{"id":195408,"date":"2023-08-28T09:30:39","date_gmt":"2023-08-28T13:30:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=195408"},"modified":"2023-08-28T10:53:55","modified_gmt":"2023-08-28T14:53:55","slug":"continuing-to-recover-from-the-double-dip","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/continuing-to-recover-from-the-double-dip\/","title":{"rendered":"Continuing to Recover from the Double Dip"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Fed Chair Powell&#8217;s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium was the center of the market&#8217;s attention on Friday. At first, stocks dipped, then they rose, and then they dipped again. They had a &#8220;double dip.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We know George Costanza is okay with a double dip, but most people are not. It turned out that most people participating in Friday&#8217;s market (and that wasn&#8217;t many based on the paltry trading volume) were not okay with the double dip and decided to buy on the second dip that took the S&amp;P 500 to 4,356.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When Friday&#8217;s session came to a close, the S&amp;P 500 stood at 4,405 and had ended a three-week losing streak along with the Nasdaq Composite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is some carryover buying interest in the equity futures market this morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, the S&amp;P 500 futures are up 18 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are up 85 points and are trading 0.6% above fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 144 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gains in the mega-cap stocks, a 5.7% pop in shares of Dow component&nbsp;<strong>3M (MMM)<\/strong>&nbsp;on reports it is close to a $5.5 billion settlement in the military earplugs case, and a spate of M&amp;A activity have helped underpin the positive bias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A dip in market rates isn&#8217;t hurting either. The 2-yr note yield, which was at 5.10% a short time ago, is now at 5.05%, unchanged from Friday&#8217;s settlement, and the 10-yr note yield is down four basis points to 4.20%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some might point to a rash of stock market support measures out of China, which include a 50% cut in the stamp duty, a lower margin financing requirement, and restrictions on stock sales by large shareholders, as another causal factor. That would be overselling that news as a positive catalyst and here&#8217;s why: the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;ended its session up 1.1% after being up as much as 5.0% initially.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In other words, participants there were quick to sell into the news in an expression of doubt about its impact in righting what is wrong for the Chinese market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the M&amp;A front, the FTC filed a motion to withdraw matter from adjudication regarding&nbsp;<strong>Amgen&#8217;s (AMGN)<\/strong>&nbsp;bid to acquire&nbsp;<strong>Horizon Therapeutics (HZNP)<\/strong>,&nbsp;<strong>Danaher (DHR)<\/strong>&nbsp;is acquiring&nbsp;<strong>Abcam (ABCM)<\/strong>&nbsp;for $24.00 per share in cash,&nbsp;<strong>Kimco Realty (KIM)<\/strong>&nbsp;is acquiring&nbsp;<strong>RPT Realty (RPT)<\/strong>&nbsp;in an all-stock transaction, and KSL Capital Partners is acquiring&nbsp;<strong>Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT)<\/strong>&nbsp;at an approximately 60% premium of $10.00 per share in cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is no U.S. economic data of note today, but the remainder of the week will feature a bevy of important economic releases that include&nbsp;the August Consumer Confidence Index, July JOLTS &#8211; Job Openings Report, the second estimate for Q2 GDP, July Personal Income and Spending, the August ISM Manufacturing Index, and the August Employment Situation Report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted August 28, 2023 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/page-one\">Continuing to recover from the double dip<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed Chair Powell&#8217;s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium was the center of the market&#8217;s attention on Friday. At first, stocks dipped, then they rose, and then they dipped again. They had a &#8220;double dip.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[14020,3598],"contributors-categories":[13589],"class_list":{"0":"post-195408","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"tag-market-brief","13":"tag-market-outlook","14":"contributors-categories-briefing-com"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Continuing to Recover from the Double Dip | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed Chair Powell&#039;s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium was the center of the market&#039;s attention on Friday. 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