{"id":191318,"date":"2023-06-02T11:45:00","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T15:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=191318"},"modified":"2023-06-02T11:59:16","modified_gmt":"2023-06-02T15:59:16","slug":"us-labor-market-on-fire-may-jobs-data-reveals-employment-boom-steady-wage-growth-putting-the-fed-on-the-fence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/us-labor-market-on-fire-may-jobs-data-reveals-employment-boom-steady-wage-growth-putting-the-fed-on-the-fence\/","title":{"rendered":"US Labor Market On Fire: May Jobs Data Reveals Employment Boom, Steady Wage Growth, Putting The Fed On The Fence"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-zinger-key-points\">ZINGER KEY POINTS<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nonfarm payrolls came in at 339,000 in May, far above the expected figure of 190,000, indicating strong employment growth.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tightening labor market puts Fed in policy dilemma whether to hike or not in June.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. labor market is hot and continues to show tight conditions, posing a difficult dilemma for the Federal Reserve regarding whether to raise interest rates further or&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/analyst-ratings\/analyst-color\/23\/06\/32679152\/non-farm-payrolls-preview-could-another-hot-jobs-report-influence-next-feds-actions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">hit the pause button.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 339,000 in May, far exceeding economists&#8217; expectations of 190,000 and rising from&nbsp;April&#8217;s upwardly revised 294,000 increase, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The unemployment rate advanced from 3.4% to 3.7%, contrary to forecasts of an increase to 3.5%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The average hourly wage increased by 0.3% month-over-month, in line with expectations of 0.3% but slowing from the prior month&#8217;s gain of 0.4%. Annual wage growth was 4.3%, falling short of both expectations and the prior figure of 4.4%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Takeaways&nbsp;From May Jobs Report<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The U.S. economy added 339,000 nonfarm&nbsp;payrolls&nbsp;in May, surpassing expectations of 190,000, according to Trading Economics, and higher than the previous month&#8217;s 294,000 surge. The May&#8217;s figure was in line with the average monthly gain of 341,000 over the prior six months.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for March was revised&nbsp;by 52,000 jobs, from 165,000 to 217,000, and the change for April was revised higher&nbsp;by 41,000, from 253,000 to 294,000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The unemployment rate edged 0.3% higher to 3.7% in May,&nbsp;contrary to forecasts of an increase to 3.5%.&nbsp;The number of unemployed persons rose by 440,000 to 6.1 million, up from 5.7&nbsp;million&nbsp;in April.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Average hourly earnings on U.S. private nonfarm payrolls increased by 11 cents, or 0.3%, reaching $33.44&nbsp;in May 2023, matching market expectations.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Sector-Specific Employment Changes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Employment growth in leisure and hospitality continued to remain strong in May, up by 48,000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Construction added 25,000 jobs, while employment in transportation and warehousing increased by 24,000.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Read now:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/opinion\/23\/06\/32680761\/freight-recession-5-us-stocks-to-watch-as-transportation-costs-plummet-to-pre-covid-levels\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Freight Recession: 5 Stocks To Watch As Transportation Costs Plummet To Pre-Covid Levels<\/a><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>May&#8217;s Jobs Report Key For&nbsp;Fed Policy<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Inflation and labor market conditions are crucial economic indicators tracked by the Federal Reserve to assess monetary policy decisions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This employment report is particularly important because it is the last major economic report before June 14, when the May inflation rate and FOMC policy decision will be released.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Strong employment growth&nbsp;and steady wage growth may convince the Federal Reserve to maintain a more restrictive stance for an extended period of time.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market Reactions, Investor Sentiment Ahead of Wall Street Open<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Following the publication of the employment report, investors revised their expectations for a June Fed rate increase, increasing the probability from 20% to 27%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Futures on the&nbsp;<strong>S&amp;P 500 index<\/strong> rose.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The yield on the 10-year Treasury note increased by 3 basis points to 3.63%, while the yield on the 2-year note increased by 6 basis points to 4.4%.<br>The&nbsp;U.S. dollar index remained unchanged.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted June 2,  2023 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/economics\/macro-economic-events\/23\/06\/32689386\/us-labor-market-on-fire-may-jobs-data-reveals-employment-boom-steady-wage-growth-\">US Labor Market On Fire: May Jobs Data Reveals Employment Boom, Steady Wage Growth, Putting The Fed On The Fence<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nonfarm payrolls came in at 339,000 in May, far above the expected figure of 190,000, indicating strong employment growth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1128,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[15062,674,683,3598],"contributors-categories":[13584],"class_list":{"0":"post-191318","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"tag-adp-employment-report","13":"tag-employment","14":"tag-labor-market","15":"tag-market-outlook","16":"contributors-categories-benzinga"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US 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