{"id":220866,"date":"2025-03-27T10:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-27T14:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=220866"},"modified":"2025-06-20T15:39:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T19:39:33","slug":"us-gdp-growth-upwardly-revised-in-q4-trade-deficit-slightly-narrows-as-auto-exports-soar-in-february","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/us-gdp-growth-upwardly-revised-in-q4-trade-deficit-slightly-narrows-as-auto-exports-soar-in-february\/","title":{"rendered":"US GDP Growth Upwardly Revised In Q4, Trade Deficit Slightly Narrows As Auto Exports Soar In February"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-zinger-key-points\">Zinger Key Points<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>U.S. GDP grew 2.4% in Q4 2024, slightly above prior estimate but slower than Q3\u2019s 3.1% pace.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Goods trade deficit narrowed to $147.9B in February, missing expectations despite strong gains in auto and capital goods exports.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Economic data released Thursday morning showed a marginal upward revision to U.S. gross domestic product growth for the fourth quarter of 2024, alongside a narrower but still historically high goods&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/news\/econ-s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trade deficit for February.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from the previously estimated 2.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While this marks a slight improvement, it also reflects a slowdown from the 3.1% growth rate recorded in the third quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe increase in&nbsp;real GDP&nbsp;in the fourth quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending and government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased,\u201d the statement said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The key industry contributors to economic growth during the quarter included:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Real estate and rental and leasing, adding 0.38 percentage points to GDP<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Professional, scientific, and technical services, contributing 0.37 percentage points<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Health care and social assistance, accounting for 0.34 percentage points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>On the downside, durable goods manufacturing and wholesale trade subtracted 0.05 percentage points each from the headline figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation metrics remained relatively stable. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased by 2.2%, revised down 0.1 percentage point. The Personal Consumption Expenditure price index, a key inflation gauge, rose 2.4%, unchanged from the prior estimate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, rose 2.6%, slightly lower than the previously estimated 2.7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade Deficit Shrinks Less Than Expected, Auto Exports Rocket Ahead Of Tariffs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In a separate report, the U.S. Census Bureau noted that the goods trade deficit narrowed to $147.9 billion in February from a record-high $155.6 billion in January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The slight improvement fell short of economist expectations, which had forecast a much narrower gap of $134.5 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The data suggests that trade front-loading ahead of potential tariff increases may have persisted during the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>February exports totaled $178.6 billion, an increase of $7.0 billion from January. Imports eased slightly to $326.5 billion, down $0.6 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Notable export movements in February included a sharp 12.7% increase in automotive vehicles, which rose to $14.22 billion on a seasonally-adjusted basis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Capital goods exports climbed by 4.8%, while consumer goods advanced 2.8% over the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the import side, automotive vehicles rose 1.2%, consumer goods increased 2.8%, and the \u201cother goods\u201d category posted a strong 6.1% monthly gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>U.S. Goods Trade Balance \u2013 February 2025<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th><strong>Category<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>Exports (Feb)<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>M\/M % Change<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>Imports (Feb)<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>M\/M % Change<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Foods, Feeds &amp; Beverages<\/td><td>13.04<\/td><td>+4.1%<\/td><td>19.61<\/td><td>-5.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Industrial Supplies<\/td><td>62.37<\/td><td>-2.9%<\/td><td>85.99<\/td><td>-0.2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Capital Goods<\/td><td>59.34<\/td><td>+4.9%<\/td><td>89.26<\/td><td>-2.1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Automotive Vehicles, etc.<\/td><td>14.22<\/td><td>+12.7%<\/td><td>38.43<\/td><td>+1.2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Consumer Goods<\/td><td>22.11<\/td><td>+2.8%<\/td><td>80.51<\/td><td>+2.8%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Other Goods<\/td><td>7.52<\/td><td>+6.1%<\/td><td>12.71<\/td><td>+6.1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Total<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>178.60<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+4.1%<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>326.51<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>-0.2%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Data:<\/em><em>U.S. Census Bureau<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Labor Market Remains Steady<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Labor market data showed little deviation from expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the Labor Department, initial jobless claims came in at 224,000 for the week, closely aligned with forecasts and the prior week\u2019s 225,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Continuing jobless claims dropped to 1.856 million, outperforming projections of a slight rise to 1.89 million and improving from the previous 1.881 million, signaling resilience in the employment landscape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted March 27, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/economics\/macro-economic-events\/25\/03\/44513963\/us-gdp-growth-upwardly-revised-in-q4-trade-deficit-slightly-narrows-as-auto-exports-soar-in-february\">US GDP Growth Upwardly Revised In Q4, Trade Deficit Slightly Narrows As Auto Exports Soar In February<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economic data released Thursday morning showed a marginal upward revision to U.S. gross domestic product growth for the fourth quarter of 2024, alongside a narrower but still historically high goods trade deficit for February.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1128,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[20045,3475,20044,20046,4443],"contributors-categories":[13584],"class_list":{"0":"post-220866","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"tag-auto-exports","13":"tag-economic-momentum","14":"tag-gdp-revision","15":"tag-q4-growth","16":"tag-trade-deficit","17":"contributors-categories-benzinga"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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