{"id":220484,"date":"2025-03-21T12:08:28","date_gmt":"2025-03-21T16:08:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=220484"},"modified":"2025-04-14T17:00:31","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T21:00:31","slug":"singapore-cpi-presents-forecasttrader-opportunity-march-21-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/singapore-cpi-presents-forecasttrader-opportunity-march-21-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Singapore CPI Presents ForecastTrader Opportunity: March 21, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Singapore\u2019s February Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, scheduled for this Monday, is likely to reflect that cost pressures have remained contained. The Refinitiv consensus expectation projects a 0.9% year-over-year (y\/y) increase, which would mark a notable deceleration from 1.2% y\/y in January. Interest rates in the island country declined last month in light of slowing economic conditions and lighter inflationary forces, with the yield on 10-year government debt dropping from 2.90% on February 3 to 2.74% as of March 3. Considering the disinflationary winds while also keeping in mind that this series is volatile and could mark a surprise, I like the \u201cNo\u201d answer to the <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/?loginType=1&amp;forwardTo=100&amp;clt=0&amp;ip2loc=OFF#\/market-details?id=725452887%7C20250323%7C1.2\">ForecastTrader Contract<\/a> asking, \u201cwill the year-over-year change in the Singapore Consumer Price Index exceed 1.4% in February 2025?\u201d \u00a0The \u201cNo,\u201d priced at $0.68, offers a favorable risk\/reward profile, in my opinion. Furthermore, if costs jumped last month, \u201cTeam No\u201d still wins as long as prices didn\u2019t climb more than 1.4% y\/y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"75\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture1-12.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-220487 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture1-12.png 624w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture1-12-300x36.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 624px; aspect-ratio: 624\/75;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are as of the morning of March 21, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"763\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture2-14.png\" alt=\"Chart showing past Singapore CPI and Forecasttrader threshold\" class=\"wp-image-220525 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture2-14.png 1050w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture2-14-700x509.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture2-14-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Picture2-14-768x558.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1050px) 100vw, 1050px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1050px; aspect-ratio: 1050\/763;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Singapore\u2019s February Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, scheduled for this Monday, is likely to reflect that cost pressures have remained contained. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":206724,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12711,18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[17937,570,18847],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-220484","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ibkr-economic-landscape","8":"category-forecast-trader","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-securities","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"tag-ibkr-forecasttrader","16":"tag-inflation","17":"tag-singapore-cpi","18":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO 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