{"id":207284,"date":"2024-05-29T09:48:32","date_gmt":"2024-05-29T13:48:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=207284"},"modified":"2024-08-28T15:33:25","modified_gmt":"2024-08-28T19:33:25","slug":"chart-advisor-go-or-nogo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-go-or-nogo\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: Go or NoGo?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

By\u00a0Alex Cole<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/ GoNoGo Charts: 3 questions, $SPY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\/ Around the Assets: Treasury Rates<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/ Around the Assets: Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

4\/ Around the Assets: Oil<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

5\/ Around the Assets: Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein do not represent the views of CMT Association or Investopedia. Please consult a financial advisor for investment recommendations and services.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

GoNoGo Charts: 3 questions, $SPY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In yesterday\u2019s note we took an indepth look at the S&P 500 Spdr using the full suite of GoNoGo Charts to give a complete technical analysis overview.\u00a0 Let\u2019s use what we know, make the process easy and answer three simple questions.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. What is the trend?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Where is momentum?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. Is there anything interesting happening around the zero line?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Courtesy of StockCharts<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    When looking at $SPY, we get the following:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    1. The weight of the evidence tells us the trend is a \u201cGo\u201d, but GoNoGo Trend is showing weakness with aqua bars<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    2. We saw Go Countertrend Correction Icons (red arrows) as Momentum fell from overbought levels and it is now at zero and volume is light<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    3. GoNoGo Oscillator is testing the zero level from above where we will watch to see if it finds support, as it should if the \u201cGo\u201d trend is to remain healthy\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      2\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      Around the Assets: Treasury Rates<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Treasury rates can impact equity prices.\u00a0 Generally speaking, rising rates can be seen as a headwind for the equity markets.\u00a0 Let\u2019s use the GoNoGo charts to answer our three questions.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Courtesy of StockCharts<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      1. GoNoGo Trend is painting amber \u201cGo Fish\u201d bars.\u00a0 This tells us that there are not enough criteria being met to identify either a \u201cGo\u201d or a \u201cNoGo\u201d trend.\u00a0 This reflects uncertainty.\u00a0 As Jesse Livermore once said, there is a time to go long, a time to go short, and a time to go fishing<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      2. The oscillator is dipping its nose into positive territory which is out of step with the previous \u201cNoGo\u201d trend.\u00a0 If momentum remains in positive territory we are likely to to see GoNoGo Trend begin to paint \u201cGo\u201d bars<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      3. After riding the zero line for a few bars causing a small GoNoGo Squeeze to build, the oscillator has broken into positive territory<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

        3\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

        Around the Assets: Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Gold has seen a strong run and price has broken above decade plus resistance.\u00a0 We\u2019ll answer our three questions using the GoNoGo Charts to assess the technical environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

        Courtesy of StockCharts<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        1. GoNoGo Trend has fallen out of the \u201cGo\u201d trend that it has been for a few months and is painting amber \u201cGo Fish\u201d bars that represent market uncertainty<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        2. After a Go Countertrend Correction Icon (red arrow) a few bars ago, GoNoGo Oscillator is at a value of zero and volume (for the ETF) is light<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        3. As GoNoGo Oscillator rides the zero line, we see the beginning of a GoNoGo Squeeze build and we note the reduced volatility. It will be important to pay attention to the direction of the break of the GoNoGo Squeeze to help determine price\u2019s next direction<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

          4\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

          Around the Assets: Oil<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

          There are inflection points everywhere it seems!\u00a0 The U.S. oil fund fell out of its \u201cGo\u201d trend around a month ago and has been moving sideways in a \u201cNoGo\u201d trend since. Having failed to make a new lower low, price rallied yesterday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

          Courtesy of StockCharts<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          1. GoNoGo Trend is painting \u201cNoGo\u201d bars albeit weaker pink ones as the \u201cNoGo\u201d trend has lost its strength<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          2. GoNoGo Oscillator is at a value of 1 and volume is light<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          3. The zero line has acted as resistance twice already during this \u201cNoGo\u201d move, but now we see that it failed to hold and the oscillator has broken into positive territory<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

            5\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

            Around the Assets: Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

            Another asset that can impact equity prices is of course the U.S. dollar.\u00a0 A fast rising dollar can be a headwind for equities and a falling dollar can be a tailwind. Answering our 3 questions can give us an understanding of the technical situation for the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

            Courtesy of StockCharts<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

              \n
            1. GoNoGo Trend is painting weaker aqua bars as price failed to set a higher high<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            2. GoNoGo Oscillator is at 0 and volume is light and so we must pay attention to its next move<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            3. The zero line has acted as resistance twice since it crossed below zero several weeks ago. We will watch closely as it rides the zero line and we see a GoNoGo Squeeze building.\u00a0 The breakout of the GoNoGo Squeeze will likely determine price\u2019s next direction<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

              —<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              Originally posted 29th May 2024<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

              Treasury rates can impact equity prices.\u00a0 Generally speaking, rising rates can be seen as a headwind for the equity markets.\u00a0 Let\u2019s use the GoNoGo charts to answer our three questions.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":207290,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,14,15,16,18,6,8,9,22,23,26,3],"tags":[320,2087,669,262,6677,3995,7760],"contributors-categories":[13686],"class_list":{"0":"post-207284","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commodities","8":"category-etfs","9":"category-fixed-income","10":"category-forex","11":"category-macro","12":"category-north-america","13":"category-region","14":"category-securities","15":"category-stocks","16":"category-technical-analysis","17":"category-text-articles","18":"category-traders-insight","19":"tag-cboe","20":"tag-gld","21":"tag-spdr","22":"tag-spy","23":"tag-tnx","24":"tag-uso","25":"tag-uup","26":"contributors-categories-investopedia"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nChart Advisor: Go or NoGo? 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