{"id":195770,"date":"2023-09-05T08:37:44","date_gmt":"2023-09-05T12:37:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=195770"},"modified":"2024-01-24T12:12:37","modified_gmt":"2024-01-24T17:12:37","slug":"chart-advisor-spy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-spy\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: SPY"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>By<strong>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/links.investopedia.com\/u\/click?_t=36ba8fa8372241d58b3bfc06997a4332&amp;_m=3b09f299cfa14ba591d78ac61a4ece1c&amp;_e=pGN379wWc6Ot87CyagO4LrdCKPKTLjkoAaoEKGDsG3qkggvqPDiOeJ8OZ5uoUgdi7KqH2LQGdanxe1hJ3_MsbvMNkpZogUSSkqwNuG2Aj6JECd99NcD5C34TBP4jw8OaO8bdhrPBfkPsih6xvh0Mv0ixUrB4WHdBdotos98mm8RQMAk8fAwZe3f1UpiDPE1PmKYuDnxKQRCZfavHuclzWPPiv6IOqDm6knrHB_sf-arvdLYuE9xIykdu1bF-mOVfz_TF-iaGcZIQ1VQxSEM3Vf0M8pqT0J4kPHTqvfglXRKd3QTvv6mFsl3INK7QGCDWGQNN8XAThXbhnhssExpyIj05AVfQw1avlwh-J0Hid8AN4zO8N0mr0IEMOzVVDkUkzX0uaLLvoaqxcCXWt-p0HXgnbNysOk5r3k-P8OenLYmhZXgiqDoSKmVFx-4n2_H5AGYfSUug1Qs9RVTm9WZtzGigE_Z33SceAEJlvQdZ9y0%3D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Michael Nauss, CMT, CAIA, CDMS<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1\/ Homies and Healthcare<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2\/ Homebuilders<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3\/ Healthcare<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. &nbsp;The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein do not represent the views of CMT Association or Investopedia. Please consult a financial advisor for investment recommendations and services.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-homies-and-healthcare\">1\/ <strong>Homies and Healthcare<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the last few weeks, the market has taken investors on a ride and shaken many people\u2019s faith in the latest bull run.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/1-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-195771 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>With a powerful opening to the year on the S&amp;P 500 (SPY), we struggled at the highs from March 22, along with where the initial bear market started.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this week, we lead off with a strong move on some positive economic data and are looking to retest those highs. In these moments, investors must look under the hood and see what sectors could be setting up for some relative strength over the market.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-homebuilders\">2\/ <strong>Homebuilders<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/2-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-195772 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>While the overall market struggles well below all-time highs, homebuilders attempt to break into new highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We see many strong names within this sector, but Toll Brothers (TOL) stands out to me since it has cleared its all-time highs, pulled back to retest them and continues to move higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"512\" height=\"391\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/2.1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-195773 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/2.1.png 512w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/2.1-300x229.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 512px) 100vw, 512px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 512px; aspect-ratio: 512\/391;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-healthcare\">3\/ <strong>Healthcare<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/3-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-195774 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The drawdown we saw in healthcare during the most recent bear market was minimal compared to what we have seen happen to most sectors. Instead, the industry has been decreasing in volatility and prices getting \u201ctight\u201d while it waits for the next move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Measuring using Bollinger bandwidth (a measure of price volatility), the last time we saw this tight price was in 2019 before a decisive run. This is because the sector contains stocks on epic runs, like Eli Lilly (LLY) and names under pressure, like Moderna (MRNA). For this reason, I will be waiting for the break of the overall index and playing that. This removes the single stock risk in a volatile sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"512\" height=\"393\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/3.1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-195775 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/3.1.png 512w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/3.1-300x230.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 512px) 100vw, 512px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 512px; aspect-ratio: 512\/393;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/3.2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-195776 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally posted 5th September 2023<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the last few weeks, the market has taken investors on a ride and shaken many people\u2019s faith in the latest bull run. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,14,18,6,9,22,23,26,3],"tags":[2722,1488,262,5833,670,219],"contributors-categories":[13686],"class_list":{"0":"post-195770","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-commodities","7":"category-etfs","8":"category-macro","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-securities","11":"category-stocks","12":"category-technical-analysis","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"tag-lly","16":"tag-mrna","17":"tag-spy","18":"tag-tol","19":"tag-xhb","20":"tag-xlv","21":"contributors-categories-investopedia"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO 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