{"id":186664,"date":"2023-03-14T02:36:08","date_gmt":"2023-03-14T06:36:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=186664"},"modified":"2023-03-14T02:37:19","modified_gmt":"2023-03-14T06:37:19","slug":"sp500-es-weekly-doji-50-fib-retrace-of-oct-feb-bounce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/technical-analysis\/sp500-es-weekly-doji-50-fib-retrace-of-oct-feb-bounce\/","title":{"rendered":"S&P500 (ES) Weekly Doji @ 50% Fib Retrace of Oct-Feb Bounce"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The S&P500 (ES) is trying to form a weekly Doji after rebounding off near the 2023 low and the 61.8% Fib retrace of the October to February bounce.\u00a0 Although odds are now moderate for this week\u2019s short covering to spring ES back to the psychologically key 4k whole figure level, ES is less likely to retest the weekly chart downchannel resistance before month end than it is to slide below the November low in the same period.\u00a0 The slightly higher February high versus the January and December highs appears to have been a bear trap.\u00a0 Watch for volatility today 830am EST following the US CPI, Wednesday with the US core PPI, retail sales, Empire State Manufacturing index and PPI, and after Friday\u2019s US preliminary UoM consumer sentiment.\u00a0 The escalation in the Ukraine-Russia conflict deserves close monitoring.\u00a0 Congratulations to paying subscribers who benefited from the Oct 18, 2022 analysis highlighting the early stages of a month plus Dead Cat Bounce<\/a>, or from the February 18, 2020 analysis one day before the record high in the ES, warning of the pending slide in the S&P500.<\/a>\u00a0 The somewhat bottomish weekly RSI and Stochastics are being weighed on by the negatively crossing weekly MACD.\u00a0 I am looking to enter short in the red zone (of the daily chart), targeting the green zone for Monday.\u00a0 The amber\/yellow zone is where I might place a stop if I was a swing trader (although in my personal account with which I seldom hold overnight I sometimes set my stops tighter).\u00a0 Click here for analysis on VIX, GBPUSD<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Source: Interactive Brokers TWS<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The S&P500 (ES) is trying to form a weekly Doji after rebounding off near the 2023 low and the 61.8% Fib retrace of the October to February bounce. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":186665,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5,17,6,8,23,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13631],"class_list":{"0":"post-186664","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-asia","8":"category-europe-middle-east-africa","9":"category-futures","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-technical-analysis","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"contributors-categories-tradable-patterns"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nS&P500 (ES) Weekly Doji @ 50% 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