{"id":197001,"date":"2023-10-02T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2023-10-02T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=197001"},"modified":"2023-10-02T13:02:46","modified_gmt":"2023-10-02T17:02:46","slug":"weekly-market-recap-october-2-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-october-2-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: October 2, 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Headline\/ core PCE: 3.5%\/ 3.9% y\/y<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Headline\/ core durable goods orders: 0.2%\/ 0.4% m\/m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>PMIs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Employment &amp; JOLTS<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Resilient economic activity during the third quarter helped spur excitement for a \u201csoft-landing\u201d of the U.S. economy. However, the quarter was less exciting for financial markets, which struggled as investors re-positioned for higher rates for longer. In fact, of the nine asset classes shown in the chart of the week, only two saw positive gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Commodities had a strong quarter, finishing up 4.7%. This gain can be attributed to higher energy prices, which jumped as supply cuts from Russia and Saudi Arabia raised concerns of an imbalance in the oil market. The U.S. fixed income market struggled as yields climbed (10-yr yields +73bps QTD) to their highest levels since 2007 due to continued hawkishness from the Fed on the back of strong economic data and hefty supply coming to market. However, resilient earnings and a slight moderation in default rates helped spare global high yield from the broader market sell-off. Within the U.S. equity market, large and small caps were down, as the AI driven rally earlier in the quarter left valuations stretched and proved to be unsustainable. Additionally, while earnings came in stronger than expected, corporate guidance was pessimistic. In international markets, a stronger U.S. dollar and weakening growth in Europe and China weighed on returns, with DM and EM equities down by 4.0% and 2.8%, respectively. However, India and Japan were bright spots, with both countries outperforming their respective indices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Moving forward, as economic tailwinds fade and headwinds build along with tighter monetary policy, investors should continue to diversify. Moreover, some asset classes still look expensive despite this quarter\u2019s sell-off, and investors should use active management to lean into underappreciated asset markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1019\" height=\"401\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-100913.png\" alt=\"3Q202 asset class returns\" class=\"wp-image-197003 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-100913.png 1019w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-100913-700x275.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-100913-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-100913-768x302.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1019px) 100vw, 1019px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1019px; aspect-ratio: 1019\/401;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"507\" height=\"90\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-130220.png\" alt=\"chart of the week and thought of the week sources\" class=\"wp-image-197043 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-130220.png 507w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-2023-10-02-130220-300x53.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 507px) 100vw, 507px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 507px; aspect-ratio: 507\/90;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Originally Posted October 2, 2023 \u2013&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Copyright 2023 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., October 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of October 2, 2023 or as of most recently available<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As economic tailwinds fade and headwinds build along with tighter monetary policy, investors should continue to diversify.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":197003,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[2298],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":["post-197001","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-market-recap","contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: October 2, 2023 | Traders&#039; 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