{"id":198570,"date":"2023-11-02T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-02T14:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=198570"},"modified":"2023-11-02T11:44:58","modified_gmt":"2023-11-02T15:44:58","slug":"how-to-manage-the-post-fed-repricing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/how-to-manage-the-post-fed-repricing\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Manage the Post-Fed Repricing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This morning&#8217;s slate of economic data was friendly to the Fed with Unit Labor Costs -0.8% q\/q versus +0.7% expected (though last quarter was revised lower), Nonfarm Productivity 4.7% q\/q versus 4.1% exp and Jobless Claims rising to a 7-wk high at 217k v 210k.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Apple reports earnings after the bell.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nonfarm Payrolls and ISM Services are due tomorrow.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Keep an ear out for Fed comments in the case they feel Fed Chair Powell&#8217;s message was misinterpreted.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-e-mini-s-amp-p-december-e-mini-nq-december\"><strong>E-mini S&amp;P (December) \/ E-mini NQ (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 4256.00, up 43.75<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NQ, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 14,744.50, up 254.25<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, we have increased our Bullish Bias to outright Bullish. However, we are not encouraging traders to chase this morning\u2019s tape. Although the first opportunity to buy was Fed Chair Powell painting a symmetrical picture during his press conference for the risk of tightening too much and the risk of not tightening enough. This was the first glimpse of a victory lap since prematurely touting such in February. Asset classes across the board have responded, with the 10-year yield slipping to a two-week low of 4.64%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As the E-mini S&amp;P and E-mini NQ march higher, we cannot ignore gap resistance coming in at 4302.25-4303 as a place traders could take profit, encouraging a small pullback. In the case of such, we would look for a basing lower in order to prime for the next move higher. Furthermore, holding out above our Pivot and point of balance as well as first key support, previously major three-star resistance, would pave a constructive path higher. Only a break below rare major four-star support in the E-mini S&amp;P at 4253.25-4256 would neutralize this bull leg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bias: Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 4290.50**, 4302.25-4303***, 4312.75**, 4327.50-4337.50***, 4401.75****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pivot: 4280.50-4283.50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 4271.25-4276.25**, 4253.25-4256****, 4248.50**, 4220.25-4224.25***, 4209.75-4215.50****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-nq-dec\"><strong>NQ (Dec)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 14,948-14,952**, 15,109-15,138***, 15,202-15,241***, 15,380**, 15,452-15,468****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pivot: 14,886<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 14,804-14,847***, 14,744-14,749****, 14,638-14,650**, 14,558-14,581***, 14,490-14,515****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bluelinefutures.com\/free-trial\/\">Blue Line Futures provides daily actionable research and a professional trade desk. Sign up for a Free Trial here.&nbsp;<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-crude-oil-december\"><strong>Crude Oil (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 80.44, down 0.58<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A series of lower highs in Crude Oil futures, highlighted by a failure at major three-star resistance at 83.37-83.65 right at the traditional intraday open at 8:00 am CT yesterday, has encouraged us to become more cautious and turn our Bias to Neutral. Price action did cling to support, aligning above the $80 mark, and held it upon settlement yesterday. Although we remain upbeat over the intermediate and longer-term, Crude Oil may need to flush below the $80 mark, and ping one of two major three-star supports below there, 78.80-79.34 and 77.74. Still, a close out above 83.37-83.65 would quickly reinvigorate our Bullish Bias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bias: Neutral<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 81.82-82.08**, 82.36-82.45**, 83.37-83.65***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pivot: 81.25-81.43<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 80.20-80.57***, 78.89-79.34***, 77.74***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bluelinefutures.com\/free-trial\/\">Blue Line Futures provides daily actionable research and a professional trade desk. Sign up for a Free Trial here.&nbsp;<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gold-december-silver-december\"><strong>Gold (December) \/ Silver (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 1987.5, down 6.8<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Silver, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 22.79, down 0.162<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold and Silver futures are higher from yesterday\u2019s settlement, but it has been a tough grind given the drop in both the U.S. Dollar and yields. Undoubtedly, there is geopolitical premium in both that is eroding and the market needs to find a balance between the repricing of yields and the precious metals space. For now, major three-star support in Gold will attempt to provide a floor at 1987.4-1991.3, and the bulls will attempt to take the driver\u2019s seat while above here. While Silver remains less enthusiastic, holding out above first key support at 23.02-23.04 will be constructive on the session. Furthermore, Fridays given the weekend in the face of the Middle East conflict, have been friendly. However, tomorrow also brings Nonfarm Payrolls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bias: Neutral\/Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1999.2-2001.1**, 2004.3-2005.9***, 2009.2-2012.7****, 2019-2022.1**, 2028.6**, 2049.6-2057.4***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1987.4-1991.3***, 1978.2-1982.8***, 1971-1973.6***, 1863.8-1865.1***, 1944.7-1950.6****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-silver-december\"><strong>Silver (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 23.39-23.44***, 23.51-23.55**, 23.80-23.88****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pivot: 23.11-23.13<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 23.02-23.04**, 22.89-22.95**, 22.79***, 22.65-22.72***, 22.53-22.56***, 22.36-22.39***, 21.72-22.01****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bluelinefutures.com\/free-trial\/\">Blue Line Futures provides daily actionable research and a professional trade desk. Sign up for a Free Trial here.&nbsp;<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted November 2, 2023 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/bluelinefutures.com\/2023\/11\/02\/how-to-manage-the-post-fed-repricing\/\">How to Manage the Post-Fed Repricing&nbsp;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Markets are surging on Fed Chair Powell\u2019s comments, we give you the lay of the land and actionable levels across E-mini S&amp;P, E-mini NQ, Crude Oil, Gold, and Silver (futures).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,18,6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[1056,9362,77,255,1685,3598,678],"contributors-categories":[13588],"class_list":{"0":"post-198570","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-futures","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-stocks","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"tag-crude-oil","15":"tag-economic-outlook","16":"tag-fed","17":"tag-gold","18":"tag-macro","19":"tag-market-outlook","20":"tag-silver","21":"contributors-categories-blue-line-futures"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium 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