{"id":109369,"date":"2021-11-01T10:10:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-01T14:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=109369"},"modified":"2023-03-01T09:48:47","modified_gmt":"2023-03-01T14:48:47","slug":"long-term-rolling-target-in-sp-achieved","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/futures\/long-term-rolling-target-in-sp-achieved\/","title":{"rendered":"Long-Term Rolling Target in S&#038;P Achieved"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-market-activity\">Market Activity:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Breaking: S&amp;P 500 achieves Blue Line Futures\u2019 12-month rolling target of 4620.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Do not miss our weekly Top Three Things to Watch this Week<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Federal Reserve begins two-day policy meeting tomorrow, concludes with a policy announcement Wednesday at 1:00 pm CT. Expected to begin tapering bond purchases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; China\u2019s state read on Manufacturing PMI, released Saturday evening, contracted in October for the second month in a row at 49.2. Private Caixin read, released on Sunday evening, expanded at 50.6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; German Retail Sales for September missed this morning at -2.5% MoM versus +0.6% expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Closely watched ISM Manufacturing PMI from the U.S. for October is due at 9:00 am CT. Final IHS Manufacturing PMI out before at 8:45 am CT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Spending bill with price tag of $1.75 trillion gains momentum in Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; OPEC+ meeting Thursday in focus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>E-mini S&amp;P (December) \/ NQ (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 4597, up 9.50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NQ, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 15,838.50, up 73.75<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; S&amp;P achieved longer-term rolling 12-month upside target at 4620, a full 100% measured move defined by the range from the February 2020 highs to the March 2020 lows. Added resistance with previously broken trend line (highlighted above).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; In both S&amp;P and NQ, Friday\u2019s settlement aligns with our momentum indicators to create first key support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Tremendous chop last week due to mega-cap earnings, buy-the-dip in full force.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Chop to continue with heavy slate of economic data, earnings and Federal Reserve taper announcement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Trend line resistance in the Russell still intact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Although target hit, potential new bull leg developing defined by new floor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; New floor in both the S&amp;P and NQ at &#8230;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bluelinefutures.com\/free-trial\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sign up for a Free Trial at&nbsp;Blue&nbsp;Line&nbsp;Futures&nbsp;to have our entire fundamental and technical outlook, actionable bias, and proprietary levels for the&nbsp;markets&nbsp;you trade emailed each&nbsp;morning.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Crude Oil (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Yesterday\u2019s close:<em> <\/em>Settled at 83.57, up 0.76<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; OPEC+ meeting Thursday in focus. Cartel likely to keep pace of increases at 400,000 bpd; producers have been over-compliant and struggled to bring back production, Joint Technical Committee lowered 2021 outlook by 120,000 bpd, Iran wants back to nuclear talks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; President Biden has called for OPEC+ to step up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Officials are still skeptical about Iran\u2019s seriousness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Commitment of Traders; Managed Money net-long position fell from 301k to 291k in week ending October 26th.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Commitment of Traders; Producers back net-short.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Rare major four-star resistance still stands at 84.60-85.00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Market remains in consolidation pattern, digesting the recent run. Reaffirmed a floor of support at &#8230;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bluelinefutures.com\/free-trial\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sign up for a Free Trial at&nbsp;Blue&nbsp;Line&nbsp;Futures&nbsp;to have our entire fundamental and technical outlook, actionable bias, and proprietary levels for the&nbsp;markets&nbsp;you trade emailed each&nbsp;morning.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Gold (December) \/ Silver (December)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 1783.9, down 18.7<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Silver, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 23.949, down 0.171<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Despite breach of major three-star support on Friday, Gold and Silver did not close below, paving the way for continued consolidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; U.S. Dollar pullback from swing highs has underpinned metals at major three-star supports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Bond market remains elevated and flattening yield curve exudes slower growth<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Could be a make-or-break week for Gold and Silver in the near to intermediate-term, heavy economic calendar and FOMC. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; This morning\u2019s rebound is tested resistance created through last week, defined by key levels in notes below &#8230;.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bluelinefutures.com\/free-trial\">Sign up for a Free Trial at&nbsp;Blue&nbsp;Line&nbsp;Futures&nbsp;to have our entire fundamental and technical outlook, actionable bias, and proprietary levels for the&nbsp;markets&nbsp;you trade emailed each&nbsp;morning.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted on November 1, 2021 &#8211;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bluelinefutures.com\/\"> Long-Term Rolling Target in S&amp;P Achieved<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&#038;P achieved longer-term rolling 12-month upside target at 4620, a full 100% measured move defined by the range from the February 2020 highs to the March 2020 lows.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,21,5,15,17,18,6,8,9,1031,22,23,26,3],"tags":[1056,3446,3479,255,535,678],"contributors-categories":[13588],"class_list":{"0":"post-109369","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-asia","7":"category-commodities","8":"category-europe-middle-east-africa","9":"category-fixed-income","10":"category-futures","11":"category-macro","12":"category-north-america","13":"category-region","14":"category-securities","15":"category-south-america","16":"category-stocks","17":"category-technical-analysis","18":"category-text-articles","19":"category-traders-insight","20":"tag-crude-oil","21":"tag-e-mini-sp","22":"tag-e-mini-sp-500","23":"tag-gold","24":"tag-manufacturing","25":"tag-silver","26":"contributors-categories-blue-line-futures"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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