{"id":193218,"date":"2023-07-10T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-10T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=193218"},"modified":"2023-07-10T12:35:48","modified_gmt":"2023-07-10T16:35:48","slug":"etf-investors-jump-back-into-the-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/etfs\/etf-investors-jump-back-into-the-market\/","title":{"rendered":"ETF Investors Jump Back into the Market"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>ETFs took in $69 billion in June \u2014 their most in eight months and first time all year with above average inflows.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US exposures, driven by large-cap flows, led geographies with $40 billion. Developed ex-US funds\u2019 $9 billion added to their record streak of 36 months in a row with inflows.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bonds\u2019 $18 billion of inflows in June was led by rate-sensitive markets. Yet, credit sensitive sectors added $3 billion, supported by the best-ever month for convertible exposures ($624 million).<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Summertime evokes many nostalgic sounds. One is the sound of feet hitting a wooden dock, louder and louder, quicker and quicker, followed by a primal yell of \u201cCannonball!\u201d Then a large splash, as joyous kids jump carefree into the water.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kids are not the only ones jumping in as the summer starts. Despite gains prior to June, investors had shown restraint, illustrated by&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssga.com\/us\/en\/individual\/etfs\/insights\/narrow-market-leadership-in-the-us-makes-international-stocks-attractive\">narrow market leadership and light positioning<\/a>. In June, investors pushed that restraint aside and jumped back into the market \u2014&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssga.com\/us\/en\/individual\/etfs\/insights\/etf-market-outlook\">expressing courage instead of caution.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Global equities posted a 5.6% return, US small caps notched an 8% gain, and an equal weighted version of the S&amp;P 500 Index outperformed the market cap weighted one for the first time in five months.<sup>1&nbsp;<\/sup>The strong small cap and equal weighted S&amp;P 500 returns indicate a broadening of leadership and more boats rising with the market\u2019s tide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Flows followed the outsized returns, as ETF fund flow positioning started to make some waves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-etf-flows-start-summer-with-a-splash\">ETF Flows Start Summer with a Splash<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>June flows reveal how cautious investors, like a kid sitting on the edge of the dock watching friends play Marco Polo, finally took the leap and jumped into the market\u2019s \u201crally fun\u201d with both feet. It wasn\u2019t a perfectly executed cannonball, but it did make a splash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Total ETF inflows were $69 billion in June. While only the 14<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;best all-time, this was the strongest month of inflows since October 2022. It was also the first time all year that a month had above average flows, as shown in the chart below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The strong June flows also pushed full-year totals to $220 billion, giving 2023 a puncher\u2019s chance at breaking $500 billion in calendar year inflows for the fourth straight year. But only if averages hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past five years, third quarter flows averaged $112 billion while fourth quarter flows averaged $178 billion. Prorating those totals (+$290 billion) alongside the current year-to-date figure, leads to a potential $510 billion of full-year flows in 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"550\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/monthly-flows-break-abov-1100x550.jpeg\" alt=\"Monthly flows break above averages in June ($ Billions)\" class=\"wp-image-193219 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/monthly-flows-break-abov-1100x550.jpeg 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/monthly-flows-break-abov-700x350.jpeg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/monthly-flows-break-abov-300x150.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/monthly-flows-break-abov-768x384.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/monthly-flows-break-abov-1536x768.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/monthly-flows-break-abov.jpeg 1800w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/550;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Equity funds took in $53 billion to lead all asset classes. Yet, bonds\u2019 $18 billion was greater when viewed related to their asset base. Bond fund flows were 1.3% of their start-of-month assets compared to 1% for equities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bond inflows also pushed 2023 totals to over $100 billion, setting up a real probability that full-year flows could surpass $200 billion \u2014 a feat achieved in two out of the past three years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"855\" height=\"359\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093349.png\" alt=\"Asset class flows\" class=\"wp-image-193220 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093349.png 855w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093349-700x294.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093349-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093349-768x322.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 855px) 100vw, 855px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 855px; aspect-ratio: 855\/359;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">June ETF Flows: A Party in the USA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>US-focused exposures\u2019 $40 billion represented the majority of the geographical flows last month. Their June flows also represent 54% of their own year-to-date figures, a stark illustration of how strong investors\u2019 jump into the market&#8217;s rally was in June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When viewed based on market cap segmentation, all US segments (large, mid, small, value, and growth) all had inflows in June, and are now all in net inflows year to date. And small caps had their highest inflows since November 2021, as investors sought to express a risk-on view, as well as a contrarian view on the current narrow market leadership.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Developed ex-US funds took in $8.7 billion in June, their eighth-most all time. It was also their record-setting 36<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;consecutive month with inflows and their 15<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;month in a row with more than $1 billion in inflows \u2014 another record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Developed ex-US single country exposures (Japan, +$2.6 billion) led the $2 billion of inflows into the Single Country category. But it wasn\u2019t all green for developed ex-US markets. European regional exposures had $2 billion of outflows in June, their first month of outflows this year. This negativity comes despite stronger than market returns in June (6.7% versus 5.6%) and 2023 (18.5% versus 12.8%),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssga.com\/us\/en\/individual\/etfs\/insights\/etf-market-outlook\/move-up-in-quality-in-the-us-and-rotate-overseas\">among other tailwinds.<\/a><sup>2<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"841\" height=\"368\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093428.png\" alt=\"Geographic ETF Flows signal a rebound in US interest amid the rally\" class=\"wp-image-193221 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093428.png 841w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093428-700x306.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093428-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093428-768x336.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 841px) 100vw, 841px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 841px; aspect-ratio: 841\/368;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But it wasn\u2019t party in USA for all exposures. Sector funds had $6 billion outflows in June. However, when excluding Tech outflows, which were a reversal of the rebalance-related inflows at the end of May that inflated that month\u2019s totals, sectors shed just $932 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The non-Tech outflows were led by defensive sectors\u2019 loss of $1.5 billion. Cyclical sectors, led by Financials and Industrials, took in $400 million, however.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This was the first time since October 2022 that cyclical inflows outpaced defensives. In fact, four out of the six cyclical sectors had inflows in June. And Energy, the cyclical with the largest outflows, has been in net outflows all year as the sector has trailed the market as a result of a decline in oil\u2019s spot price and mean reversion following outsized returns in 2022 and 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The positive flows into cyclicals is a potential sign of positivity beneath the broader sector surface. More allocations to cyclicals would indicate firmer risk-on positioning by investors, as well as their view that a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssga.com\/us\/en\/individual\/etfs\/insights\/etf-market-outlook\/diversify-recession-risks-with-cyclicals-and-defensives\">recession may not be on the horizon<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"859\" height=\"500\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093527.png\" alt=\"Sector  ETF Flows favor cyclicals\" class=\"wp-image-193222 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093527.png 859w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093527-700x407.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093527-300x175.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/Screenshot-2023-07-10-093527-768x447.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 859px) 100vw, 859px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 859px; aspect-ratio: 859\/500;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssga.com\/us\/en\/individual\/etfs\/insights\/investors-jump-back-into-the-market\">Click here to read the full article<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>1<\/sup>&nbsp;Bloomberg Finance, L.P, as of June 30, 2023 based on the MSCI ACWI Index, S&amp;P 500 Index, and S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Index<br><sup>2<\/sup>&nbsp;Based on the EuroStoxx 50 Index and the MSCI ACWI Index as of June 30, 2023 per Bloomberg Finance L.P.<br><sup>3<\/sup>&nbsp;Bloomberg Finance, L.P., as of June 30, 2023<br><sup>4&nbsp;<\/sup>Bloomberg Finance, L.P., as of June 30, 2023<br><sup>5&nbsp;<\/sup>FactSet as of June 30, 2023<br><sup>6&nbsp;<\/sup>Based on the Federal Reserve dot plots, June 30, 2023<br><sup>7&nbsp;<\/sup>Bloomberg Finance, L.P., as of June 30, 2023 based on the MSCI USA Quality Index<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Glossary<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>S&amp;P 500\u00ae Index<\/strong>&nbsp;is a market-capitalization-weighted stock market index that measures the stock performance of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the United States.<br><strong>MSCI ACWI Index<\/strong>&nbsp;is a market-capitalization-weighted stock market index that measures the stock performance of the companies in developed and emerging markets.<br><strong>MSCI USA Quality Index<\/strong>&nbsp;is a an exposure of US firms with quality traits.<br><strong>S&amp;P 500 Equal Weighted Index<\/strong>&nbsp;is the equal-weight version of the widely-used S&amp;P 500. The index includes the same constituents as the capitalization weighted S&amp;P 500, but each company in the S&amp;P 500 EWI is allocated a fixed weight &#8211; or 0.2% of the index total at each quarterly rebalance.<br><strong>S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Index<\/strong>&nbsp;is a market cap weighted index of the smallest 600 companies is the S&amp;P 1500 Index.<br><strong>EuroStoxx 50 Index<\/strong>&nbsp;is Europe&#8217;s leading blue-chip index for the Eurozone, provides a blue-chip representation of supersector in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted July 5, 2023 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssga.com\/us\/en\/individual\/etfs\/insights\/investors-jump-back-into-the-market\">ETF Investors Jump Back into the Market<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The views expressed in this material are the views of the SPDR Research and Strategy team and are subject to change based on market and other conditions. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell any security. It does not take into account any investor\u2019s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy of such information, nor liability for decisions based on such information. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise noted, all data and statistical information were obtained from Bloomberg LP and SSGA as of June 30, 2023. Data in tables have been rounded to whole numbers, except for percentages, which have been rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The research and analysis included in this document have been produced by SSGA for its own investment management activities and are made available here incidentally. Information obtained from external sources is believed to be reliable and is as of the date of publication but is subject to change. This information must not be used in any jurisdiction where prohibited by law and must not be used in a way that would be contrary to local law or legislation. No investment advice, tax advice, or legal advice is provided herein.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bonds generally present less short-term risk and volatility than stocks, but contain interest rate risk (as interest rates raise, bond prices usually fall); issuer default risk; issuer credit risk; liquidity risk; and inflation risk. These effects are usually pronounced for longer-term securities. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to a substantial gain or loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Equity securities may fluctuate in value in response to the activities of individual companies and general market and economic conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Concentrated investments in a particular sector or industry tend to be more volatile than the overall market and increases risk that events negatively affecting such sectors or industries could reduce returns, potentially causing the value of the Fund\u2019s shares to decrease.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The whole or any part of this work may not be reproduced, copied or transmitted or any of its contents disclosed to third parties without SSGA\u2019s express written consent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ETFs took in $69 billion in June \u2014 their most in eight months and first time all year with above average inflows. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121,"featured_media":26209,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[297],"contributors-categories":[13643],"class_list":{"0":"post-193218","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-etfs","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-etfs","14":"contributors-categories-state-street-global-advisors"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ETF Investors Jump Back into the Market | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ETFs took in $69 billion in June \u2014 their most in eight months and first time all year with above average inflows.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193218\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ETF Investors Jump Back into the Market | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ETFs took in $69 billion in June \u2014 their most in eight months and first time all year with above average inflows.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/etfs\/etf-investors-jump-back-into-the-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-10T14:45:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-07-10T16:35:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/11\/etf-magnefy.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"540\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Matthew J. Bartolini\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Matthew J. Bartolini\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"NewsArticle\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/etfs\\\/etf-investors-jump-back-into-the-market\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/etfs\\\/etf-investors-jump-back-into-the-market\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"Matthew J. 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