{"id":107591,"date":"2021-10-18T23:41:25","date_gmt":"2021-10-19T03:41:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=107591"},"modified":"2023-02-24T10:20:02","modified_gmt":"2023-02-24T15:20:02","slug":"stocks-rise-on-october-18-ahead-of-a-big-turnaround-tuesday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/stocks-rise-on-october-18-ahead-of-a-big-turnaround-tuesday\/","title":{"rendered":"Stocks Rise On October 18 Ahead of a Big Turnaround Tuesday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stocks \u2013 AAPL, MU, PYPL<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Macro \u2013 SPY, VIX, TLT<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The S&amp;P 500 finished the day higher by around 35 bps, but it was more mixed than that. The equal-weight S&amp;P 500 ended the day higher by just four bps. The divergence was due to the help of the mega-cap stocks lifting the broader index higher, with FAAMG+T all helping and contributing most of the gains. The only two sectors to finish firmly green were technology and consumer discretionary\u2019s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is a nearly perfect diamond pattern in the S&amp;P 500, a very bearish reversal pattern. Today\u2019s high was in line with a 78.6% Fib retracement of the peak to trough move lower from the past few weeks. Plus, with all of those open lower gaps, a drop to 4,360 would make a lot of sense. Tomorrow is Tuesday, and that day of the week is most famous for, well, turnarounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/1-SP-500-10-1100x567.png\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" class=\"wp-image-107592 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/567;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-vix-vix\">VIX (VIX)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The VIX finished the day slightly higher, at 16.30. Now, I know technical analysis on the VIX isn\u2019t \u201csuppose\u201d to work. Still, you can see the shape of the falling wedge in the chart, a reversal pattern. Who knows, it may even be confirming the bearish diamond pattern in the S&amp;P 500 above.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/2-VIX-1-1100x567.png\" alt=\"VIX\" class=\"wp-image-107593 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/567;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Shanghai Comp (SSE)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is also that bearish descending triangle currently in the Shanghai Composite that bears watching after China\u2019s horrible third-quarter GDP print last night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/3-SSE-1100x567.png\" alt=\"SSE\" class=\"wp-image-107594 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/567;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Flatter Curve<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, yields on the short-end of the curve continue to rise, with the 2-Year finishing the day up by two bps at 42 bps, while the 30-year finished the day down two bps at 2.03%. The prospects of QE are sending short-rates higher, while longer-term rates are pricing in slowing growth. It has the 30-2 yr spread on the verge of a massive breakdown, leading to significant curve flattening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/4-Yields-1100x567.png\" alt=\"Yields\" class=\"wp-image-107595 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/567;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apple (AAPL)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apple had a stellar day on the back of its new AirPods and MacBook launch, plus these new M1 MAX\/PRO chips. Maybe Apple has transformed into a company that deserves an Nvidia-like premium with these high-performance chips they are now producing? Something to think about for sure. The stock is struggling around resistance in this $145 to $146 level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"567\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/5-Apple-3-1100x567.png\" alt=\"Apple\" class=\"wp-image-107599 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/5-Apple-3-1100x567.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/5-Apple-3-700x361.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/5-Apple-3-300x155.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/5-Apple-3-768x396.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/5-Apple-3.png 1320w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/567;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Micron (MU)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Can you believe that&nbsp;Digitimes&nbsp;is reporting that DRAM prices are likely to fall even more in the first quarter? Geez, Micron can\u2019t get out of its own way. $58 is a long way from here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/6-Micron-6-1100x567.png\" alt=\"Micron\" class=\"wp-image-107605 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/567;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">PayPal (PYPL)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I had thought PayPal was going to head lower, but it is starting to look better these days. The stock held support at $257, and the RSI broke that downtrend. Now the shares appear to have formed a falling wedge pattern. A push above $271 sends the share higher to $280 for starters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/7-PayPal-1100x758.png\" alt=\"PayPal\" class=\"wp-image-107606 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/758;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Originally Posted on October 18, 2021&nbsp;\u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/mottcapitalmanagement.com\/stocks-rise-on-october-18-ahead-of-a-big-turnaround-tuesday\/\">Stocks Rise On October 18 Ahead of a Big Turnaround Tuesday<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&#038;P 500 finished the day higher by around 35 bps, but it was more mixed than that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":107604,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[15,6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[155,265,1009,262,6609,317],"contributors-categories":[13718],"class_list":["post-107591","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-fixed-income","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-stocks","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-aapl","tag-micron","tag-paypal","tag-spy","tag-tlt","tag-vix","contributors-categories-mott-capital-management"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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