{"id":191543,"date":"2023-06-07T09:45:00","date_gmt":"2023-06-07T13:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=191543"},"modified":"2023-06-07T09:58:41","modified_gmt":"2023-06-07T13:58:41","slug":"tracking-for-a-subdued-start","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/tracking-for-a-subdued-start\/","title":{"rendered":"Tracking for a Subdued Start"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It is another morning where the trading in the equity futures market is tentative. Currently, the S&amp;P 500 futures are up three points and are trading 0.1% above fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are up four points and are trading 0.1% above fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up three points and are trading in-line with fair value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some of the market&#8217;s restraint is predicated on a belief that the mega-cap stocks are due for a pullback and will exert some overriding pressure on the major indices just as they have exerted overriding aid to this point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latter point notwithstanding, the mega-cap stocks showed some resolve to selling interest in yesterday&#8217;s trade, which lent a small measure of support to a market that was favoring cyclical\/value plays. The strength seen in the broader market enabled the S&amp;P 500 to log its highest closing level (4,283.85) since last August, although it continues to hold below 4,300.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It will take a close above 4,305.20 to take out the highest closing level since last August, so market participants&#8217; eyes are trained on levels just as much as they are trained on the price action of individual stocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a good bit of price action this morning in smaller stocks like&nbsp;<strong>Dave &amp; Buster&#8217;s Entertainment (PLAY), Couchbase (BASE), United Natural Foods (UNFI), Casey&#8217;s General Stores (CASY)<\/strong>, and&nbsp;<strong>Yext (YEXT)<\/strong>&nbsp;following their earnings reports, but big moves in a handful of small stocks don&#8217;t move the market like big moves (or even small moves) in a handful of mega-cap stocks do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a related note, some pre-market strength in&nbsp;<strong>Tesla (TSLA)<\/strong>, which is up 3.1%,&nbsp;<strong>NVIDIA (NVDA)<\/strong>, which is up 0.4%, and&nbsp;<strong>Alphabet (GOOG)<\/strong>, which is up 0.1%, has helped offset modest losses in other mega-cap stocks and has helped hold the line so to speak for the equity futures market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some trade data, though, has also helped hold the line on a guarded view of global economic growth prospects. China led things off overnight with a weaker-than-expected 7.5% year-over-year decline in May exports and the U.S. followed suit with a trade balance report for April that also showed a drop in exports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Specifically, the U.S. trade deficit widened to $74.6 billion in April (Briefing.com consensus -$75.3 billion) from an upwardly revised $60.6 billion (from -$64.2 billion) in March, which was recalculated with annual revisions to the goods and services series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The widening deficit in April was the result of exports being $9.2 billion less than March exports and imports being $4.8 billion more than March imports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The key takeaway from the report is the drop in exports, which reflects weakening demand abroad for U.S. goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Equity futures took the trade news in stride, which is to say it did little in its wake, which is also to say that one shouldn&#8217;t expect a big wake as the market gets going today without much of a motor to speed things along.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted June 7, 2023 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/page-one\">Tracking for a subdued start<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It is another morning where the trading in the equity futures market is tentative.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[14020,3598,44],"contributors-categories":[13589],"class_list":{"0":"post-191543","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-market-brief","14":"tag-market-outlook","15":"tag-stocks","16":"contributors-categories-briefing-com"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tracking for a Subdued Start | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It is another morning where the trading in the equity futures market is tentative.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191543\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tracking for a Subdued Start | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It is another morning where the trading in the equity futures market is tentative.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/tracking-for-a-subdued-start\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-06-07T13:45:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-07T13:58:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Patrick J. 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