{"id":219030,"date":"2025-02-24T10:15:13","date_gmt":"2025-02-24T15:15:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=219030"},"modified":"2025-03-13T16:17:54","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T20:17:54","slug":"weekly-market-recap-february-24-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/weekly-market-recap-february-24-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: February 24, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Housing starts declined 9.8% m\/m<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Initial claims rose to 219K<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Flash Mfg.\/Services PMI: 51.6\/49.7<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>House price index<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>New home sales<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2nd est. of 4Q24 GDP<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold has been on a tear, climbing 12% year-to-date, nearing $3,000 per troy ounce. This follows an impressive 25.3% surge last year, edging past the S&amp;P 500\u2019s total return. With prices at record highs, investors are questioning what\u2019s behind the rally and what role gold can play in their portfolios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At first glance, the rally seems puzzling, given the modest growth in overall demand over the last five years. But as the chart of the week highlights, one buyer has stood out: central banks. While higher real yields have weighed on demand from other sources, central banks have increased their purchases by 11.5% annually since 2019. Their accumulation, driven by the need to diversify reserves, accelerated after Russia\u2019s foreign assets were frozen in 2022. With their share nearing a quarter of total demand, they have now become a dominant force in the market. Moreover, unlike private investors, they have been price-insensitive buyers, accumulating gold despite record highs, as they are motivated by geopolitical risk hedging rather than return optimization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For private investors, the calculus is different. Gold pays no yield, making its opportunity cost even higher in today\u2019s elevated rate environment. While it has historically been a great diversifier during crises, it has not been a long-term source of alpha. Since 1988, gold has delivered roughly half the returns of a 60\/40 portfolio with 50% more volatility. Today, investors seeking diversification have access to superior alternatives\u2014such as transport and infrastructure\u2014which not only reduce portfolio risk but also provide yield, something gold inherently lacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1002\" height=\"401\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-24-101313.png\" alt=\"Central banks' gold rush\" class=\"wp-image-219031 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-24-101313.png 1002w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-24-101313-700x280.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-24-101313-300x120.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/Screenshot-2025-02-24-101313-768x307.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1002px) 100vw, 1002px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1002px; aspect-ratio: 1002\/401;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: World Gold Council, J.P. Morgan Asset<br>Management.<br>Thought of the week: ICE Benchmark Administration, World Gold<br>Council, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted February 24, 2025 \u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2025 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., February 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of February 24, 2025 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights central banks&#8217; 11.5% annual gold demand growth since 2019, driving the current rally in gold prices.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":219031,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[2417,14526,6854,2298,6465],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-219030","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-traders-insight","8":"tag-central-banks","9":"tag-gold-rally","10":"tag-housing-starts","11":"tag-market-recap","12":"tag-portfolio-diversification","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: February 24, 2025 | Traders&#039; 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