{"id":193719,"date":"2023-07-21T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-21T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=193719"},"modified":"2024-01-24T12:13:06","modified_gmt":"2024-01-24T17:13:06","slug":"chart-advisor-bears-be-warned","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-bears-be-warned\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: Bears Be Warned"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/contributors\/54841\/?utm_source=chart-advisor&amp;utm_campaign=fwd_chartadvisor&amp;utm_term=27774019&amp;utm_medium=email\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>By&nbsp;<\/strong><\/a><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/contributors\/54841\/?utm_source=chart-advisor&amp;utm_campaign=fwd_chartadvisor&amp;utm_term=27774019&amp;utm_medium=email\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>J.C. Parets<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;&amp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/get.allstarcharts.com\/?utm_source=chart-advisor&amp;utm_campaign=fwd_chartadvisor&amp;utm_term=27774019&amp;utm_medium=email\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>All Star Charts<\/strong><\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thursday-20th-july-2023\">Thursday, 20th July, 2023<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1\/ Bears Be Warned<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2\/ HERO Answers the Call<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3\/ PIGS Run to Higher Ground<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>4\/ Soybeans Halt Beneath Overwhelming Supply<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Investopedia is partnering with All Star Charts on this newsletter, which both sells its research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein. The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-bears-be-warned\">1\/ <strong>Bears Be Warned<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/d\/djia.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)<\/a>&nbsp;has joined the new 52-week high list. It was only a matter of time as the stock market enjoys a solid&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/b\/bullmarket.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">bull market<\/a>&nbsp;off last year\u2019s lows.&nbsp;<br>&nbsp;<br>Check out the world\u2019s most important stock index finally breaking out of a massive&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/r\/roundingbottom.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rounding bottom<\/a>&nbsp;formation with authority:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/1-13-1100x541.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-193737 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/541;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>We continue to witness upside follow-through after last week\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/b\/breakout.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">breakout<\/a>.<br><br>The path of least resistance points higher for the Dow as long as it holds above the shelf of former highs from 2022 and earlier this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A breakout for Papa Dow has big implications. Mainly, it confirms the primary uptrend in U.S. equities, reaffirming the bull market that\u2019s been in place for over a year.<br><br>Bears be warned: Don\u2019t fight Papa Dow!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-hero-answers-the-call\">2\/ <strong>HERO Answers the Call<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/top-video-game-stocks-q2-2023-7488755?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Video game stocks<\/a>&nbsp;are breaking to fresh 52-week highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Everything seems to be working, from big tech to small banks and, of course, the Dow Jones Industrial Average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s a look at the Video Game &amp; Esports ETF (HERO) completing a bullish&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/r\/reversal.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reversal pattern<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/2-14-1100x541.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-193738 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/541;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Charts like these make it difficult to imagine that the consumer is dead. It\u2019s quite the opposite, as video game makers such as Activision (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/markets\/quote?tvwidgetsymbol=ATVI&amp;hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ATVI<\/a>), Nintendo (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/markets\/quote?tvwidgetsymbol=ntdof&amp;hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NTDOF<\/a>), and Electronic Arts (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/markets\/quote?tvwidgetsymbol=ea&amp;hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">EA<\/a>) post new year-to-date highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As the major indexes march higher, HERO calls our attention to participation broadening out to the stock market\u2019s more&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/s\/speculativestock.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">speculative<\/a>&nbsp;or adventurous areas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-pigs-run-to-higher-ground\">3\/ <strong>PIGS Run to Higher Ground<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking overseas, even stocks in some of the weakest economies are catching a strong bid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our custom&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/e\/equalweight.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">equal-weight index<\/a>&nbsp;of Europe\u2019s secular&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/l\/laggard.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">laggards<\/a>, the \u201cPIGS\u201d (Portugal, Italy, Greece, and Spain), as it makes new five-year highs:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/3-16-1100x555.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-193739 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/555;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The fact that the weakest countries during the last global financial crisis are reaching new highs speaks to an increasing risk appetite among investors\u2014not just in the U.S. but globally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With participation expanding across the U.S. and global equities, it\u2019s becoming increasingly difficult for investors to hold a bearish thesis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just look at the PIGS. They\u2019re leaving the bears behind in haste as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/s\/shortselling.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">shorting<\/a>&nbsp;global equities has become hazardous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-4-soybeans-halt-beneath-overwhelming-supply\">4\/ <strong>Soybeans Halt Beneath Overwhelming Supply<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/articles\/optioninvestor\/07\/grain_market.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Grain markets<\/a>&nbsp;are ripping!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wheat, corn, soybeans \u2026 You name it. All have swung higher this week on the news of Russia\u2019s withdrawal from the Black Sea grain deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019re not as concerned with the headlines as we are with price. And based on the charts, many of these contracts are running into logical&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/r\/resistance.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">resistance levels<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Soybeans present an excellent example:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/4-16-1100x561.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-193741 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/561;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>After pulling back to find support at a key&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/f\/fibonacciretracement.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">retracement level<\/a>, November soybeans are challenging a shelf of former highs. The tactical trend remains higher, and the bulls are in control, evidenced by the bullish momentum regime on the 14-day&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/r\/rsi.asp?hid=aa5e4598e1d4db2992003957762d3fdd7abefec8&amp;did=9741161-20230720&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=072023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">relative strength index (RSI)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, supply looms large at approximately $1,400. Perhaps it\u2019s time for soybeans to slow their roll and digest recent gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, we could witness a $1,500 handle in soybeans in a heartbeat if and when demand absorbs overhead supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally posted 20th July 2023<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)\u00a0has joined the new 52-week high list. It was only a matter of time as the stock market enjoys a solid\u00a0bull market\u00a0off last year\u2019s lows.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[14,5,17,18,6,8,9,22,23,26,3],"tags":[2040,11819,4934,15588,15589,445,15590],"contributors-categories":[13686],"class_list":{"0":"post-193719","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-etfs","7":"category-europe-middle-east-africa","8":"category-futures","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-securities","13":"category-stocks","14":"category-technical-analysis","15":"category-text-articles","16":"category-traders-insight","17":"tag-atvi","18":"tag-djia","19":"tag-hero","20":"tag-ntdof","21":"tag-pigs","22":"tag-rsi","23":"tag-zsx23","24":"contributors-categories-investopedia"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chart Advisor: Bears Be Warned | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The\u00a0Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)\u00a0has joined the new 52-week high list. 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