{"id":214075,"date":"2024-10-22T13:01:38","date_gmt":"2024-10-22T17:01:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=214075"},"modified":"2024-11-04T11:14:12","modified_gmt":"2024-11-04T16:14:12","slug":"buy-dips-chase-rallies-lever-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/buy-dips-chase-rallies-lever-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Buy Dips, Chase Rallies, Lever Up"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Let me be very clear: the title of today\u2019s piece is NOT investment advice.  Instead, it appears to reflect many investors\u2019 mantra.  And it\u2019s working out for quite a few of them right now.  While I have no access to customer data, I do see a table of the 25 most active names on our platform over the past week, and the activities mentioned in today\u2019s title \u2013 buy dips, chase rallies, lever up \u2013 are usually reflected in that report. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It should be no surprise that Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) are perpetually the top two names.  Over the past year, as NVDA became the market\u2019s bellwether, it surpassed TSLA in both market and mindshare.  We\u2019ve written<\/a> about the dominance of semiconductors in both the market narrative and its returns, and that is certainly the case among our trading activity.  Last week was a particularly wild one for the semis.  A week ago, ASML plunged after offering poor guidance<\/a> despite solid quarterly earnings.  The following day, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) shot up after offering positive guidance.  Taken as a whole, investors chose to prefer TSM\u2019s narrative.  The chart below shows the recent movements of ASML and TSM plotted against SOXL, a 3X leveraged ETF based on the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6-Day Chart, ASML (red\/green bars), TSM (blue), SOXL (purple)<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"6-Day<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source: Interactive Brokers<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some of you might be wondering why I chose to portray SOXL rather than SOX.  That speaks to the activity that we see on our platform.  SOXL was #3, trailing only the aforementioned NVDA and TSLA, while ASML was #5 and TSM was #7.  ASML was by far the name with the most net buying activity, nearly double that of SOXL, though TSM only showed marginal net buying.  Remember today\u2019s title.  The dip in ASML was obviously bought (with some success, depending upon timing), and there was a preference for utilizing a levered product over a standard ETF. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ultimate leveraged election play, Trump Media & Technology (DJT), moves up to #6.  Even as major polls remain largely split, prediction markets have been increasingly favoring the former President\u2019s electoral chances.  DJT\u2019s stock moves generally parallel  with of its namesake\u2019s pricing on prediction markets, but with much more volatility.  Note the comparison below, between the 5-day movement for a \u201cYes\u201d vote on IBKR ForecastTrader<\/a> with that of DJT shares.  Many traders seem to prefer the more leveraged play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1-Week Price History of IBKR ForecastTrader \u201cYes\u201d Vote for \u201cWill Donald Trump win the US Presidential Election in 2024?\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"1-Week<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source: Interactive Brokers<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

DJT, 6-Days, 5-Minute Candles<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"DJT,<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source: Interactive Brokers<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Usually, when I peruse the table there is one symbol that I need to look up.  This week we have three names that I was unfamiliar with: #8 OKLO, #15 DRUG, and #24 ATNF. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • OKLO Inc. was clearly a beneficiary of the AI-fueled resurgence of nuclear power as this reactor company more than doubled last week. \u00a0There is an understandable reason for enthusiasm ever since Microsoft\u2019s (MSFT) agreement to buy power from Constellation Energy\u2019s (CEG) Three Mile Island nuclear plant.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Vancouver-based Bright Minds Biosciences (DRUG) traded with a $1 handle at the start of last week and nearly $80 by Friday.\u00a0 Even the company claimed to be unaware of any material changes last Tuesday to trigger its jump from $2.49 to over $40 that day (yes, one day).\u00a0 The company did a private placement at $21.70 on Thursday, and somehow that triggered a move on Friday to $79.02 before closing at $47.21 that day.\u00a0 This seems totally normal, no?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • With a name like 180 Life Sciences (ATNF), one might expect a biotech company.\u00a0 It went from $1.52 on Monday to a high of $17.75 shortly after the open on Tuesday, powered by an announcement that the company plans to enter the online casino market.\u00a0 Never mind its name, apparently.\u00a0 The stock quickly gave back most of its immediate gains, but it remains about 4X above its prior levels.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        I\u2019ll leave it to you to decide whether we\u2019re seeing a bit of froth right now, based on some of these moves.  But for many of you, the concept of buying dips, chasing rallies, and adding leverage is working out.  It certainly allowed equities to largely ignore a 10 basis point rise in bond yields yesterday.  NYSE decliners outpaced advancers 3:1, but the lone positive S&P 500 (SPX) sector that rose was information technology, the group that includes semis.  A new high in NVDA couldn\u2019t push SPX into positive territory, but it minimized its losses.  Surfing the wave is working for many.  Hopefully it doesn\u2019t result in a treacherous wipeout.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Let me be very clear: the title of today\u2019s piece is NOT investment advice. Instead, it appears to reflect many investors\u2019 mantra. 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