{"id":207395,"date":"2024-05-30T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2024-05-30T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=207395"},"modified":"2024-05-31T04:21:05","modified_gmt":"2024-05-31T08:21:05","slug":"inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/","title":{"rendered":"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-who-is-john-neff\"><strong>Who is John Neff?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual return, beating the S&amp;P 500 by an average of over 3 percentage points per year. That track record made him one of the greatest investors of all time. Neff\u2019s approach was, in his own words, \u201crelatively prosaic, dull, [and] conservative.\u201d He focused on beaten-down, unloved stocks with low price-earnings ratios. Neff believed that as long as a company was fundamentally sound, a low P\/E meant it had been oversold and was due for a rebound. Neff detailed his low P\/E approach in his book John Neff on Investing. Originally published in 1999, it provides a straightforward look at how Neff used a combination of low multiples and fundamental strength to find winning stocks again and again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-neff-based-validea-model\"><strong>The Neff-Based Validea Model<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Validea used John Neff on Investing and other public sources to build a quantitative model that encapsulates Neff\u2019s approach. The model looks for stocks with the following characteristics:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>P\/E Ratio<\/strong>: The P\/E must be 40-60% of the market average to find companies that are out of favor. However, the P\/E must be above 5 to avoid weak companies.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Earnings Growth<\/strong>: EPS growth must be between 7% and 20% on average over the past 3, 4 and 5 years. Very high growth rates often can\u2019t be sustained.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Future Growth<\/strong>: Analysts\u2019 consensus estimates for long-term and current year EPS growth must both be over 6%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Sales Growth<\/strong>: Sales growth over past 3, 4 and 5 years must be either over 7% or at least 70% as high as EPS growth, showing growth is driven by sales, not cost-cutting.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Return\/PE<\/strong>: The sum of the EPS growth rate and dividend yield, divided by the P\/E, must be at least twice the market or industry average, showing a stock provides a lot of \u201cbang for the buck\u201d. The model also looks for persistent year-over-year increases in quarterly earnings, and gives extra credit for positive free cash flow.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-current-neff-type-stocks\"><strong>Current Neff-Type Stocks<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are four stocks that currently earn high marks from Validea\u2019s Neff-based model:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.validea.com\/guru-analysis\/DKS\">Dick\u2019s Sporting Goods (DKS)<\/a><\/strong>: Dick\u2019s is a full-line sporting goods retailer with over 850 stores. It has a P\/E of 15.3, 43% below the market average. EPS have grown an average of 34% per year over the past 3-5 years and sales 10% per year. Quarterly EPS have increased each of the past 4 quarters vs. the year-ago periods. Its total return\/PE of 2.36 is more than 3x the industry average.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.validea.com\/guru-analysis\/NXST\">Nexstar Media Group (NXST)<\/a><\/strong>: Nexstar owns television stations and websites across the U.S. It has a P\/E of 13.3, 51% below market average. EPS have increased 18% and sales 9% per year over the past 3-5 years.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.validea.com\/guru-analysis\/BERY\">Berry Global Group (BERY)<\/a><\/strong>: Berry makes plastic packaging products. Its P\/E of 14.1 is 48% below the market. It has grown EPS 17% and sales 7% per year long term. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.validea.com\/guru-analysis\/SR\">Spire Inc (SR)<\/a><\/strong>: Utility firm Spire\u2019s 15.2 P\/E is 44% below market average. Its EPS have grown 16.8% and sales 9% per year over past 3-5 years. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>John Neff showed that a focus on low P\/E stocks with good fundamentals could outperform the market over the long term. By using a quantitative model based on Neff\u2019s approach, Validea is identifying stocks like DKS, NXST, BERY and SR that share the characteristics that made Neff so successful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Research Links<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.validea.com\/john-neff\">More About John Neff<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.validea.com\/low-pe-investor-portfolio\/john-neff\">Validea\u2019s John Neff Strategy<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted May 29, 2024 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.validea.com\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/\">Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual return, beating the S&amp;P 500 by an average of over 3 percentage points per year. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[5531,17190],"contributors-categories":[13819],"class_list":{"0":"post-207395","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-north-america","7":"category-region","8":"category-securities","9":"category-stocks","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"tag-investment-strategy","13":"tag-john-neff","14":"contributors-categories-validea-capital-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207395\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual return, beating the S&amp;P 500 by an average of over 3 percentage points per year.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-30T14:45:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-31T08:21:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Contributor Author\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Contributor Author\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"NewsArticle\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"Contributor Author\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e823e46b42ca381080387e794318a485\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2024-05-30T14:45:00+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2024-05-31T08:21:05+00:00\",\n\t            \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"wordCount\": 589,\n\t            \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"keywords\": [\n\t                \"investment strategy\",\n\t                \"John Neff\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"articleSection\": [\n\t                \"North America\",\n\t                \"Region\",\n\t                \"Securities\",\n\t                \"Stocks\",\n\t                \"Text Articles\",\n\t                \"Traders' Insight\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t                    \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\\\/#respond\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\\\/\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff | IBKR Campus US\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2024-05-30T14:45:00+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2024-05-31T08:21:05+00:00\",\n\t            \"description\": \"John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual return, beating the S&P 500 by an average of over 3 percentage points per year.\",\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"ReadAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\\\/\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebSite\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"IBKR Campus US\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers\",\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"SearchAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"EntryPoint\",\n\t                        \"urlTemplate\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"\n\t                    },\n\t                    \"query-input\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"PropertyValueSpecification\",\n\t                        \"valueRequired\": true,\n\t                        \"valueName\": \"search_term_string\"\n\t                    }\n\t                }\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Organization\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Interactive Brokers\",\n\t            \"alternateName\": \"IBKR\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"logo\": {\n\t                \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\n\t                \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\n\t                \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t                \"contentUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t                \"width\": 669,\n\t                \"height\": 669,\n\t                \"caption\": \"Interactive Brokers\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"publishingPrinciples\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/about-ibkr-campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"ethicsPolicy\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/cyber-security-notice\\\/\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Person\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e823e46b42ca381080387e794318a485\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Contributor Author\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/author\\\/contributor-author\\\/\"\n\t        }\n\t    ]\n\t}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff","description":"John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual...","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207395\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff | IBKR Campus US","og_description":"John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual return, beating the S&P 500 by an average of over 3 percentage points per year.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/","og_site_name":"IBKR Campus US","article_published_time":"2024-05-30T14:45:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-05-31T08:21:05+00:00","author":"Contributor Author","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Contributor Author","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/"},"author":{"name":"Contributor Author","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/e823e46b42ca381080387e794318a485"},"headline":"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff","datePublished":"2024-05-30T14:45:00+00:00","dateModified":"2024-05-31T08:21:05+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/"},"wordCount":589,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"keywords":["investment strategy","John Neff"],"articleSection":["North America","Region","Securities","Stocks","Text Articles","Traders' Insight"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/","name":"Inside the Investment Strategy of John Neff | IBKR Campus US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-05-30T14:45:00+00:00","dateModified":"2024-05-31T08:21:05+00:00","description":"John Neff was the legendary manager of Vanguard\u2019s Windsor Fund from 1964 to 1995. During his three-decade tenure, the fund averaged a 13.7% annual return, beating the S&P 500 by an average of over 3 percentage points per year.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/inside-the-investment-strategy-of-john-neff\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","name":"IBKR Campus US","description":"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization","name":"Interactive Brokers","alternateName":"IBKR","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","width":669,"height":669,"caption":"Interactive Brokers"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/about-ibkr-campus\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/cyber-security-notice\/"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/e823e46b42ca381080387e794318a485","name":"Contributor Author","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/contributor-author\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/186"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=207395"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207395\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=207395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=207395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=207395"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=207395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}