{"id":219228,"date":"2025-02-28T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-28T15:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=219228"},"modified":"2025-03-03T15:54:24","modified_gmt":"2025-03-03T20:54:24","slug":"a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/","title":{"rendered":"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-key-takeaways\">Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wisdomtree.eu\/en-gb\/blog\/2025-02-27\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee#speculation\">Surging Arabica prices reflect extreme weather, market speculation, and shrinking global supply.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wisdomtree.eu\/en-gb\/blog\/2025-02-27\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee#supply\">Climate patterns and crop cycles suggest further supply pressures, keeping prices volatile.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wisdomtree.eu\/en-gb\/blog\/2025-02-27\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee#regulation\">Regulatory shifts and stockpiling add to short-term tightness, but a price correction is possible in 2025.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive record-setting session<sup>1<\/sup>. This surge is attributed to a confluence of climatic challenges, speculative trading activities, and inherent agricultural cycles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"speculation\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-speculative-trading-and-market-volatility\"><strong>Speculative trading and market volatility<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The recent price escalation is significantly influenced by speculative trading. Increased margin requirements by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) have led traders to liquidate short positions, intensifying upward price momentum. The ICE raised margins by 10% to $10,410 per Arabica contract, nearly double from a year ago, requiring an initial daily payment of around $62,000 to trade 100 metric tons of Arabica<sup>2<\/sup>. This financial pressure has prompted some traders to exit the market, further reducing liquidity and amplifying price fluctuations. Over the past year, short positioning has declined by 64% while long positioning has risen only 1%<sup>3<\/sup>. Net speculative positioning is currently more than 1 standard deviation above the 5-year average evident from the chart below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Figure 1: Net speculative positioning Arabica coffee futures<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"553\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-219230 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-700x352.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-768x386.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620.png 1128w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/553;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Source: Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Bloomberg, WisdomTree as of 4 February 2025.<strong>&nbsp;Historical performance is not an indication of future performance, and any investments may go down in value.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"supply\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-drought-conditions-in-brazil\"><strong>Drought conditions in Brazil<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Brazil, the world&#8217;s leading Arabica producer, has faced prolonged drought conditions since April 2024. These adverse weather patterns have significantly impacted coffee trees during their critical flowering stage, leading to concerns over reduced yields for the 2025\/26 harvest. The drought-induced stress on coffee plants has been a primary driver behind the escalating prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the latest estimates by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Brazil\u2019s 2024\/25 total coffee production is forecasted at 66.4mn bags<sup>4<\/sup>. Brazil\u2019s coffee exports hit record highs in 2024 as they expanded their share of the global market, filling a gap left by other large producers such as Vietnam and Indonesia. According to USDA, ending stocks in 2024\/25<sup>5<\/sup>&nbsp;are expected to be 1.24mn bags, marking a 26.4% decline versus 2023\/24. As of 2025, the global coffee stocks-to-use ratio stands at approximately 12.42%, reflecting a constrained supply scenario<sup>6<\/sup>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Figure 2: Coffee stocks-to-use ratio reflects a constrained supply scenario<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"488\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101643-1100x488.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-219231 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101643-1100x488.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101643-700x311.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101643-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101643-768x341.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101643.png 1151w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/488;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Source: United States Department of Agriculture, WisdomTree as of 31 December 2024.<strong>&nbsp;Historical performance is not an indication of future performance, and any investments may go down in value.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-biennial-bearing-cycle\"><strong>Biennial bearing cycle<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Arabica coffee plants exhibit a biennial bearing cycle, characterised by alternating years of high and low yields. The 2024\/25 season was an &#8216;on-year&#8217;, typically associated with higher production. However, due to the prevailing drought, even this &#8216;on-year&#8217; did not meet expected output levels. Looking ahead, the 2025\/26 season is an &#8216;off-year&#8217;, which traditionally yields lower production. Coupled with the current climatic challenges, this cyclical downturn is anticipated to exacerbate supply constraints, further influencing price trajectories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-la-nina-phenomenon\"><strong>La Ni\u00f1a phenomenon<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The La Ni\u00f1a event, characterised by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, has been in effect since January 2025. Historically, La Ni\u00f1a influences global weather patterns, often bringing drier conditions to South America. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) projects a 66% chance of La Ni\u00f1a persisting through February-April 2025, with a transition to neutral conditions likely by March-May 2025<sup>7<\/sup>. The phenomenon could lead to lower temperatures and frost in Southeast Brazil, intense rains in Indonesia and Colombia, and increased risks of tropical storms and hurricanes in Central America. In Southeast Brazil, lower temperatures and greater risks of frost threaten coffee crops. Indonesia may experience harvest delays or interruptions due to more intense rains, especially in Sumatra. Vietnam experiences negative temperature anomalies during the phenomenon, but their impact on yields remains uncertain. In Colombia and Guatemala, more intense rainfall can damage trees or increase susceptibility to disease.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"regulation\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-regulatory-impact\"><strong>Regulatory impact<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The European Union&#8217;s Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) aims to curb imports of commodities linked to deforestation, including coffee. Originally set for enforcement by the end of 2024, the regulation&#8217;s implementation has been postponed by one year to December 2025. This delay offers producers additional time to adapt to stringent traceability requirements. Despite the postponement, the impending regulation has already influenced market dynamics, with European importers accelerating purchases to build inventories ahead of the compliance deadline. This pre-emptive buying has contributed to tightening global supplies and escalating prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-market-outlook\"><strong>Market outlook<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While current prices reflect immediate supply concerns, market analysts anticipate potential easing in the longer term. A Reuters poll suggests that Arabica coffee prices could decline by approximately 30% by the end of 2025, contingent upon improved weather conditions and a resultant rebound in production<sup>8<\/sup>. However, this projection is predicated on the assumption of favourable climatic developments and the absence of unforeseen disruptions. In summary, the Arabica coffee market is navigating a period of significant volatility, driven by climatic adversities, speculative trading, and inherent agricultural cycles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted February 27, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wisdomtree.eu\/en-gb\/blog\/2025-02-27\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\">A brewing storm for Arabica coffee<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>1<\/sup>\u00a0Bloomberg as of 19 February 2025.<br><sup>2<\/sup>\u00a0Reuters as of 12 February 2025.<br><sup>3<\/sup>\u00a0Commodity Futures Trading Commission from 6 February 2024 to 4 February 2025.<br><sup>4<\/sup>\u00a0Coffee stocks-to-use ratio sourced from USDA reports.<br><sup>5<\/sup>\u00a0Ibid.<br><sup>6<\/sup>\u00a0United States Department of Agriculture as of December 2024. The stocks-to-use ratio is a critical metric in the coffee industry, representing the proportion of ending stocks relative to total consumption<br><sup>7<\/sup>\u00a0National Oceania and Atmospheric Administration as of 13 February 2025.<br><sup>8<\/sup>\u00a0Reuters Poll as of 13 February 2025\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive record-setting session.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":621,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,21,5,6,8,9,1031,26,3],"tags":[18600,18601,18602,18603,16844],"contributors-categories":[13714],"class_list":{"0":"post-219228","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-asia","7":"category-commodities","8":"category-europe-middle-east-africa","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-south-america","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"tag-arabica-price-surge","16":"tag-brazil-drought","17":"tag-la-nina-impact","18":"tag-regulatory-effects","19":"tag-speculative-trading","20":"contributors-categories-wisdomtree-europe"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A brewing storm for Arabica coffee | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219228\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive record-setting session1.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-28T15:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-03-03T20:54:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1128\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"567\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aneeka Gupta\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aneeka Gupta\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"NewsArticle\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"Aneeka Gupta\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3c3f869c8d87615c9c551bfbffa629d1\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2025-02-28T15:30:00+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2025-03-03T20:54:24+00:00\",\n\t            \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"wordCount\": 896,\n\t            \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png\",\n\t            \"keywords\": [\n\t                \"Arabica price surge\",\n\t                \"Brazil drought\",\n\t                \"La Ni\u00f1a impact\",\n\t                \"regulatory effects\",\n\t                \"speculative trading\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"articleSection\": [\n\t                \"Asia Pacific\",\n\t                \"Commodities\",\n\t                \"Europe, the Middle East and Africa\",\n\t                \"North America\",\n\t                \"Region\",\n\t                \"Securities\",\n\t                \"South America\",\n\t                \"Text Articles\",\n\t                \"Traders' Insight\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t                    \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/#respond\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee | IBKR Campus US\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"primaryImageOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2025-02-28T15:30:00+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2025-03-03T20:54:24+00:00\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive record-setting session1.\",\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"ReadAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/commodities\\\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\\\/#primaryimage\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png\",\n\t            \"contentUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebSite\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"IBKR Campus US\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers\",\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"SearchAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"EntryPoint\",\n\t                        \"urlTemplate\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"\n\t                    },\n\t                    \"query-input\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"PropertyValueSpecification\",\n\t                        \"valueRequired\": true,\n\t                        \"valueName\": \"search_term_string\"\n\t                    }\n\t                }\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Organization\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Interactive Brokers\",\n\t            \"alternateName\": \"IBKR\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"logo\": {\n\t                \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\n\t                \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\n\t                \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t                \"contentUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t                \"width\": 669,\n\t                \"height\": 669,\n\t                \"caption\": \"Interactive Brokers\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"publishingPrinciples\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/about-ibkr-campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"ethicsPolicy\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/cyber-security-notice\\\/\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Person\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3c3f869c8d87615c9c551bfbffa629d1\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Aneeka Gupta\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Aneeka Gupta is a director of research at WisdomTree. Prior to the acquisition of Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) Securities in April 2018, Aneeka worked as an equity &amp; commodities strategist at the company. Aneeka has 17 years of experience working as a research analyst across a wide range of asset classes. In her current role she is responsible for conducting analysis for all in-house equity, commodity and macro publications and assisting the sales team with client queries around products and markets. Aneeka holds a MSc in Mathematics from Oxford University and a BSc in Mathematics from the University of Delhi, India. She is also a chartered financial analyst (CFA).\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/author\\\/aneeka-gupta\\\/\"\n\t        }\n\t    ]\n\t}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee | Traders' Insight","description":"Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive...","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219228\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee | IBKR Campus US","og_description":"Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive record-setting session1.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/","og_site_name":"IBKR Campus US","article_published_time":"2025-02-28T15:30:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-03-03T20:54:24+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1128,"height":567,"url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Aneeka Gupta","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Aneeka Gupta","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/"},"author":{"name":"Aneeka Gupta","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/3c3f869c8d87615c9c551bfbffa629d1"},"headline":"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee","datePublished":"2025-02-28T15:30:00+00:00","dateModified":"2025-03-03T20:54:24+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/"},"wordCount":896,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png","keywords":["Arabica price surge","Brazil drought","La Ni\u00f1a impact","regulatory effects","speculative trading"],"articleSection":["Asia Pacific","Commodities","Europe, the Middle East and Africa","North America","Region","Securities","South America","Text Articles","Traders' Insight"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/","name":"A brewing storm for Arabica coffee | IBKR Campus US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png","datePublished":"2025-02-28T15:30:00+00:00","dateModified":"2025-03-03T20:54:24+00:00","description":"Arabica coffee prices have experienced unprecedented volatility, with futures surpassing $4.30 per pound on February 10, marking the 13th consecutive record-setting session1.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/commodities\/a-brewing-storm-for-arabica-coffee\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-28-101620-1100x553.png"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","name":"IBKR Campus US","description":"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization","name":"Interactive Brokers","alternateName":"IBKR","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","width":669,"height":669,"caption":"Interactive Brokers"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/about-ibkr-campus\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/cyber-security-notice\/"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/3c3f869c8d87615c9c551bfbffa629d1","name":"Aneeka Gupta","description":"Aneeka Gupta is a director of research at WisdomTree. Prior to the acquisition of Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) Securities in April 2018, Aneeka worked as an equity &amp; commodities strategist at the company. Aneeka has 17 years of experience working as a research analyst across a wide range of asset classes. In her current role she is responsible for conducting analysis for all in-house equity, commodity and macro publications and assisting the sales team with client queries around products and markets. Aneeka holds a MSc in Mathematics from Oxford University and a BSc in Mathematics from the University of Delhi, India. She is also a chartered financial analyst (CFA).","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/aneeka-gupta\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219228","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/621"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=219228"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219228\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=219228"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=219228"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=219228"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=219228"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}