{"id":191181,"date":"2023-05-31T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-05-31T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=191181"},"modified":"2023-05-31T10:44:04","modified_gmt":"2023-05-31T14:44:04","slug":"nvidia-expected-to-join-the-trillion-dollar-valuation-club-as-ai-dominates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/nvidia-expected-to-join-the-trillion-dollar-valuation-club-as-ai-dominates\/","title":{"rendered":"NVIDIA Expected To Join The Trillion-Dollar-Valuation Club As AI Dominates"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

If you were doubting whether the age of AI has arrived, NVIDIA\u2019s stock performance last week may have given you second thoughts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shares of the Santa Clara, California-based chipmaker rocketed up more than 24% on Thursday, marking one of the top five biggest one-day market cap gains of any publicly traded U.S. company ever. With an approximately $957 billion valuation, NVIDIA may soon join the likes of Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon in the highly exclusive $1 trillion+ club.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Year-to-date through today, NVIDIA\u2019s stock has returned over 160%, compared to the tech-heavy Nasdaq, up around 30% over the same period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"NVIDIA<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

So what\u2019s going on? The U.S. Treasury could run out of cash as soon as June 5, the yield curve is flashing a recession and household debt now tops $17 trillion.<\/a> Is this more \u201cirrational exuberance\u201d?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s hard to say in the short term, but over the long term, I believe a bet on semiconductors, artificial intelligence and data centers is looking more and more attractive as AI is set to be applied to countless functions. NVIDIA is just one way to play it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ChatGPT Leads The Race In Generative AI\u2026 For Now<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

NVIDIA reported blockbuster results in the quarter ended April 30, logging net income of over $2 billion, a 26% increase over the same period last year. Data center revenue hit a record $4.28 billion during the quarter, with founder and CEO Jensen Huang stating that \u201ca trillion dollars of installed global data center infrastructure will transition from general purpose to accelerated computing as companies race to apply generative AI into every product, service and business process.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today, when most people hear \u201cgenerative AI,\u201d they probably think of ChatGPT, the large language model (LLM) launched by OpenAI in November 2022. As I shared with you before, ChatCPT reached 100 million active users<\/a> in as little as two months (for comparison\u2019s sake, it took TikTok nine months to reach that goal), and it attracted 1 billion visitors to its website in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But ChatGPT is only the start, just as America Online (AOL) was many people\u2019s first gateway into the internet 25 to 30 years ago. Over the coming months and years, I expect to see an eruption of new AI-focused companies and applications.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Pew Research survey, almost 60% of U.S. adults have heard of ChatGPT, but only 14% have actually used it.<\/a> Just as we saw during the early days of the internet, younger Americans have been far more likely to try ChatGPT than their older peers. Nearly one in three (31%) Americans under 30 reported using the app, compared to only 4% of those age 65 and older. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Younger<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

An Insatiable Appetite For GPUs<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

What does this have to do with NVIDIA? Well, ChatGPT requires biblical amounts of processing power. Its latest product, GPT-4, is reportedly trained on a staggering 170 trillion parameters,<\/a> making its responses sound even more genuine and humanlike than the previous version.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(In case you were wondering, ChatGPT was not used to write this. But then, how would you know for sure? One study found that over 63% of Americans can\u2019t tell the difference<\/a> between human-generated content and AI-generated content.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since OpenAI is a private company (valued at $30 billion in January), verifiable data is hard to come by, but according to an estimate by UBS, ChatGPT uses 10,000 NVIDIA graphics processing units (GPUs)<\/a>\u2014with the potential for thousands more as the model becomes more sophisticated and the number of active users grows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In other words, if AI were the California Gold Rush, then NVIDIA would be the biggest seller of picks and shovels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investing In Data Centers<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Besides chipmakers, another way to play the AI boom is with data centers, which can feature utility-like cash flows. Virginia hosts the largest concentrated data center market in the world, with Northern Virginia home to data centers operated by Microsoft, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Google, Visa and many more.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

By 2030, global demand for data centers is expected to reach 35 gigawatts (GW),<\/a> up from 17 GW in 2022, according to McKinsey. Construction spending could hit $50 billion by 2030, up from around $35 billion today. That would represent a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.4%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Global<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Last week, billionaire real estate investor Kyle Bass told Bloomberg that he likes data centers right now, saying people can\u2019t even finish developing one \u201cbefore one of the FAANGs leases it for 30 years.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cData centers are white-hot,\u201d he added, urging investors to consider them as a way to position for expansion in AI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. No security can have more than a 24% weighting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. The following securities mentioned in the article were held by one or more accounts managed by U.S. Global Investors as of (03\/31\/2023): Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor. By clicking the link(s) above, you will be directed to a third-party website(s). U.S. Global Investors does not endorse all information supplied by this\/these website(s) and is not responsible for its\/their content.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

—<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally Posted May 30, 2023 – NVIDIA Expected To Join The Trillion-Dollar-Valuation Club As AI Dominates<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Shares of the Santa Clara, California-based chipmaker rocketed up more than 24% on Thursday..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":191184,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[632,8235,4919,4254],"contributors-categories":[13633],"class_list":{"0":"post-191181","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-ai","14":"tag-nvidia","15":"tag-tech-stocks","16":"tag-valuation","17":"contributors-categories-us-global-investors"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNVIDIA Expected To Join The Trillion-Dollar-Valuation Club As AI 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