{"id":207830,"date":"2024-06-10T09:45:00","date_gmt":"2024-06-10T13:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=207830"},"modified":"2024-06-11T12:26:21","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T16:26:21","slug":"high-points-for-us-economic-data-scheduled-for-june-10-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/high-points-for-us-economic-data-scheduled-for-june-10-week\/","title":{"rendered":"High points for US economic data scheduled for June 10 week"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday of the June 10 week. The FOMC statement released at 14:00 ET on Wednesday will get a close read for any guidance in regard to the interest rate outlook. However, it is the summary of economic projections (SEP) that may be more informative. Markets will be looking for hints about any changes in the FOMC forecasts that will shape expectations for moves in the fed funds rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The prior SEP was issued on March 20 and implied three rate cuts of 25 basis points later in 2024. Shortly after that, the data on inflation, the labor market, and economic growth made that projection out-of-date. The inflation data for the first quarter as a whole showed a \u201csideways\u201d move that didn\u2019t change much at the start of the second quarter in data for April. Labor market data through May is consistent with tight conditions. GDP growth in the first quarter was a modest 1.3 percent \u2013 somewhat below the FOMC\u2019s longer-run forecast of up 1.8 percent \u2013 while early forecasts for the second quarter point to growth a little faster than the longer-run. The combination of recent lack of progress in disinflation, a healthy labor market, and tempered growth will keep the FOMC on hold as far as rate cuts go.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is widely anticipated that the SEP will reduce the forecast for rate cuts to only one or two this year \u2013 and maybe even none.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The June 11-12 FOMC meeting is almost certainly the last before Chair Jerome Powell delivers his semiannual monetary policy testimony before Congress. It isn\u2019t on the Fed\u2019s event calendar yet. It could be scheduled before the recess around the Independence Day observance on July 4, or it could be a week or two after that. In any case, Powell\u2019s prepared remarks for that testimony are probably going to closely align with the June 12 FOMC statement and his remarks at the press conference which will happen at 14:30 ET on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed policymakers will remain wary about under- or over-reacting to any one piece of economic data. It will probably take a full quarter\u2019s worth of numbers consistent with a resumption in disinflation before the hawkish tone of Fed comments ease while the economy chugs along with moderate growth and the labor market shows little sign of substantive loosening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"370\" height=\"362\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/1-1.jpg\" alt=\"Fed District Bank Nowcasts for GDP at week end\" class=\"wp-image-207832 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/1-1.jpg 370w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/1-1-300x294.jpg 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 370px) 100vw, 370px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 370px; aspect-ratio: 370\/362;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"481\" height=\"289\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/2.jpg\" alt=\"Fed funds rate, discount rate, 10RB\" class=\"wp-image-207833 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/2.jpg 481w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/2-300x180.jpg 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 481px; aspect-ratio: 481\/289;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"420\" height=\"297\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/3-5.png\" alt=\"Summary of Economic Projections Forecasts - As of March 2024\" class=\"wp-image-207834 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/3-5.png 420w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/06\/3-5-300x212.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 420px) 100vw, 420px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 420px; aspect-ratio: 420\/297;\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday of the June 10 week. The FOMC statement released at 14:00 ET on Wednesday will get a close read for any guidance in regard to the interest rate outlook. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":904,"featured_media":207833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[3221,1685,12380],"contributors-categories":[13593],"class_list":{"0":"post-207830","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-economic-data","14":"tag-macro","15":"tag-us-economics","16":"contributors-categories-econoday-inc"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>High points for US economic data scheduled for June 10 week<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday of the June 10 week. 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