{"id":216312,"date":"2024-12-12T09:45:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-12T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=216312"},"modified":"2025-01-27T12:44:37","modified_gmt":"2025-01-27T17:44:37","slug":"producer-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-to-3-in-november-all-eyes-on-the-feds-interest-rate-call","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/producer-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-to-3-in-november-all-eyes-on-the-feds-interest-rate-call\/","title":{"rendered":"Producer Inflation Rises More Than Expected To 3% In November: All Eyes On The Fed&#8217;s Interest Rate Call"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-zinger-key-points\">Zinger Key Points<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>U.S. producer price index rises 3% YoY in November, the highest since February 2023, exceeding forecasts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Core PPI climbs 3.4% YoY, marking its fifth consecutive increase and highest level since June 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The inflation measured on U.S. producer prices rose more sharply than anticipated in November, marking its second consecutive increase and casting a shadow over the broader outlook for<a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/topic\/inflation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;disinflation in the economy.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In November, the producer price index increased by 3% year-over-year \u2014 the highest since February 2023 \u2014 marking a significant uptick from October\u2019s upwardly revised 2.6% and economist forecasts of 2.6%, as tracked by TradingEconomics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This official data, released on Thursday, follows a rise in the consumer price index inflation to 2.7% annually last&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/economics\/macro-economic-events\/24\/12\/42436676\/inflation-rises-as-expected-in-november-sustain-hopes-for-next-weeks-fed-interest-rate-cut\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">month, aligning with estimates.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a monthly basis, the PPI climbed 0.4%, exceeding both the previous month\u2019s upwardly revised 0.3% and the forecasted figure of 0.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Excluding volatile items such as food and energy, the core PPI rose by 3.4% annually, matching an upwardly revised 3.4% in October and above expectations of 3.2%. This marks the fifth consecutive increase in underlying producer prices, with inflation reaching its highest level since June 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a monthly basis, the core PPI increased by 0.2%, a slight decline from October\u2019s 0.3%, meeting projections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Simultaneously, jobless claims rose more than expected to 242,000 for the week ending Dec. 7, surpassing estimates of 220,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Producer Prices Are Rising: Why It Matters<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Before the release of the PPI report, investors were nearly fully pricing in an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve\u2019s monetary policy meeting next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the robust PPI data is unlikely to halt the widely expected 25-basis-point interest rate cut, it could draw attention during Fed Chair&nbsp;<strong>Jerome Powell<\/strong>&#8216;s press conference, potentially prompting more cautious commentary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Policymakers aim to maintain consumer prices near the 2% target, but a stronger-than-expected increase in producer input prices could eventually pass through to consumer prices if the trend continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Reactions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose 0.1% following the report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Session gains for the greenback were further supported by an interest rate cut from the European Central Bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ECB reduced its interest rate by 25 basis points to 3%, as widely anticipated. This decision drove the euro-dollar exchange rate below the 1.05 level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Treasury yields remained steady after the PPI report, as the upward impact from hotter inflation was simultaneously counterbalanced by downward pressure from rising jobless claims.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>U.S. equity futures turned negative in premarket trading in New York. Futures contracts for the S&amp;P 500 fell 0.4%, reflecting heightened investor caution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>High-Yield Investments, Curated by Experts<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Benzinga Edge delivers a steady stream of income-generating stocks, trade ideas, and Wall Street level analysis straight to you. Take control of your portfolio with expert-selected picks built for dependable returns.&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/premium\/ideas\/benzinga-edge\/?utm_source=campaignifybottomVarC&amp;utm_campaign=external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Access our latest picks right here.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted December 12, 2024 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/news\/treasuries\/24\/12\/42460477\/producer-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-to-3-in-november-cast-shadow-on-further-disinflation-progress\">Producer Inflation Rises More Than Expected To 3% In November: All Eyes On The Fed&#8217;s Interest Rate Call<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. producer price index rises 3% YoY in November, the highest since February 2023, exceeding forecasts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1128,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[77,570,610],"contributors-categories":[13584],"class_list":{"0":"post-216312","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"tag-fed","13":"tag-inflation","14":"tag-interest-rate","15":"contributors-categories-benzinga"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Producer 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