{"id":206162,"date":"2024-05-07T09:45:27","date_gmt":"2024-05-07T13:45:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=206162"},"modified":"2024-05-08T03:47:04","modified_gmt":"2024-05-08T07:47:04","slug":"the-final-peak-week-of-the-q1-season-begins-just-as-earnings-hit-their-stride","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/the-final-peak-week-of-the-q1-season-begins-just-as-earnings-hit-their-stride\/","title":{"rendered":"The Final Peak Week of the Q1 Season Begins Just As Earnings Hit Their Stride"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Q1 earnings continue to come in better-than-expected, pushing the overall S&amp;P 500\u00ae EPS growth to 5.0%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Outlier earnings dates for the week ahead: Loews Corp (L), Williams Companies Inc (WMB), Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), Assurant Inc (AIZ), Arista Networks (ANET), Rockwell Automation (ROK), Jack Henry &amp; Associates (JKHY), MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX) and NiSource Inc (NI)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The final peak week of earnings season concludes with 3,507 companies expected to report<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>First quarter earnings continued to come in better-than-expected&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/blog\/Big-Tech-Earnings-Beats-Stymie-Q2-Sell-Off\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">last week<\/a>, but it was the latest Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) meeting which led to a pop in markets in the second half of the week. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ruled out a rate hike at the next meeting, downplayed stagflation concerns and announced the central bank would slow the pace of balance sheet reductions, a move widely seen as a slight easing of monetary policy.<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rate cut hopes were raised even further on Friday when US jobs data for April came in weaker-than-expected. Nonfarm Payrolls totaled 175,000, well below the Dow Jones consensus of 240,000. Unemployment, which has stayed consistently low, rose to 3.9%.<sup>2<\/sup>&nbsp;All major US indices ended the day up 1 &#8211; 2% on the news.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the earnings front, all eyes were on two more of the Magnificent 7 names, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL). Amazon surpassed both top and bottom-line expectations, driven by strength in ad revenue which increased 24% YoY, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) which grew 17%.<sup>3<\/sup>&nbsp;Apple was able to beat on earnings estimates, but missed on revenues as iPhone sales sunk 10% during the quarter.<sup>4<\/sup>&nbsp;Despite that disappointing result, which CEO Tim Cook blamed on difficult YoY comparisons, the tech behemoth showed there is no shortage of cash when they announced a $110B buyback, the largest-ever in history. The stock shot up 6% in after-hours trading.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the flipside, there were some consumer-centric names that didn\u2019t fare well when they reported Q1 results last week. Results from Starbucks (SBUX)<sup>5<\/sup>, McDonald\u2019s (MCD)<sup>6<\/sup>&nbsp;and Yum! Brands (YUM)<sup>7<\/sup>&nbsp;all showed that US consumers were starting to hold back on dining out. All three missed on bottom-line expectations, while only McDonald\u2019s squeaked by on the top-line. Consumers have remained resilient in the face of higher prices in the last two years, but inflation may finally be taking its toll.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With 80% of S&amp;P 500 names reporting thus far, YoY earnings growth stands at 5.0% according to data from FactSet.<sup>8<\/sup>&nbsp;That\u2019s with 77% of companies surpassing analyst expectations, above the 10-year average, on par with the 5-year average and just a little lighter than the 1-year average of 78%. Revenues are still light, with only 61% of companies beating on the top-line, showing that many names are continuing to cost-cut their way to profitability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-on-deck-the-last-peak-week-of-the-q1-season\">On Deck the Last Peak Week of the Q1 Season<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week we get a smattering of results from different sectors, with 3,507 companies expected to report in total, the most of any week this season. Popular names to watch include Palantir (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/palantir-earnings-calendar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PLTR<\/a>) on Monday, Walt Disney (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/disney-earnings-calendar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DIS<\/a>) and Lyft (LYFT) on Tuesday, and Arm (ARM), Uber (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/uber-earnings-calendar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">UBER<\/a>) and Airbnb (ABNB) on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"802\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240506-Weekly-Earnings-Graphic-1920-x-1400-px-1100x802.png\" alt=\"Earnings Announcements - Week of May 6\" class=\"wp-image-206164 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240506-Weekly-Earnings-Graphic-1920-x-1400-px-1100x802.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240506-Weekly-Earnings-Graphic-1920-x-1400-px-700x510.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240506-Weekly-Earnings-Graphic-1920-x-1400-px-300x219.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240506-Weekly-Earnings-Graphic-1920-x-1400-px-768x560.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240506-Weekly-Earnings-Graphic-1920-x-1400-px-1536x1120.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240506-Weekly-Earnings-Graphic-1920-x-1400-px.png 1920w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/802;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source: Wall Street Horizon<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Outlier Earnings Dates this Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Academic research shows that when a company confirms a quarterly earnings date that is later than when they have historically reported, it\u2019s typically a sign that the company will share bad news on their upcoming call, while moving a release date earlier suggests the opposite.<sup>9<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week we get results from a number of large companies on major indexes that have pushed their Q1 2024 earnings dates outside of their historical norms. Nine companies within the S&amp;P 500 confirmed outlier earnings dates for this week, all of which are later than usual and therefore have negative DateBreaks Factors*. Those names are Loews Corp (L), Williams Companies Inc (WMB), Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), Assurant Inc (AIZ), Arista Networks (ANET), Rockwell Automation (ROK), Jack Henry &amp; Associates (JKHY), MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX) and NiSource Inc (NI).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*&nbsp;<em>Wall Street Horizon DateBreaks Factor: statistical measurement of how an earnings date (confirmed or revised) compares to the reporting company&#8217;s 5-year trend for the same quarter. Negative means the earnings date is confirmed to be later than historical average while Positive is earlier.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Q1 Earnings Wave<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week will mark the final \u201cpeak\u201d week of the Q1 earnings season with 3,507 companies set to report. May 9 is predicted to be the most active day with 1,236 companies anticipated to report. Thus far 42% of companies have reported (out of our universe of 10,000+ global names).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"666\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240503-WSH-ES-1100x666.png\" alt=\"Q1 2024 Earnings Season (Announcement Dates)\" class=\"wp-image-206165 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240503-WSH-ES-1100x666.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240503-WSH-ES-700x424.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240503-WSH-ES-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240503-WSH-ES-768x465.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/240503-WSH-ES.png 1283w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/666;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source: Wall Street Horizon<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[1] Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement, April 30 &#8211; May 1, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/monetary20240501a1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov<\/a><br>[2] Employment Situation Summary, May 3, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.bls.gov<\/a>&nbsp;<br>[3]&nbsp;&nbsp;Amazon.com Announces First Quarter Results, April 30, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ir.aboutamazon.com\/news-release\/news-release-details\/2024\/Amazon.com-Announces-First-Quarter-Results-68b9258cd\/default.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/ir.aboutamazon.com<\/a>&nbsp;<br>[4] Apple reports second quarter results, May 2, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.apple.com\/newsroom\/2024\/05\/apple-reports-second-quarter-results\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.apple.com<\/a>&nbsp;<br>[5]&nbsp;&nbsp;Starbucks Reports Q2 Fiscal 2024 Results, April 30, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/investor.starbucks.com\/press-releases\/financial-releases\/press-release-details\/2024\/Starbucks-Reports-Q2-Fiscal-2024-Results\/default.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/investor.starbucks.com<\/a>&nbsp;<br>[6] McDONALD&#8217;S REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2024 RESULTS, April 30, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/corporate.mcdonalds.com\/content\/dam\/sites\/corp\/nfl\/pdf\/Exhibit%2099.1%20-%20Q1-24.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/corporate.mcdonalds.com<\/a>&nbsp;<br>[7]&nbsp;&nbsp;Yum! Brands Reports First-Quarter Results, May 1, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/s2.q4cdn.com\/890585342\/files\/doc_financials\/2024\/q1\/Yum-Brands-Q1-24-Earnings-Release-5-1-24.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/s2.q4cdn.com<br><\/a>[8]&nbsp;&nbsp;EARNINGS INSIGHT, FactSet, John Butters, April 26, 2024,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/advantage.factset.com\/hubfs\/Website\/Resources%20Section\/Research%20Desk\/Earnings%20Insight\/EarningsInsight_042624A.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/advantage.factset.com<br><\/a>[9]&nbsp;&nbsp;Time Will Tell: Information in the Timing of Scheduled Earnings News, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Eric C. So, Travis L. Johnson, Dec, 2018,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2480662\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted May 6, 2024 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/blog\/The-Final-Peak-Week-of-the-Q1-Season-Begins-Just-As-Earnings-Hit-Their-Stride\">The Final Peak Week of the Q1 Season Begins Just As Earnings Hit Their Stride<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Q1 earnings continue to come in better-than-expected, pushing the overall S&amp;P 500\u00ae EPS growth to 5.0%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":586,"featured_media":206163,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[267,3598,15122,4109,44],"contributors-categories":[13636],"class_list":{"0":"post-206162","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-earnings","14":"tag-market-outlook","15":"tag-q1","16":"tag-stock-market","17":"tag-stocks","18":"contributors-categories-wall-street-horizon"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - 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