administration-hints-at-a-deal-with-china\/","title":{"rendered":"US Stocks Likely To Open Higher After Trump Administration Hints At A Deal With China: ‘It Is Prudent To Expect Continued Volatility In The Weeks Ahead,’ Says Expert"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

U.S. stock futures continued rising on Wednesday after a day of strong recovery on Tuesday. Futures of major benchmark indices were higher in premarket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

President Donald Trump<\/strong> hinted at a deal with China<\/a>. While speaking to the reporters at the White House, he said, “I think we will make a deal with China. If we don’t make a deal, we will set it. I think they will want to be a part of the United States. We’re doing great. This is the Golden Age.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent<\/strong>, during a private meeting<\/a> hosted by JPMorgan Chase & Co.<\/strong> hinted at de-escalation with China. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He said that a deal is achievable even as the formal negotiations have not begun yet. Bessent acknowledged that current duties were untenable, but did not provide the specifics or the timeline of the deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.34% and the two-year bond was at 3.83%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool<\/a>\u2018s projections show markets pricing a 94.2% likelihood of the Federal Reserve keeping the current interest rates unchanged in its May meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Futures<\/strong><\/td>Change (+\/-)<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Dow Jones<\/td>1.72%<\/td><\/tr>
S&P 500<\/td>2.17%<\/td><\/tr>
Nasdaq 100<\/td>2.49%<\/td><\/tr>
Russell 2000<\/td>2.21%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Cues From Last Session:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Fueled by strong earnings reports from 3M Co.<\/strong>  and Verizon Communications Inc.<\/strong> alongside a more than 5% after-hours surge for Tesla Inc.<\/strong>, U.S. stocks closed higher Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the economic front, the U.S. Redbook Index increased 7.4% year-over-year in the week ending April 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All S&P 500 sectors advanced, led by financial, consumer discretionary, and communication services stocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As of Tuesday, the Nasdaq 100 index was down 17.76% from its previous high of 22,222.61 points. The S&P 500 index was 13.98% lower, as compared to the last record high of 6,147.43 points. On the other hand, Dow Jones was 13.06% down from its 52-week high of 45,073.63 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Index<\/strong><\/td>Performance (+\/-)<\/strong><\/td>Value<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Nasdaq Composite<\/td>2.71%<\/td>16,300.42<\/td><\/tr>
S&P 500<\/td>2.51%<\/td>5,287.76<\/td><\/tr>
Dow Jones<\/td>2.66%<\/td>39,186.98<\/td><\/tr>
Russell 2000<\/td>2.71%<\/td>1,890.28<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Insights From Analysts:<\/strong><\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Senior economist Mohamed El-Erian<\/strong> underscored in an X post that volatility was the dominant theme for U.S. financial assets as the stocks recovered sharply on Tuesday after Monday\u2019s heavy selloff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to him, Tuesday\u2019s session followed the \u201cexact opposite session on Monday,\u201d which had seen a decline in equities, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in gold prices. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He was of the opinion that \u201cGiven all the uncertainties in play, it is prudent to expect continued volatility in the weeks ahead.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryan Detrick<\/strong> from Carson Research highlighted a trend in the market, the occurrence of which has marked the bottom within the NYSE in 1987, 2009, 2011 and 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to the data, over 89% of stocks advanced, with 89% of trading volume on Tuesday. This has happened on two days within nine trading days on April 9 and April 22.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This market signal’s reliability stems from extreme market breadth, indicating oversold conditions, often preceding rebounds as investor sentiment shifts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the past performance isn’t a guaranteed predictor, especially with current pressures like Trump’s tariff policies and potential Federal Reserve rate changes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Detrick said that after such a market signal, the market was \u201cUp nearly 25% on avg 6 months later.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Louis Navellier <\/strong>of Navellier & Associates, investors, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell<\/strong>, have been \u201cneedlessly worried\u201d about inflation and stagflation that has not materialized. \u201cThe reality is that deflation has arrived in the wake of the lowest crude oil prices in the past four years, so investors, the Fed, and our allies have been unnecessarily worried over nothing,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe stock market is a manic crowd that likes to react first and think second. It is now time to think and prosper during another spectacular earnings announcement season. Spring has arrived, and consumers are increasingly getting out and about, which is why the strongest retail sales in two years just occurred,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Upcoming Economic Data<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s what investors will keep an eye on Wednesday:<\/p>\n\n\n\n