{"id":218722,"date":"2025-02-13T10:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T15:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=218722"},"modified":"2025-02-18T12:40:58","modified_gmt":"2025-02-18T17:40:58","slug":"inflation-fears-grow-as-producer-prices-rise-to-3-5-clouding-fed-interest-rate-cut-hopes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/inflation-fears-grow-as-producer-prices-rise-to-3-5-clouding-fed-interest-rate-cut-hopes\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation Fears Grow As Producer Prices Rise To 3.5%, Clouding Fed Interest Rate Cut Hopes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-zinger-key-points\">Zinger Key Points<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>U.S. producer prices surged 3.5% year over year in January, marking the highest annual increase since February 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Core PPI, excluding food and energy, rose 3.6% annually, slightly easing from December\u2019s upwardly revised 3.7%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation is back in the spotlight as broad-based price pressures hit U.S. producers in January 2025, fueling concerns that businesses will either absorb rising costs or pass them to consumers and dampening hopes for&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/topic\/interest-rates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Producer Price Index surged 3.5% year over year in January, according to Thursday&#8217;s release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This marks an acceleration from December&#8217;s 3.3% and exceeds the 3.2% forecast tracked by TradingEconomics. January&#8217;s surge also represents the highest annual reading since February 2023 and the fourth consecutive increase in the headline index, highlighting persistent inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a monthly basis, PPI climbed 0.4%, decelerating from December&#8217;s 0.5% and surpassing the expected 0.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The hotter-than-anticipated PPI follows a similarly stronger-than-expected Consumer Price Index report on Wednesday, which showed consumer inflation climbing 3.3% year over year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Within major PPI categories, energy recorded the highest monthly increase, up 1.7% in January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOver half of the broad-based January advance can be traced to a 1.7-percent increase in prices for final demand energy,\u201d the BLS said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet, even when excluding volatile food and energy costs, the core PPI soared 3.6% annually, slightly easing from December&#8217;s upwardly revised 3.7% but still above the 3.3% estimate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a monthly basis, core PPI surged 0.3%, slightly easing from an upwardly revised 0.4% reading in December and matching the expected 0.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/government\/regulations\/25\/02\/43676811\/producer-inflation-preview-why-is-fed-chair-powell-closely-watching-thursdays-wholesale-prices\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fed Chair&nbsp;<strong>Jerome Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;said&nbsp;<\/a>that an overheated PPI, combined with the already strong CPI, could push up the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the central bank&#8217;s preferred inflation measure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Inflation measure<\/th><th>January 2025<\/th><th>December 2024<\/th><th>Expectations<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>PPI YoY<\/td><td>3.5%<\/td><td>3.3%<\/td><td>3.2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>PPI MoM<\/td><td>0.4%<\/td><td>0.5%<\/td><td>0.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Core PPI YoY<\/td><td>3.6%<\/td><td>3.7%<\/td><td>3.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Core PPI MoM<\/td><td>0.3%<\/td><td>0.4%<\/td><td>0.3%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market Reactions<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the PPI report came in hotter than expected, investors didn\u2019t immediately pile into the dollar or unload stocks and Treasuries, as typically seen with strong inflation data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. Dollar Index, tracked by fell slightly minutes after the PPI release.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Treasury yields remained steady, with the 10-year yield holding 9 basis points to 4.63%. Rising yields pressured risk assets, sending stocks lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Futures on the\u00a0<strong>S&amp;P 500 index<\/strong>, rose 0.2% by 8:38 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the crypto market,&nbsp;<strong>Bitcoin&nbsp;<\/strong>held steady at $96,100, down 1.9% for the session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Get Real-Time Earnings Alerts Before the Market Moves<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Start trading earnings season like a pro with instant alerts the moment critical numbers drop. Plus, get expert analysis that uncovers hidden opportunities in the post-earnings chaos.&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/premium\/ideas\/benzinga-edge\/?utm_campaign=wallstreetadvantage&amp;utm_adtype=campaignify&amp;utm_ad=earnings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Start your earnings trading right here.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted February 13, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/economics\/macro-economic-events\/25\/02\/43692996\/inflation-fears-mount-as-producer-prices-soar-to-35-put-fed-interest-rate-cut-on-ice\">Inflation Fears Grow As Producer Prices Rise To 3.5%, Clouding Fed Interest Rate Cut Hopes<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. producer prices surged 3.5% year over year in January, marking the highest annual increase since February 2023.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1128,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[18502,570,16427,15788,4232],"contributors-categories":[13584],"class_list":{"0":"post-218722","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"tag-core-ppi","13":"tag-inflation","14":"tag-market-reactions","15":"tag-ppi-report","16":"tag-treasury-yields","17":"contributors-categories-benzinga"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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