{"id":109958,"date":"2021-11-04T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-04T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=109958"},"modified":"2022-11-21T09:49:01","modified_gmt":"2022-11-21T14:49:01","slug":"thinking-inside-and-outside-the-retail-box","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/thinking-inside-and-outside-the-retail-box\/","title":{"rendered":"Thinking Inside and Outside the (Retail) Box"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Despite short-term headwinds, this&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/seeing-fundamental-value-through-the-noise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Retail Apocalypse<\/a>&nbsp;winner\u2019s high-touch customer service and expansive store network position it for continued success. Best Buy (BBY: $114\/share) is this week\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/category\/stock-plays-of-the-week\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Long Idea<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We originally made Best Buy a Long Idea in<a>&nbsp;<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/this-retail-turnaround-story-is-better-than-you-think\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">April 2018<\/a>, and, since then, the stock is up 54% vs. a 72% gain for the S&amp;P 500. Despite its underperformance, BBY still presents quality risk\/reward<a>&nbsp;<\/a>given the company\u2019s:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>growing ecommerce market share<\/li><li>efficient omni-channel strategy<\/li><li>superior profitability to peers<\/li><li>position for continued growth with rise of work from home<\/li><li>current valuation implies profits will never exceed pre-2020 levels<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ecommerce-drove-market-share-gains\"><strong>Ecommerce Drove Market Share Gains<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Per Figure 1, Best Buy\u2019s share of U.S. ecommerce sales doubled from 1.2% in 2018 to 2.5% in 2020. While the company\u2019s share of U.S. ecommerce shares has fallen to 2.1% over the TTM, it is still much higher than its pre-pandemic levels. The company also saw gains in the overall&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/641924\/us-consumer-electronics-technology-retail-market-size\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.S. consumer electronics<\/a>, where its market share expanded from 9.6% in 2019 to 9.8% in 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Figure 1: Best Buy\u2019s Share of U.S. Ecommerce Sales: 2018 &#8211; TTM<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"630\" height=\"272\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/11\/newconstructs_11-4-21_1.png\" alt=\"Best Buy\u2019s Share of U.S. Ecommerce Sales: 2018 - TTM\" class=\"wp-image-109959 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/11\/newconstructs_11-4-21_1.png 630w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/11\/newconstructs_11-4-21_1-300x130.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 630px; aspect-ratio: 630\/272;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC, company filings, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/ECOMSA#0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FRED<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stores Support Omnichannel Growth<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Best Buy has not only survived the Retail Apocalypse, but it has emerged with the most developed omnichannel experience in the market as it reaches customers with its physical stores, online platform, and in-home service. Even Amazon utilizes Best Buy\u2019s omnichannel capabilities to distribute its own products, such as TVs and tablets in Best Buy stores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The company will continue to leverage its 983 stores across the U.S. to grow its omnichannel business. The company\u2019s stores\u2019 staff are cross-trained to fulfil online orders, provide in-store customer service, and virtual customer support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More than just facilitating physical shopping and product demonstrations, stores also serve as service centers for the company\u2019s Geek Squad, fulfillment centers for online orders, and customer pick-up\/return locations for online orders. No other retailer can match the depth of services offered by Best Buy\u2019s stores and ecommerce operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/thinking-inside-and-outside-the-retail-box\/\">Click here to read the full article<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>This article originally published on&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/thinking-inside-and-outside-the-retail-box\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>October 20, 2021<\/em><\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, Alex Sword, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Follow us on&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NewConstructs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Twitter<\/em><\/a><em>,&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/newconstructsllc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Facebook<\/em><\/a><em>,&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/new-constructs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>LinkedIn<\/em><\/a><em>, and&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/dtrainer_NewConstructs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>StockTwits<\/em><\/a><em>&nbsp;for real-time alerts on all our research.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/thinking-inside-and-outside-the-retail-box\/#_ftnref1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">[1]<\/a>&nbsp;Best Buy\u2019s last fiscal year ended January 30, 2021, which we refer to throughout the report as 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/thinking-inside-and-outside-the-retail-box\/#_ftnref2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">[2]<\/a>&nbsp;U.S. NOPAT is estimated as company-wide NOPAT margin x U.S. revenue<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/thinking-inside-and-outside-the-retail-box\/#_ftnref3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">[3]<\/a>&nbsp;Only Core Earnings enable investors to overcome the inaccuracies, omissions and biases in legacy fundamental data and research, as proven in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/its-official-we-offer-the-best-fundamental-data-in-the-world\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Core Earnings: New Data &amp; Evidence<\/a>, written by professors at Harvard Business School (HBS) &amp; MIT Sloan and published in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3467814\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Journal of Financial Economics<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newconstructs.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/LongIdea_BBY_2021_10_20-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click here to download a PDF of this report<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite short-term headwinds, this Retail Apocalypse winner\u2019s high-touch customer service and expansive store network may position it for continued success &#8211; Best Buy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":348,"featured_media":109959,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[1213],"contributors-categories":[13616],"class_list":{"0":"post-109958","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-best-buy","14":"contributors-categories-new-constructs"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Thinking Inside and Outside the (Retail) Box<\/title>\n<meta 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