{"id":108437,"date":"2021-10-25T10:29:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-25T14:29:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=108437"},"modified":"2023-03-14T12:02:44","modified_gmt":"2023-03-14T16:02:44","slug":"earnings-crude-spreads-and-china-lockdowns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/futures\/earnings-crude-spreads-and-china-lockdowns\/","title":{"rendered":"Earnings, Crude Spreads, and China Lockdowns"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Market Activity<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

– China implements lockdowns, Covid cases found in 11 provinces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Cases rising across the U.K., Germany, and Russia, among others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Markets and risk-sentiment very stable in the overnight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– U.S. Dollar seeing safe haven bid on the back of cases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– President Biden met with lawmakers over the weekend. Will scaled back agenda move through Congress before the President leaves for Europe end of week?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– S&P and Dow both set fresh record highs on Friday but did not hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– About one third of S&P 500 and Dow companies report earnings this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Facebook in the spotlight, earnings after the bell. Bloomberg report, internal concerns on slipping usage rates by younger demographic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Tesla and PayPal balancing NQ higher<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Tesla up more than 4% on news Hertz ordered 100,000 cars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– PayPal up 5.5% after saying not looking to buy Pinterest at this time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Crude Oil new highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Natural Gas highest in 10 days<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Central banks in the spotlight this week. Federal Reserve in quiet period. Bank of Canada Wednesday, Bank of Japan Wednesday night, ECB Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– First look at Q3 GDP Thursday and Fed\u2019s preferred inflation indicator Friday, Core PCE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– HSBC beat top and bottom estimates early this morning. Kimberly-Clark missed bottom line, -2.5%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Alphabet and Microsoft report tomorrow<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do not miss our weekly Top Three Things to Watch this Week.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

E-mini S&P (December) \/ NQ (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

S&P, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 4536.50, down 5.25 on Friday and up 74.00 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NQ, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 15,341.00, down 137.75 on Friday and up 206.50 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– The S&P and NQ have stayed rangebound within Friday\u2019s opening bell highs and the 10:30 CT lows. Look for a break outside of this range to encourage directional tailwinds on the session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Price action is holding above our momentum indicators, designated as our Pivot below, ahead of the bell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Tuesday\u2019s settlement in the S&P has left an untested intraday gap at 4511.25, algins to create major three-star support at 4507.25-4511.25. Added major three-star support developing above here at 4519.75-4525.50. Higher low than Friday tested this level overnight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Major three-star support in the NQ … Sign up for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to have our entire fundamental and technical outlook, actionable bias, and proprietary levels for the markets you trade emailed each morning.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crude Oil (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 83.76, up 1.26 on Friday and 2.03 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Backwardation steepening further, December holds 1.40 premium on January, nearly $8 premium on June and a $12 premium on December 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Goldman Sachs suggests global demand is back to pre-pandemic levels 99\/100 mbpd and a supply imbalance could lead to $110 Brent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Feels like only an uncontrolled outbreak of Covid could derail this bull market; demand hit and Dollar strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– India throughputs increased in September to 4.45 mbpd versus 4.35 in August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Close above rare major four-star resistance at 84.60-85.00 is a fresh breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Bulls in the clear driver\u2019s seat across all timeframes while above new major three-star support at … Sign up for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to have our entire fundamental and technical outlook, actionable bias, and proprietary levels for the markets you trade emailed each morning.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold (December) \/ Silver (December)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Gold, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 1796.3, up 14.4 on Friday and 28.0 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Silver, yesterday\u2019s close: Settled at 24.449, up 0.279 on Friday and 1.10 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Massive rip on Friday, but both Gold and Silver struggled to hold it. Gold finished 1% from swing high and Silver 2% from its. Gold highest since selling on September 7th and Silver highest since Sept 3rd rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Gold higher despite U.S. Dollar strength and downtick in Bonds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Pivot in both Gold and Silver detailed below encompasses momentum indicator, 100-and 200-day moving averages. Did not settle above here on Friday. – Friday\u2019s whipsaw reaffirms supports. Gold and Silver both have two waves of major three-star support and the bulls are seemingly in the driver\u2019s seat while above, but we must have strong closes…. Sign up for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to have our entire fundamental and technical outlook, actionable bias, and proprietary levels for the markets you trade emailed each morning.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

—<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally Posted on October 25, 2021 – Earnings, Crude Spreads, and China Lockdowns<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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