{"id":199328,"date":"2023-11-24T09:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-24T14:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=199328"},"modified":"2023-11-27T13:06:42","modified_gmt":"2023-11-27T18:06:42","slug":"conviction-lacking-on-the-friday-after-thanksgiving","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/conviction-lacking-on-the-friday-after-thanksgiving\/","title":{"rendered":"Conviction lacking on the Friday after Thanksgiving"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Today is Friday &#8212; the Friday after Thanksgiving. That means participation will be limited and trading volume should be extremely light. It also means the stock market will close early at 1:00 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, the Friday after Thanksgiving also means it is Black Friday, which is why the business media are going to be paying a lot of attention to the retail industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The market has already paid its fair share of attention to the retail stocks, many of which have reported quarterly results and have provided guidance in recent weeks. Accordingly, it is a bit of a mystery in terms of how the retail stocks will fare today with the news spotlight cast on them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What we know at the moment is that the equity futures market is looking like the Friday after Thanksgiving, which is to say that it is not being governed with a great deal of conviction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, the S&amp;P 500 futures are up two points and are trading fractionally above fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are flat and are trading in-line with fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 45 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NVIDIA (NVDA)<\/strong>, which was a focal point in Wednesday&#8217;s trading following its earnings report, is a focal point again today with&nbsp;<em>Reuters<\/em>&nbsp;reporting the company is going to delay its China AI chip. Shares of NVDA are down 0.5% in pre-market action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That weakness is weighing on the broader market, but it hasn&#8217;t been a market mover per se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is little conviction this morning, which runs counter to the conviction shown at dining tables across the country yesterday and what should be seen today in shopping locales across the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Elsewhere, Israel and Hamas are expected to begin a four-day pause in fighting today as part of a hostage\/prisoner release deal, Japan reported a 3.3% year-over-year increase in CPI for October, up from 3.0% in September, and Turkey&#8217;s central bank raised its policy rate 500 basis points to 40.0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The economic releases on this Friday after Thanksgiving will be limited to the preliminary November S&amp;P Global US Manufacturing PMI and S&amp;P Global US Services PMI reports at 9:45 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2-yr note yield is up four basis points to 4.94% and the 10-yr note yield is up six basis points to 4.48% in another market that will be thinly traded on this Friday after Thanksgiving.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted October 24, 2023 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/page-one\">Conviction lacking on the Friday after Thanksgiving<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today is Friday &#8212; the Friday after Thanksgiving. That means participation will be limited and trading volume should be extremely light. It also means the stock market will close early at 1:00 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[14020,3598],"contributors-categories":[13589],"class_list":{"0":"post-199328","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-market-brief","14":"tag-market-outlook","15":"contributors-categories-briefing-com"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Conviction lacking on the Friday after Thanksgiving<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Today is Friday -- the Friday after Thanksgiving. That means participation will be limited and trading volume should be extremely light. It also means...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199328\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Conviction lacking on the Friday after Thanksgiving | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Today is Friday -- the Friday after Thanksgiving. That means participation will be limited and trading volume should be extremely light. It also means the stock market will close early at 1:00 p.m. ET.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/conviction-lacking-on-the-friday-after-thanksgiving\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-11-24T14:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-11-27T18:06:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Patrick J. O\u2019Hare\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Patrick J. 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