{"id":214306,"date":"2024-10-28T10:15:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T14:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=214306"},"modified":"2024-10-31T11:06:05","modified_gmt":"2024-10-31T15:06:05","slug":"weekly-market-recap-october-28-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-october-28-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: October 28, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In a year with growth, inflation, interest rate, fiscal and geopolitical uncertainty, there has been one thing to count on: the American consumer. Despite rising delinquencies and data that until recently showed a historically low saving rate, consumer spending has defied expectations of a slowdown. In September, the Bureau of Economic Analysis&#8217;s (BEA) annual revisions to the national income and product accounts may explain why.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week\u2019s chart shows the average personal saving rate in the five years prior to the pandemic compared to 2024, both before and after the BEA\u2019s annual revisions. Prior to revisions, the personal saving rate averaged a record low of 3.4%, leading many to believe that spending was set to stall as consumers re-built their depleted savings. After revisions, however, the average personal saving rate jumped to 5.2%. While still below the average in the five years before the pandemic, this implies that consumers are in better financial shape than initially anticipated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ahead of a first look at third-quarter GDP, investors can find some peace of mind knowing that, in aggregate, consumers look healthy. However, there is divergence beneath the surface. Rising wealth has supported strong spending in the higher income cohorts, while lower income households remain under pressure. Still, bolstered by 17 straight months of positive year-over-year real wage gains, consumers should continue spending at a healthy pace, allowing the U.S. economy to maintain a soft landing into next year. Moving forward, resilient consumption should support earnings, allowing equities to grind higher, and a stable economy should allow the Federal Reserve to methodically ease policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Services and manufacturing PMIs both inched up<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consumer Sentiment improved to 70.5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Jobs report<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3Q GDP<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PCE<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nonfarm Payrolls<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1006\" height=\"400\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/10\/Screenshot-2024-10-28-110040.png\" alt=\"Personal saving rate pre- and post-revisions\" class=\"wp-image-214308 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/10\/Screenshot-2024-10-28-110040.png 1006w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/10\/Screenshot-2024-10-28-110040-700x278.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/10\/Screenshot-2024-10-28-110040-300x119.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/10\/Screenshot-2024-10-28-110040-768x305.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1006px) 100vw, 1006px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1006px; aspect-ratio: 1006\/400;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: BEA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset<br>Management.*2024 figures reflect the average personal savings rate<br>for the first 7 months of the year for the pre-revision data and the first<br>8 months of the year for the post-revision data.<br>Thought of the week: Source: BEA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset<br>Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted October 28, 2024 \u2013&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2024 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., October 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of October 28, 2024 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week\u2019s chart shows the average personal saving rate in the five years prior to the pandemic compared to 2024, both before and after the BEA\u2019s annual revisions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":214308,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[1685,3598,2298],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-214306","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-macro","14":"tag-market-outlook","15":"tag-market-recap","16":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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