{"id":202605,"date":"2024-02-21T09:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-21T14:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=202605"},"modified":"2024-02-21T12:48:11","modified_gmt":"2024-02-21T17:48:11","slug":"nervous-energy-in-front-of-nvidia-earnings-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/nervous-energy-in-front-of-nvidia-earnings-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Nervous Energy in front of NVIDIA Earnings Report"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The selling that took place on Friday carried over yesterday coming off the three-day weekend. It was a retreat paced by the mega-cap stocks and small-cap stocks, and it was a retreat rooted in the notion that many stocks had gotten ahead of themselves and are due for a pullback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That notion is still intact this morning with several growth stocks issuing disappointing guidance in conjunction with reporting their latest quarterly results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Palo Alto Networks (PANW)<\/strong>&nbsp;is the standard bearer in that respect. It is down 25% in pre-market trading and is acting as a drag on other cybersecurity stocks such as&nbsp;<strong>CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD)<\/strong>, which is down 11%, and&nbsp;<strong>Fortinet (FTNT)<\/strong>, which is down 7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Other guidance offenders included&nbsp;<strong>Keysight Technologies (KEYS), Teledoc Health (TDOC), RingCentral (RNG)<\/strong>, and&nbsp;<strong>SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG)<\/strong>. They are all down sharply in pre-market trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, the S&amp;P 500 futures are down 14 points and are trading 0.3% below fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are down 108 points and are trading 0.6% below fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 78 points and are trading 0.2% below fair value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The guidance from Palo Alto Networks clearly took investors by surprise. The stock has been a star performer for some time, but failing to live up to the high growth expectations has created some nervous energy in front of&nbsp;<strong>NVIDIA&#8217;s (NVDA)<\/strong>&nbsp;earnings report after the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a lot of bullish sentiment (and hefty gains) wrapped up in NVIDIA&#8217;s stock, so the market&#8217;s reaction to the report will be just as important as what the AI leader reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Notably,&nbsp;<em>Bloomber<\/em>g reports that the positioning in the options market ahead of the report implies a nearly 11% move in the stock following earnings. There is no way such a move &#8212; up or down &#8212; won&#8217;t have a ripple effect on the broader market, which is why there is some hesitation (and some profit taking) ahead of the report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NVDA is down 2.0% in pre-market trading, crossing around $680 per share or roughly 6% lower than Friday&#8217;s closing price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Again, that report is after the close, but there are some other important items the market will have to process before the close. That includes the news that&nbsp;<strong>Amazon.com (AMZN)<\/strong>&nbsp;is going to be replacing&nbsp;<strong>Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)<\/strong>&nbsp;in the Dow Jones Industrial Average while&nbsp;<strong>Uber Technologies (UBER)<\/strong>&nbsp;will be replacing&nbsp;<strong>JetBlue Airways (JBLU)<\/strong>&nbsp;in the Dow Jones Transportation Average. Those changes will take place prior to the open on February 26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It also includes word that the Mortgage Bankers Association&#8217;s mortgage applications index declined 10.6% week-over-week, a $16 billion 20-yr bond auction at 1:00 p.m. ET, and the release of the FOMC Minutes for the January 30-31 meeting at 2:00 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on comments from Fed officials since that meeting, and the repricing seen in the fed funds futures market, there is an awareness that the minutes are likely to convey a more hawkish-minded position with respect to the policy rate. What could be more interesting in these minutes is any discussion pertaining to the Fed pulling back on its quantitative tightening efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the moment, buyers are pulling back on their efforts, recognizing that yesterday didn&#8217;t produce a buy-the-dip victory and that today is very much a wait-and-see kind of day in several respects, the most important of which won&#8217;t reveal itself until after the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted  February 21, 2024 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/page-one\">Nervous energy in front of NVIDIA earnings report<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>That notion is still intact this morning with several growth stocks issuing disappointing guidance in conjunction with reporting their latest quarterly results.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[267,1685,14020,3598,8235,44],"contributors-categories":[13589],"class_list":{"0":"post-202605","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-earnings","14":"tag-macro","15":"tag-market-brief","16":"tag-market-outlook","17":"tag-nvidia","18":"tag-stocks","19":"contributors-categories-briefing-com"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nervous Energy in front of NVIDIA Earnings Report<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"That notion is still intact this morning with several growth stocks issuing disappointing guidance in conjunction with reporting their latest quarterly...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/202605\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nervous Energy in front of NVIDIA Earnings Report | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"That notion is still intact this morning with several growth stocks issuing disappointing guidance in conjunction with reporting their latest quarterly results.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/nervous-energy-in-front-of-nvidia-earnings-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-21T14:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-21T17:48:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Patrick J. 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