{"id":219996,"date":"2025-03-14T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T14:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=219996"},"modified":"2025-03-17T16:39:12","modified_gmt":"2025-03-17T20:39:12","slug":"natural-gas-is-the-future-fuel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/natural-gas-is-the-future-fuel\/","title":{"rendered":"Natural Gas Is The Future Fuel"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>On Monday the market dipped back below its pre-election level. The proximate cause was Trump\u2019s ambiguous response when asked if there will be a recession. He has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/trump-tariffs-stock-market-impact-on-your-401k-plan\/\">warned<\/a>&nbsp;that the tariffs will likely cause \u201ca little disturbance.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To this observer, the problem is more the rapid unpredictability with which new import taxes are announced and modified than the concept. We hope and expect that perhaps within weeks the desired policy outcomes on immigration and fentanyl will be deemed achieved by the White House.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Trump 2.0 has discovered a tool that he can wield with relative autonomy, using powers Congress has granted the president in an emergency, which this apparently is. It\u2019s going to be in his toolkit for the next four years, brandished as needed. Investors making long-term capital commitments will contemplate the possibility of further little disturbances for a while yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The market must price for this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/03\/07\/treasury-secretary-bessent-says-theres-no-trump-put-but-their-policies-should-boost-market.html\">said<\/a>&nbsp;there\u2019s no \u201cTrump put,\u201d a decline of sufficient magnitude to cause a policy reversal. But then, he could hardly say the opposite without becoming the ex-Treasury secretary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More correct is to say that falling US stock prices will be more than accompanied by economic pain among our trade partners, the targets of the tariffs. Our trade deficit was $918BN last year. We buy a lot more than we sell. While trade friction is essentially a lose-lose game, the economic pain is likely to be more acute in other countries than in the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1030\" height=\"579\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-1-1030x.jpg\" alt=\"Still got that election feeling?\" class=\"wp-image-220000 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-1-1030x.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-1-1030x-700x393.jpg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-1-1030x-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-1-1030x-768x432.jpg 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1030px) 100vw, 1030px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1030px; aspect-ratio: 1030\/579;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sl-advisors.com\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-1-1030x579.jpg.webp\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the investor seeking relative safety from the carnage that has hit previous market leaders such as Nvidia (NVDA), we think midstream energy infrastructure, especially that supporting natural gas, is worth consideration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/americanenergyindices.com\/the-index\">American Energy Independence Index (AEITR)<\/a>&nbsp;has outperformed the market since November\u2019s election. Stocks with natural gas exposure including Cheniere, Energy Transfer (ET) and Williams Companies (WMB) have held up better than the overall market because they have limited exposure to tariffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Energy is the president\u2019s favorite sector. Buying more US oil and gas is part of the tariff exit ramp for many countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As we noted in a recent blog post (see&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/sl-advisors.com\/midstream-is-about-volumes\">Midstream Is About Volumes<\/a>) investors in this sector care about quantity not price. The outlook for natural gas is especially good, with new data centers and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) exports both driving demand higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The US is going to pull ahead of Qatar and Australia (#2 and #3) as the world\u2019s biggest exporter of LNG. Natural gas has long been thought of as a transition fuel by those expecting the world to exist fully on renewables. They suggested it was a transition fuel helping the energy transition. A temporary fuel to enable the eventual move to fully rely on solar and wind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The opponents of natural gas fear that its market share gains won\u2019t be temporary, and for good reason. If the world had already been carpeted with solar panels and wind turbines before the shale revolution, unleashing reliable energy would have changed that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Transitioning off natural gas to unreliable power will require big incentives. As we\u2019ve often noted, the Natural Gas Energy Transition is the only one that\u2019s making an impact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1030\" height=\"579\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-2-1030x.jpg\" alt=\"Not enough to go around\" class=\"wp-image-219999 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-2-1030x.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-2-1030x-700x393.jpg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-2-1030x-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-2-1030x-768x432.jpg 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1030px) 100vw, 1030px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1030px; aspect-ratio: 1030\/579;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sl-advisors.com\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-2-1030x579.jpg.webp\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An investor asked me the other day if we should worry about a glut of LNG exports, led by the US and Qatar. We think the opposite is more likely. The world is ramping up its ability to buy. Regassification capacity, the reversal of liquefaction that chills natural gas to \u2013256F in preparation for loading onto an LNG tanker, is growing too. It\u2019s more probable we\u2019ll have a shortage of exports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Energy Secretary Chris Wright told the CERAWeek energy conference that \u201cWe need more energy. Lots more energy.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mike Sommers, chief executive officer of the American Petroleum Institute,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2025-03-09\/how-natural-gas-became-america-s-most-important-export-under-trump?sref=1pkGItPd\">said<\/a>&nbsp;\u201cIt\u2019s clear now that natural gas is the future fuel.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1030\" height=\"579\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-3-1030x.jpg\" alt=\"The future fuel\" class=\"wp-image-219998 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-3-1030x.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-3-1030x-700x393.jpg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-3-1030x-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-3-1030x-768x432.jpg 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1030px) 100vw, 1030px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1030px; aspect-ratio: 1030\/579;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sl-advisors.com\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2025\/03\/Blog-Image-March-12-2025-3-1030x579.jpg.webp\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Midstream energy infrastructure investments are aligned with US policy as well as commercial incentives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tariffs aren\u2019t going to be a big factor for US energy exporters. Most countries aspire to have cheap energy like the US. The EU has done an exemplary job of reducing emissions at great cost, freeing up global capacity to accommodate China\u2019s steady increase from burning over half the world\u2019s coal. They have the world\u2019s biggest EV market, and it largely operates on power from burning the dirtiest fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many western governments have accepted the huge financial burden of embracing intermittent energy while developing countries across Asia make it worse. Buying US LNG won\u2019t get their power prices anywhere close to ours, but it will at least moderate the economic damage caused by the&nbsp;<em>Energiewende,&nbsp;<\/em>or energy transition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Natural gas offers a welcome respite from the daily tariff trauma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted March 12, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/sl-advisors.com\/natural-gas-is-the-future-fuel\">Natural Gas Is The Future Fuel<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Important Disclosures<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The information provided is for informational purposes only and investors should determine for themselves whether a particular service, security or product is suitable for their investment needs. The information contained herein is not complete, may not be current, is subject to change, and is subject to, and qualified in its entirety by, the more complete disclosures, risk factors and other terms that are contained in the disclosure, prospectus, and offering. Certain information herein has been obtained from third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy,&nbsp; completeness or timeliness of this information. Nothing provided on this site constitutes tax advice. Individuals should seek the advice of their own tax advisor for specific information regarding tax consequences of investments.&nbsp; Investments in securities entail risk and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a recommendation nor an offer to sell (or solicitation of an offer to buy) securities in the United States or in any other jurisdiction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>References to indexes and benchmarks are hypothetical illustrations of aggregate returns and do not reflect the performance of any actual investment. Investors cannot invest in an index and do not reflect the deduction of the advisor\u2019s fees or other trading expenses. There can be no assurance that current investments will be profitable. Actual realized returns will depend on, among other factors, the value of assets and market conditions at the time of disposition, any related transaction costs, and the timing of the purchase. Indexes and benchmarks may not directly correlate or only partially relate to portfolios managed by SL Advisors as they have different underlying investments and may use different strategies or have different objectives than portfolios managed by SL Advisors (e.g. The Alerian index is a group MLP securities in the oil and gas industries. Portfolios may not include the same investments that are included in the Alerian Index. The S &amp; P Index does not directly relate to investment strategies managed by SL Advisers.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This site may contain forward-looking statements relating to the objectives, opportunities, and the future performance of the U.S. market generally. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of such words as; \u201cbelieve,\u201d \u201cexpect,\u201d \u201canticipate,\u201d \u201cshould,\u201d \u201cplanned,\u201d \u201cestimated,\u201d \u201cpotential\u201d and other similar terms. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, estimates with respect to financial condition, results of operations, and success or lack of success of any particular investment strategy. All are subject to various factors, including, but not limited to general and local economic conditions, changing levels of competition within certain industries and markets, changes in interest rates, changes in legislation or regulation, and other economic, competitive, governmental, regulatory and technological factors affecting a portfolio\u2019s operations that could cause actual results to differ materially from projected results. Such statements are forward-looking in nature and involves a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, and accordingly, actual results may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. Prospective investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements or examples. None of SL Advisors LLC or any of its affiliates or principals nor any other individual or entity assumes any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, subsequent events or any other circumstances. All statements made herein speak only as of the date that they were made. r<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Certain hyperlinks or referenced websites on the Site, if any, are for your convenience and forward you to third parties\u2019 websites, which generally are recognized by their top level domain name. Any descriptions of, references to, or links to other products, publications or services does not constitute an endorsement, authorization, sponsorship by or affiliation with SL Advisors LLC with respect to any linked site or its sponsor, unless expressly stated by SL Advisors LLC. Any such information, products or sites have not necessarily been reviewed by SL Advisors LLC and are provided or maintained by third parties over whom SL Advisors LLC exercise no control. SL Advisors LLC expressly disclaim any responsibility for the content, the accuracy of the information, and\/or quality of products or services provided by or advertised on these third-party sites.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be suitable or profitable for a client\u2019s investment portfolio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Past performance of the American Energy Independence Index is not indicative of future returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Monday the market dipped back below its pre-election level. The proximate cause was Trump\u2019s ambiguous response when asked if there will be a recession. He has warned that the tariffs will likely cause \u201ca little disturbance.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":219998,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[18650,18813,10995,18814,18812],"contributors-categories":[13626],"class_list":{"0":"post-219996","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commodities","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-energy-infrastructure","14":"tag-lng-investment","15":"tag-market-volatility","16":"tag-natural-gas-demand","17":"tag-trump-tariffs","18":"contributors-categories-sl-advisors"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Natural Gas Is The Future Fuel | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"On Monday the market dipped back below its pre-election level. 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