{"id":217807,"date":"2025-01-27T02:58:27","date_gmt":"2025-01-27T07:58:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=217807"},"modified":"2025-01-27T03:06:36","modified_gmt":"2025-01-27T08:06:36","slug":"chart-advisor-bitcoin-bears-last-stand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-bitcoin-bears-last-stand\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: Bitcoin Bears\u2019 Last Stand"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

By\u00a0Matthew Caruso, CFA, CMT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/ Bitcoin Bears\u2019 Last Stand<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\/ Don\u2019t \u201cDo it\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/ AI Component Leader Sees Support<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

4\/\u00a0No Signs of Complacency<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein do not represent the views of CMT Association or Investopedia. Please consult a financial advisor for investment recommendations and services.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin Bears\u2019 Last Stand<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite rumors about Bitcoin becoming a potential U.S. reserve asset, IBIT (Bitcoin ETF) has struggled to break past its December high. Today saw a strong attempt at a breakout, but it was once again sold into. However, a three-touch downtrend line has now formed. If this line is broken, it will likely signal the end of this month-long consolidation and pave the way for a push to new all-time highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

2\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Don\u2019t \u201cDo it\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite dominating the shoe industry for decades, NIKE (NKE) seems to have lost its position as the industry’s growth leader. ONON has proven that the issue isn’t industry stagnation but NIKE’s stagnation, as ONON’s stock soars to new all-time highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss shoemaker has posted strong and accelerating revenue growth, reflected in its rising stock price. As a leader reaching new high ground with robust fundamentals, ONON appears well-positioned for continued upside.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

AI Component Leader Sees Support<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Recent IPO Astera Labs builds components designed to unlock the full speed and potential of AI infrastructure. While trading at eye-watering valuations, its growth rate is equally staggering, with revenue climbing several hundred percent and earnings accelerating rapidly. This level of growth is both rare and impressive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shares surged almost nonstop from their September lows to all-time highs but have since cooled. Today, a much-needed consolidation reached the 50-day moving average, where what looked like a breakdown turned into an impressive high-volume turnaround, potentially setting a floor for higher prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

4\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

No Signs of Complacency<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The market’s sudden and persistent turnaround from its January lows has evolved into a lock-out rally, leaving many bears frustrated. This type of action often aligns with more negative sentiment than price levels would typically suggest, as sellers remain stubborn and frustrated in the face of such a relentless counter-swing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This frustration is reflected in the VIX, which, at 15, remains elevated above levels typically seen during S&P 500 all-time highs and what investors would consider complacency. This indicates the market may have further upside before bulls overstep and bears capitulate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

—
Originally posted 24th January 2025<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By\u00a0Matthew Caruso, CFA, CMT 1\/ Bitcoin Bears\u2019 Last Stand 2\/ Don\u2019t \u201cDo it\u201d 3\/ AI Component Leader Sees Support 4\/\u00a0No Signs of Complacency Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1558,"featured_media":217812,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,5,18,6,8,9,22,23,26,3],"tags":[16831,17138,652,910,207,317],"contributors-categories":[13686],"class_list":{"0":"post-217807","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-etfs","8":"category-europe-middle-east-africa","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-securities","13":"category-stocks","14":"category-technical-analysis","15":"category-text-articles","16":"category-traders-insight","17":"tag-astera-labs","18":"tag-ibit","19":"tag-nke","20":"tag-sp-500","21":"tag-spx","22":"tag-vix","23":"contributors-categories-investopedia"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nChart Advisor: Bitcoin Bears\u2019 Last Stand<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The market's sudden and persistent turnaround from its January lows has evolved into a lock-out rally, leaving many bears frustrated. 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